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American Express Company (AXP)

概览 · 期权链 · 波动率 · 预期涨跌幅历史记录 · 财报

价格(延迟) 329.98 +1.79%
预期涨跌幅The size of the up-or-down move the options market is pricing for a stock by a given date, read from option prices (the at-the-money straddle). It is a market-implied estimate, not a forecast. · Sep 18 ±3.8%
预期区间 317.21342.36
IV30Implied volatility interpolated to a constant 30-day horizon from the expirations around it, so different stocks and dates can be compared fairly.22.7%
IV百分位Where this IV30 ranks across all securities we cover today (a cross-sectional comparison, not the stock's own history). 18/标的范围
P/C 成交量Put volume (or open interest) divided by call volume (or open interest). A descriptive activity measure — it does not by itself say what traders expect.0.24
P/C 未平仓量0.67
下次财报 Oct 23

Cboe delayed options data · 截至 00:33 UTC · 基于完整期权链衍生的数据 (1,736 合约, 18 到期日) · IV自身历史百分位在记录满60天后显示 (3 迄今为止)

预期涨跌幅 — Sep 18, 2026 (16 天)

方法论 →

从期权价格中读取:平值跨式期权的成本即为市场在此日期前预计的双向波动幅度。这是对波动空间的估算,而非对方向的预测。

317.2342.4329.8 current

期权隐含波动幅度约为 ±3.8% (区间 317.21–342.36) 由 Sep 18, 2026. ATM 跨式组合: 12.57 @ 行权价 330 · ATM IV: 22.6%.

该曲线显示以当前隐含波动率为输入的对数正态模型对本到期日结果区间的估计,阴影部分为预期波动区间。

329.8317.2342.4
预期波动区间模型概率密度
级别vs 价格P(上涨)Model-estimated chance the stock finishes above a level at expiration, derived from current IV under a lognormal model with stated assumptions — an estimate, not a prediction.P(下跌)
296.81 -10% 98.6% 1.4%
313.30 -5% 85.5% 14.5%
329.79 +0% 49.0% 51.0%
346.27 +5% 14.6% 85.4%
362.76 +10% 2.1% 97.9%

模型估算的标的在到期时收于各价位上方/下方的概率——基于既定假设的估算,非预测。

概率探索工具

拖动滑块至任意价位,查看模型估算的股票在所选到期日收于该价位上方或下方的概率。

P(收于上方)
P(收于下方)
P(触及,近似值)

期限: Sep 18, 2026 · 对数正态模型,零漂移——仅为估算,非预测。 假设条件

到期时间DTEDays to expiration, in calendar days.隐含涨跌幅ATM IV未平仓量
Sep 04, 2026 2 ±1.5% 24.6% 25.4K
Sep 11, 2026 9 ±2.8% 22.1% 7,464
Sep 18, 2026 16 ±3.8% 22.6% 42.0K
Sep 25, 2026 23 ±4.6% 22.8% 2,659
Oct 02, 2026 30 ±5.2% 22.7% 780
Oct 09, 2026 37 ±5.9% 22.8% 183
Oct 16, 2026 44 ±6.6% 23.5% 16.9K
Nov 20, 2026 79 ±9.8% 26.3% 9,268
Dec 18, 2026 107 ±11.3% 26.0% 18.8K
Jan 15, 2027 135 ±12.6% 25.9% 93.0K
Feb 19, 2027 170 ±14.7% 26.9% 4,271
Mar 19, 2027 198 ±15.9% 27.0% 5,484

各行权价未平仓量 — Sep 18

期权头寸集中分布的位置。青色柱为 call,红色柱为 put;虚线为当前价格。

250.0290.0310.0320.0330.0340.0350.0360.0380.0410.0329.8
看涨期权看跌期权

未平仓量最集中的头寸(所有到期日 ≤ 60天): 360 C · 4,711310 P · 4,431280 P · 3,941320 P · 3,879330 C · 3,785

IV期限结构

波动率页面 →

各到期日的平值隐含波动率。某日期附近出现隆起,通常意味着市场正在为该日期的已知事件定价。

21%23%26%29%2d198d30d

持仓量何时到期归零?

11%This week20%This month66%Later

隐含波动率与已实现波动率

15.6%18.4%21.1%23.9%Aug 31Sep 02
IV30HV20

历史波动率来自我们存储的每日收盘价(年化);IV30由期权链插值得出。 方法

价格,近60个交易日

每个交易日,我们在结果揭晓前记录期权市场对各到期日的定价。随着到期日陆续结算,本栏目将对预期与实际进行比对——记录一经生成,绝不改写。 记录起始日期:2026 年 8 月 31 日。

历次财报后的价格反应

Oct 24-5.3%Jan 25-2.9%Apr 25-4.1%Jul 25-3.9%Oct 25+8.2%Jan 26-1.6%Apr 26-5.7%Jul 26-1.6%
隐含(记录时)实际反应

平均|实际反应| 4.3% · 中位数 3.6% (20 财报) — 连续两个交易日收盘价窗口; 定义

关于 American Express Company

Operating globally, American Express Company and its affiliated entities deliver a comprehensive suite of charge and credit payment card solutions, alongside a variety of travel-related offerings. Its business structure is organized into three primary divisions: the Global Consumer Services Group, Global Commercial Services, and Global Merchant and Network Services. Among its core offerings are diverse payment and financing instruments, robust network infrastructure services, tools for managing accounts payable expenses, and comprehensive travel and lifestyle support. Furthermore, it facilitates merchant services such as acquisition, transaction processing, settlement, and point-of-sale marketing, providing vital information and assistance to businesses. The company also specializes in fraud mitigation and developing and managing customer loyalty initiatives. These products and services are made available to a broad clientele, encompassing individual consumers, small and mid-sized enterprises, and large corporate entities. Distribution channels include digital platforms (mobile and online applications), collaborations with third-party vendors and partners, direct communication meth

金融服务 · Financial - Credit Services · NYSE · 公司简介:Financial Modeling Prep

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相关标的 — 金融服务

SOFI · IV 47.4%HOOD · IV 60.7%MARA · IV 81.7%COIN · IV 61.6%NU · IV 39.8%BAC · IV 20.8%

非必需消费品

ABNB · Airbnb, Inc.AMZN · Amazon.com, Inc.AZO · AutoZone, Inc.BABA · Alibaba Group Holding…BBY · Best Buy Co., Inc.BYD · Boyd Gaming CorporationCAVA · CAVA Group, Inc.CCL · Carnival Corporation & plc

ETF

ARKK · ARK Innovation ETFBITO · ProShares Bitcoin ETFDIA · State Street SPDR Dow…EEM · iShares MSCI Emerging…EFA · iShares MSCI EAFE ETFEWZ · iShares MSCI Brazil ETFFXI · iShares China Large-Cap ETFGDX · VanEck Gold Miners ETF

科技

AAPL · Apple Inc.ADBE · Adobe Inc.AI · C3.ai, Inc.AMAT · Applied Materials, Inc.AMD · Advanced Micro Device…APP · AppLovin CorporationARM · Arm Holdings plc Amer…ASML · ASML Holding N.V.

金融服务

AFRM · Affirm Holdings, Inc.ALL · The Allstate CorporationALLY · Ally Financial Inc.AXP · American Express CompanyBAC · Bank of America CorporationBLK · BlackRock, Inc.BX · Blackstone Inc.C · Citigroup Inc.

工业

AAL · American Airlines Gro…BA · The Boeing CompanyCAT · Caterpillar Inc.CMI · Cummins Inc.DAL · Delta Air Lines, Inc.DE · Deere & CompanyEMR · Emerson Electric Co.ETN · Eaton Corporation plc

能源

BKR · Baker Hughes CompanyCCJ · Cameco CorporationCOP · ConocoPhillipsCVX · Chevron CorporationDVN · Devon Energy CorporationENPH · Enphase Energy, Inc.EOG · EOG Resources, Inc.ET · Energy Transfer LP