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每次覆盖的财报发布前,期权市场均会定价一个预期波动幅度。我们在事件发生前予以记录,并与股票实际表现对比——涵盖本季度及所有历史季度。 涨跌幅的计算方式

即将发布的财报

隐含波动幅度在每次财报前收盘时记录;在此之前,该栏会显示相应提示,而非进行预测。历史平均值为该公司自身过往的财报反应幅度。

Thursday, September 3

公司EPS 预期 隐含涨跌幅The size of the up-or-down move the options market is pricing for a stock by a given date, read from option prices (the at-the-money straddle). It is a market-implied estimate, not a forecast.历史平均波动幅度历史中位数IV30
DOCU DocuSign, Inc. 1.09 ±10.7% 12.8% 7.0% 71.0%
LULU Lululemon Athletica Inc. 1.79 ±10.0% 9.6% 9.3% 57.8%
ZS Zscaler, Inc. 1.09 ±13.1% 9.2% 6.4% 71.8%

Tuesday, September 8

公司EPS 预期 隐含涨跌幅The size of the up-or-down move the options market is pricing for a stock by a given date, read from option prices (the at-the-money straddle). It is a market-implied estimate, not a forecast.历史平均波动幅度历史中位数IV30
GME GameStop Corp. 0.27 尚未记录 10.4% 5.9% 51.6%
ORCL Oracle Corporation 1.73 尚未记录 9.6% 8.8% 65.5%

Wednesday, September 9

公司EPS 预期 隐含涨跌幅The size of the up-or-down move the options market is pricing for a stock by a given date, read from option prices (the at-the-money straddle). It is a market-implied estimate, not a forecast.历史平均波动幅度历史中位数IV30
CHWY Chewy, Inc. 0.18 尚未记录 11.0% 10.5% 62.7%

Thursday, September 10

公司EPS 预期 隐含涨跌幅The size of the up-or-down move the options market is pricing for a stock by a given date, read from option prices (the at-the-money straddle). It is a market-implied estimate, not a forecast.历史平均波动幅度历史中位数IV30
ADBE Adobe Inc. 6.07 尚未记录 7.8% 7.1% 51.7%

Thursday, September 17

公司EPS 预期 隐含涨跌幅The size of the up-or-down move the options market is pricing for a stock by a given date, read from option prices (the at-the-money straddle). It is a market-implied estimate, not a forecast.历史平均波动幅度历史中位数IV30
FDX FedEx Corporation 4.21 尚未记录 6.0% 3.8% 26.6%

Tuesday, September 22

公司EPS 预期 隐含涨跌幅The size of the up-or-down move the options market is pricing for a stock by a given date, read from option prices (the at-the-money straddle). It is a market-implied estimate, not a forecast.历史平均波动幅度历史中位数IV30
AZO AutoZone, Inc. 54.58 尚未记录 4.4% 3.5% 34.9%

Wednesday, September 23

公司EPS 预期 隐含涨跌幅The size of the up-or-down move the options market is pricing for a stock by a given date, read from option prices (the at-the-money straddle). It is a market-implied estimate, not a forecast.历史平均波动幅度历史中位数IV30
GIS General Mills, Inc. 0.72 尚未记录 4.0% 3.7% 29.7%

Thursday, September 24

公司EPS 预期 隐含涨跌幅The size of the up-or-down move the options market is pricing for a stock by a given date, read from option prices (the at-the-money straddle). It is a market-implied estimate, not a forecast.历史平均波动幅度历史中位数IV30
COST Costco Wholesale Corporation 6.55 尚未记录 3.1% 2.6% 24.8%

Tuesday, September 29

公司EPS 预期 隐含涨跌幅The size of the up-or-down move the options market is pricing for a stock by a given date, read from option prices (the at-the-money straddle). It is a market-implied estimate, not a forecast.历史平均波动幅度历史中位数IV30
KMX CarMax, Inc. 0.72 尚未记录 8.6% 6.9% 50.0%

Wednesday, September 30

公司EPS 预期 隐含涨跌幅The size of the up-or-down move the options market is pricing for a stock by a given date, read from option prices (the at-the-money straddle). It is a market-implied estimate, not a forecast.历史平均波动幅度历史中位数IV30
MU Micron Technology, Inc. 31.14 尚未记录 6.9% 4.5% 60.5%

Thursday, October 1

公司EPS 预期 隐含涨跌幅The size of the up-or-down move the options market is pricing for a stock by a given date, read from option prices (the at-the-money straddle). It is a market-implied estimate, not a forecast.历史平均波动幅度历史中位数IV30
NKE NIKE, Inc. 0.45 尚未记录 8.0% 6.8% 45.7%

Monday, October 5

公司EPS 预期 隐含涨跌幅The size of the up-or-down move the options market is pricing for a stock by a given date, read from option prices (the at-the-money straddle). It is a market-implied estimate, not a forecast.历史平均波动幅度历史中位数IV30
CCL Carnival Corporation & plc 1.35 尚未记录 6.2% 4.5% 46.8%
STZ Constellation Brands, Inc. 3.63 尚未记录 4.2% 3.3% 26.7%

Thursday, October 8

公司EPS 预期 隐含涨跌幅The size of the up-or-down move the options market is pricing for a stock by a given date, read from option prices (the at-the-money straddle). It is a market-implied estimate, not a forecast.历史平均波动幅度历史中位数IV30
DAL Delta Air Lines, Inc. 2.09 尚未记录 4.6% 3.9% 33.3%
PEP PepsiCo, Inc. 2.30 尚未记录 3.2% 2.8% 19.6%

Tuesday, October 13

公司EPS 预期 隐含涨跌幅The size of the up-or-down move the options market is pricing for a stock by a given date, read from option prices (the at-the-money straddle). It is a market-implied estimate, not a forecast.历史平均波动幅度历史中位数IV30
BLK BlackRock, Inc. 14.24 尚未记录 3.2% 3.5% 24.1%
C Citigroup Inc. 2.68 尚未记录 3.4% 2.9% 26.6%
DPZ Domino's Pizza, Inc. 4.38 尚未记录 5.1% 3.6% 37.5%
GS The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. 16.42 尚未记录 3.8% 2.9% 29.8%
JNJ Johnson & Johnson 2.90 尚未记录 2.1% 1.9% 23.2%
JPM JPMorgan Chase & Co. 5.83 尚未记录 3.4% 2.9% 21.1%
WFC Wells Fargo & Company 1.84 尚未记录 4.2% 4.2% 23.1%

Wednesday, October 14

公司EPS 预期 隐含涨跌幅The size of the up-or-down move the options market is pricing for a stock by a given date, read from option prices (the at-the-money straddle). It is a market-implied estimate, not a forecast.历史平均波动幅度历史中位数IV30
ASML ASML Holding N.V. 11.75 尚未记录 6.5% 6.7% 39.1%
BAC Bank of America Corporation 1.18 尚未记录 3.1% 2.1% 20.8%
MS Morgan Stanley 3.11 尚未记录 4.1% 3.9% 28.5%
PGR The Progressive Corporation 3.98 尚未记录 4.3% 3.6% 23.8%

Thursday, October 15

公司EPS 预期 隐含涨跌幅The size of the up-or-down move the options market is pricing for a stock by a given date, read from option prices (the at-the-money straddle). It is a market-implied estimate, not a forecast.历史平均波动幅度历史中位数IV30
PNC The PNC Financial Servi… 4.98 尚未记录 2.8% 2.2% 21.9%
SCHW The Charles Schwab Corp… 1.67 尚未记录 5.0% 4.1% 22.9%
TRV The Travelers Companies, Inc. 6.77 尚未记录 3.9% 3.2% 22.6%
TSM Taiwan Semiconductor Ma… 4.45 尚未记录 3.6% 2.9% 30.9%
USB U.S. Bancorp 1.32 尚未记录 3.4% 3.0% 20.9%

Friday, October 16

公司EPS 预期 隐含涨跌幅The size of the up-or-down move the options market is pricing for a stock by a given date, read from option prices (the at-the-money straddle). It is a market-implied estimate, not a forecast.历史平均波动幅度历史中位数IV30
ALLY Ally Financial Inc. 1.43 尚未记录 5.9% 4.6% 25.9%
SLB Slb N.V. 0.62 尚未记录 3.6% 2.7% 34.6%
TFC Truist Financial Corporation 1.11 尚未记录 4.0% 4.2% 24.6%

Monday, October 19

公司EPS 预期 隐含涨跌幅The size of the up-or-down move the options market is pricing for a stock by a given date, read from option prices (the at-the-money straddle). It is a market-implied estimate, not a forecast.历史平均波动幅度历史中位数IV30
CLF Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. 0.25 尚未记录 10.0% 8.7% 56.1%
STLD Steel Dynamics, Inc. 5.41 尚未记录 4.3% 3.4% 39.9%

Tuesday, October 20

公司EPS 预期 隐含涨跌幅The size of the up-or-down move the options market is pricing for a stock by a given date, read from option prices (the at-the-money straddle). It is a market-implied estimate, not a forecast.历史平均波动幅度历史中位数IV30
GE GE Aerospace 1.99 尚未记录 4.6% 4.1% 29.3%
GM General Motors Company 3.57 尚未记录 5.4% 5.7% 31.8%
HAL Halliburton Company 0.58 尚未记录 5.5% 5.2% 34.1%
ISRG Intuitive Surgical, Inc. 2.61 尚未记录 6.3% 4.3% 30.9%
KO The Coca-Cola Company 0.86 尚未记录 2.2% 1.5% 17.3%
LMT Lockheed Martin Corporation 7.56 尚未记录 5.7% 5.4% 24.9%
MMM 3M Company 2.39 尚未记录 6.4% 5.4% 22.7%
NFLX Netflix, Inc. 0.82 尚未记录 9.5% 9.2% 31.0%
NOC Northrop Grumman Corporation 7.17 尚未记录 4.5% 3.7% 25.7%
RTX RTX Corporation 1.75 尚未记录 4.5% 4.2% 22.8%
VZ Verizon Communications Inc. 1.29 尚未记录 4.0% 3.2% 20.5%

Wednesday, October 21

公司EPS 预期 隐含涨跌幅The size of the up-or-down move the options market is pricing for a stock by a given date, read from option prices (the at-the-money straddle). It is a market-implied estimate, not a forecast.历史平均波动幅度历史中位数IV30
AA Alcoa Corporation 1.56 尚未记录 6.3% 5.0% 50.5%
CCI Crown Castle Inc. 0.69 尚未记录 3.3% 2.9% 28.1%
IBM International Business … 2.90 尚未记录 6.0% 5.2% 30.0%
LRCX Lam Research Corporation 2.15 尚未记录 5.4% 4.6% 53.0%
LUV Southwest Airlines Co. 0.61 尚未记录 5.8% 5.4% 34.1%
LVS Las Vegas Sands Corp. 0.77 尚未记录 6.1% 5.0% 26.9%
PLD Prologis, Inc. 0.81 尚未记录 3.4% 3.3% 23.3%
PM Philip Morris Internati… 2.24 尚未记录 3.8% 3.1% 25.4%
T AT&T Inc. 0.62 尚未记录 4.7% 3.8% 21.0%
UAL United Airlines Holding… 3.01 尚未记录 6.3% 5.5% 42.4%

Thursday, October 22

公司EPS 预期 隐含涨跌幅The size of the up-or-down move the options market is pricing for a stock by a given date, read from option prices (the at-the-money straddle). It is a market-implied estimate, not a forecast.历史平均波动幅度历史中位数IV30
AAL American Airlines Group Inc. -0.32 尚未记录 5.4% 4.9% 41.1%
BKR Baker Hughes Company 0.59 尚未记录 5.4% 4.7% 31.4%
BX Blackstone Inc. 1.36 尚未记录 5.4% 4.5% 36.4%
BYD Boyd Gaming Corporation 1.74 尚未记录 4.7% 4.2% 26.2%
DECK Deckers Outdoor Corporation 1.80 尚未记录 10.9% 9.9% 33.2%
F Ford Motor Company 0.41 尚未记录 6.1% 4.1% 31.2%
FCX Freeport-McMoRan Inc. 0.73 尚未记录 4.5% 3.3% 48.1%
HON Honeywell International Inc. 2.15 尚未记录 4.5% 4.7% 27.2%
INTC Intel Corp. 0.39 尚未记录 9.5% 7.4% 54.6%
NEM Newmont Corporation 2.18 尚未记录 5.4% 5.1% 43.0%
TMUS T-Mobile US, Inc. 2.89 尚未记录 5.1% 5.8% 27.5%
VLO Valero Energy Corporation 16.20 尚未记录 2.7% 1.8% 44.4%

Friday, October 23

公司EPS 预期 隐含涨跌幅The size of the up-or-down move the options market is pricing for a stock by a given date, read from option prices (the at-the-money straddle). It is a market-implied estimate, not a forecast.历史平均波动幅度历史中位数IV30
AXP American Express Company 4.58 尚未记录 4.3% 3.6% 22.7%
PG The Procter & Gamble Company 1.89 尚未记录 2.5% 2.7% 17.5%

Monday, October 26

公司EPS 预期 隐含涨跌幅The size of the up-or-down move the options market is pricing for a stock by a given date, read from option prices (the at-the-money straddle). It is a market-implied estimate, not a forecast.历史平均波动幅度历史中位数IV30
NUE Nucor Corporation 5.82 尚未记录 5.4% 4.9% 36.2%

Tuesday, October 27

公司EPS 预期 隐含涨跌幅The size of the up-or-down move the options market is pricing for a stock by a given date, read from option prices (the at-the-money straddle). It is a market-implied estimate, not a forecast.历史平均波动幅度历史中位数IV30
AMT American Tower Corporation 1.64 尚未记录 3.6% 3.6% 26.9%
CB Chubb Limited 6.34 尚未记录 2.3% 1.5% 19.3%
CZR Caesars Entertainment, Inc. -0.07 尚未记录 4.9% 3.0% 37.5%
ENPH Enphase Energy, Inc. 0.48 尚未记录 13.6% 12.8% 60.6%
NEE NextEra Energy, Inc. 1.23 尚未记录 4.5% 2.7% 21.2%

近期反应幅度(最近 14 天)

公司已公布反应幅度隐含值为
BBY Best Buy Co., Inc. Aug 27 -5.7% 未记录
ULTA Ulta Beauty, Inc. Aug 27 -4.7% 未记录
DLTR Dollar Tree, Inc. Aug 27 -3.0% 未记录
AFRM Affirm Holdings, Inc. Aug 27 +1.7% 未记录
DG Dollar General Corporation Aug 27 +0.1% 未记录
OKTA Okta, Inc. Aug 26 +32.4% 未记录
CRWD CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. Aug 26 +23.0% 未记录
CRM Salesforce, Inc. Aug 26 +22.5% 未记录
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation Aug 26 +7.0% 未记录
TCOM Trip.com Group Limited Aug 26 -3.0% 未记录
LI Li Auto Inc. Aug 26 -0.7% 未记录
DKS DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc. Aug 25 -27.7% 未记录
ZM Zoom Communications, Inc. Aug 25 -10.5% 未记录
XPEV XPeng Inc. Aug 24 -4.8% 未记录
PDD PDD Holdings Inc. Aug 24 -0.7% 未记录

反应幅度 = 财报发布日前后两个交易日的收盘价变动幅度;历史平均值取绝对波动幅度的均值。财报日期及预测数据来源:Financial Modeling Prep。

非必需消费品

ABNB · Airbnb, Inc.AMZN · Amazon.com, Inc.AZO · AutoZone, Inc.BABA · Alibaba Group Holding…BBY · Best Buy Co., Inc.BYD · Boyd Gaming CorporationCAVA · CAVA Group, Inc.CCL · Carnival Corporation & plc

ETF

ARKK · ARK Innovation ETFBITO · ProShares Bitcoin ETFDIA · State Street SPDR Dow…EEM · iShares MSCI Emerging…EFA · iShares MSCI EAFE ETFEWZ · iShares MSCI Brazil ETFFXI · iShares China Large-Cap ETFGDX · VanEck Gold Miners ETF

科技

AAPL · Apple Inc.ADBE · Adobe Inc.AI · C3.ai, Inc.AMAT · Applied Materials, Inc.AMD · Advanced Micro Device…APP · AppLovin CorporationARM · Arm Holdings plc Amer…ASML · ASML Holding N.V.

金融服务

AFRM · Affirm Holdings, Inc.ALL · The Allstate CorporationALLY · Ally Financial Inc.AXP · American Express CompanyBAC · Bank of America CorporationBLK · BlackRock, Inc.BX · Blackstone Inc.C · Citigroup Inc.

工业

AAL · American Airlines Gro…BA · The Boeing CompanyCAT · Caterpillar Inc.CMI · Cummins Inc.DAL · Delta Air Lines, Inc.DE · Deere & CompanyEMR · Emerson Electric Co.ETN · Eaton Corporation plc

能源

BKR · Baker Hughes CompanyCCJ · Cameco CorporationCOP · ConocoPhillipsCVX · Chevron CorporationDVN · Devon Energy CorporationENPH · Enphase Energy, Inc.EOG · EOG Resources, Inc.ET · Energy Transfer LP