On Holding AG (ONON)
概览 · 期权链 · 波动率 · 预期涨跌幅历史记录 · 财报
Cboe delayed options data · 截至 06:40 UTC · 基于完整期权链衍生的数据 (712 合约, 14 到期日) · IV自身历史百分位在记录满60天后显示 (29 迄今为止)
预期涨跌幅 · Nov 20, 2026 (31 天)
方法论 →从期权价格中读取：平值跨式期权的成本即为市场在此日期前预计的双向波动幅度。这是对波动空间的估算，而非对方向的预测。
期权隐含波动幅度约为 ±13.1% (区间 30.78–40.04) 由 Nov 20, 2026. ATM 跨式组合: 4.63 @ 行权价 35.5 · ATM IV: 55.2%.
概率分布
模型与假设 →该曲线显示以当前隐含波动率为输入的对数正态模型对本到期日结果区间的估计，阴影部分为预期波动区间。
| 级别 | vs 价格 | P(上涨)Model-estimated chance the stock finishes above a level at expiration, derived from current IV under a lognormal model with stated assumptions — an estimate, not a prediction. | P(下跌) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31.87 | -10% | 71.7% | 28.3% |
| 33.64 | -5% | 59.4% | 40.6% |
| 35.41 | +0% | 46.8% | 53.2% |
| 37.18 | +5% | 35.1% | 64.9% |
| 38.95 | +10% | 25.1% | 74.9% |
基于模型估算的到期时收盘价高于/低于各价位的概率，这些是在特定假设下的估计值，并非预测结果。
概率探索工具
拖动滑块至任意价位，查看模型估算的股票在所选到期日收于该价位上方或下方的概率。
期限: Nov 20, 2026 · 以零漂移对数正态模型计算的估计值，并非预测结果。 假设条件
到期日
打开期权链 →| 到期时间 | DTEDays to expiration, in calendar days. | 隐含涨跌幅 | ATM IV | 未平仓量 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | 3 | ±3.9% | 46.7% | 11.1K |
| Oct 30, 2026 | 10 | ±5.6% | 39.5% | 16.1K |
| Nov 06, 2026 | 17 | ±6.9% | 39.0% | 2,775 |
| Nov 13, 2026 | 24 | ±12.5% | 59.9% | 1,343 |
| Nov 20, 2026 | 31 | ±13.1% | 55.2% | 62.3K |
| Nov 27, 2026 | 38 | ±13.6% | 52.3% | 449 |
| Dec 18, 2026 | 59 | ±15.8% | 49.1% | 62.0K |
| Jan 15, 2027 | 87 | ±16.9% | 43.2% | 107.4K |
| Mar 19, 2027 | 150 | ±23.2% | 45.4% | 25.1K |
| Apr 16, 2027 | 178 | ±24.4% | 43.9% | 2,501 |
各行权价未平仓量 · Nov 20
期权头寸集中分布的位置。青色柱为 call，红色柱为 put；虚线为当前价格。
未平仓量最集中的头寸（所有到期日 ≤ 60天）： 22.5 P · 22.4K30 P · 16.6K37.5 C · 14.9K27.5 P · 12.4K30 C · 11.4K
隐含波动率与已实现波动率
历史波动率来自我们存储的每日收盘价（年化）；IV30由期权链插值得出。 方法
价格，近60个交易日
每日收盘数据；来源：Financial Modeling Prep
关于 On Holding AG
On Holding AG, together with its subsidiaries, develops and distributes performance sports products under the On brand in Switzerland, the rest of Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the United States, the rest of the Americas, and the Asia-Pacific. The company offers athletic footwear, apparel, and accessories for performance running, performance outdoor, performance all day, performance training, performance tennis, and young movers. It sells its products to athletes and active customers through wholesale and direct-to-consumer channels; run specialty, general sporting goods, outdoor, luxury, street fashion, and lifestyle retailers; owned retail stores; and e-commerce platforms. On Holding AG was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in Zurich, Switzerland.
非必需消费品 · Apparel - Footwear & Accessories · NYSE · 公司简介：Financial Modeling Prep
ONON 新闻
所有新闻 →UK-listed Gulf Keystone, Norway's ShaMaran agree $601 million merger in Kurdistan
UK-listed Gulf Keystone, Norway's ShaMaran agree $601 million merger in Kurdistan
Reuters · 02:26 UTC ↗Keith & Lorfing Partner Brandi Young Analyzes Maduro Torture Conspiracy Charges in FOX-Affiliate Interview
Houston, Texas, Oct. 19, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- New federal torture conspiracy charges against Nicolás Maduro and Cilia Flores have…
Globe News Wire · Oct 19, 23:36 UTC ↗Micron and other chip stocks spring back to life after bruising selloff
It’s a key week for tech stocks as Nvidia gears up for a European conference and Meta prepares to report earnings.
MarketWatch · Oct 19, 21:06 UTC ↗Why a former Intel skeptic is giving up his negative call on the stock after four years
Intel’s manufacturing and chip design have improved, according to a J.P. Morgan analyst.
MarketWatch · Oct 19, 21:00 UTC ↗Why the midterm elections are likely to become a strong tailwind for the stock market
The six months subsequent to midterm elections have seen strong gains, historically
MarketWatch · Oct 19, 21:00 UTC ↗