The Boeing Company (BA)
Overview · Option chain · Volatility · Expected-move history · Earnings
Cboe delayed options data · as of Sep 02, 21:49 UTC · Figures derived from the full chain (1,654 contracts, 17 expirations) · IV own-history percentile appears after 60 recorded days (3 so far)
Expected move — Sep 18, 2026 (16 days)
Methodology →Read from option prices: the at-the-money straddle costs this much, so the market is pricing a move of about that size in either direction by this date. It is an estimate of movement, not a prediction of direction.
Options are pricing a move of about ±4.8% (range 199.01–218.86) by Sep 18, 2026. ATM straddle: 9.93 @ strike 210 · ATM IV: 28.3%.
Probability distribution
Model & assumptions →The curve shows where a lognormal model, fed with current implied volatility, puts the range of outcomes at this expiration. Shaded: the expected-move band.
| Level | vs price | P(above)Model-estimated chance the stock finishes above a level at expiration, derived from current IV under a lognormal model with stated assumptions — an estimate, not a prediction. | P(below) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 188.04 | -10% | 96.0% | 4.0% |
| 198.49 | -5% | 79.9% | 20.1% |
| 208.94 | +0% | 48.8% | 51.2% |
| 219.38 | +5% | 19.7% | 80.3% |
| 229.83 | +10% | 5.0% | 95.0% |
Model-estimated probabilities of finishing above/below each level at expiration — estimates under stated assumptions, not predictions.
Probability explorer
Drag the slider to any level and see the model-estimated chance the stock finishes above or below it at the selected expiration.
Horizon: Sep 18, 2026 · lognormal model, zero drift — an estimate, not a prediction. Assumptions
Expirations
Open the chain →| Expires | DTEDays to expiration, in calendar days. | Implied move | ATM IV | Open int. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 04, 2026 | 2 | ±1.9% | 30.2% | 37.8K |
| Sep 11, 2026 | 9 | ±3.2% | 25.2% | 14.9K |
| Sep 18, 2026 | 16 | ±4.8% | 28.3% | 140.9K |
| Sep 25, 2026 | 23 | ±5.8% | 28.9% | 13.4K |
| Oct 02, 2026 | 30 | ±6.6% | 28.8% | 3,343 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | 37 | ±7.2% | 28.2% | 817 |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 44 | ±8.1% | 28.9% | 44.2K |
| Nov 20, 2026 | 79 | ±11.7% | 31.3% | 91.7K |
| Dec 18, 2026 | 107 | ±13.8% | 31.8% | 124.3K |
| Jan 15, 2027 | 135 | ±15.2% | 31.2% | 167.8K |
| Feb 19, 2027 | 170 | ±17.9% | 32.8% | 12.7K |
| Mar 19, 2027 | 198 | ±18.9% | 32.0% | 23.4K |
Open interest by strike — Sep 18
Where option positions are concentrated. Teal bars are calls, red bars are puts; the dashed line is the current price.
Largest open-interest concentrations (all expirations ≤ 60 days): 210 P · 19.3K200 P · 18.3K220 C · 12.4K250 C · 12.3K240 C · 10.7K
IV term structure
Volatility page →At-the-money implied volatility for each expiration. A hump around a date often marks a scheduled event the market is pricing.
When does open interest expire?
Implied vs realized volatility
HV from our stored daily closes (annualized); IV30 interpolated from the chain. Method
Price, last 60 sessions
Track record
Full history →Every trading day we record what the options market is pricing for each expiration — before the outcome is known. Once expirations start resolving, this section compares expected versus actual, and the record is never rewritten. Recording since Aug 31, 2026.
Past earnings reactions
Avg |reaction| 4.2% · median 3.7% (20 reports) — two-session close-to-close window; definition
About The Boeing Company
The Boeing Company is a global aerospace powerhouse specializing in the design, development, manufacture, sale, and comprehensive support of commercial airliners, military aircraft, satellites, missile defense systems, human space flight, and launch technologies, along with related services across the globe. Its operations are organized into four key segments. The Commercial Airplanes division delivers commercial jet aircraft for passenger and cargo transport, alongside essential fleet support services. The Defense, Space & Security segment concentrates on the research, development, production, and modification of manned and unmanned military aircraft, advanced weapons systems, strategic defense and intelligence solutions (including missile defense, command, control, communications, computers, intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance, cyber, and information solutions), and satellite systems for both governmental and commercial use, encompassing space exploration. The Global Services segment provides a vast array of support, such as supply chain and logistics management, engineering, maintenance, upgrades, spare parts, pilot and maintenance training, technical documentation, a
Industrials · Aerospace & Defense · NYSE · Profile: Financial Modeling Prep
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