Las Vegas Sands Corp. (LVS)
Overview · Option chain · Volatility · Expected-move history · Earnings
Cboe delayed options data · as of 00:36 UTC · Figures derived from the full chain (742 contracts, 14 expirations) · IV own-history percentile appears after 60 recorded days (3 so far)
Expected move — Sep 18, 2026 (16 days)
Methodology →Read from option prices: the at-the-money straddle costs this much, so the market is pricing a move of about that size in either direction by this date. It is an estimate of movement, not a prediction of direction.
Options are pricing a move of about ±4.7% (range 42.73–46.99) by Sep 18, 2026. ATM straddle: 2.13 @ strike 45 · ATM IV: 28.1%.
Probability distribution
Model & assumptions →The curve shows where a lognormal model, fed with current implied volatility, puts the range of outcomes at this expiration. Shaded: the expected-move band.
| Level | vs price | P(above)Model-estimated chance the stock finishes above a level at expiration, derived from current IV under a lognormal model with stated assumptions — an estimate, not a prediction. | P(below) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40.37 | -10% | 96.1% | 3.9% |
| 42.62 | -5% | 80.0% | 20.0% |
| 44.86 | +0% | 48.8% | 51.2% |
| 47.10 | +5% | 19.5% | 80.5% |
| 49.34 | +10% | 4.9% | 95.1% |
Model-estimated probabilities of finishing above/below each level at expiration — estimates under stated assumptions, not predictions.
Probability explorer
Drag the slider to any level and see the model-estimated chance the stock finishes above or below it at the selected expiration.
Horizon: Sep 18, 2026 · lognormal model, zero drift — an estimate, not a prediction. Assumptions
Expirations
Open the chain →| Expires | DTEDays to expiration, in calendar days. | Implied move | ATM IV | Open int. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 04, 2026 | 2 | ±1.9% | 29.8% | 6,078 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | 9 | ±3.8% | 29.3% | 2,410 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | 16 | ±4.7% | 28.1% | 39.2K |
| Sep 25, 2026 | 23 | ±5.3% | 26.2% | 701 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | 30 | ±6.2% | 26.9% | 696 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | 37 | ±7.9% | 30.9% | 147 |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 44 | ±8.2% | 29.7% | 6,695 |
| Nov 20, 2026 | 79 | ±12.8% | 34.6% | 4,819 |
| Dec 18, 2026 | 107 | ±15.8% | 36.7% | 32.4K |
| Jan 15, 2027 | 135 | ±16.1% | 33.4% | 30.3K |
| Mar 19, 2027 | 198 | ±19.3% | 33.3% | 5,416 |
Open interest by strike — Sep 18
Where option positions are concentrated. Teal bars are calls, red bars are puts; the dashed line is the current price.
Largest open-interest concentrations (all expirations ≤ 60 days): 45 P · 5,20350 C · 4,83947.5 P · 4,64340 P · 4,36342.5 P · 3,831
IV term structure
Volatility page →At-the-money implied volatility for each expiration. A hump around a date often marks a scheduled event the market is pricing.
When does open interest expire?
Implied vs realized volatility
HV from our stored daily closes (annualized); IV30 interpolated from the chain. Method
Price, last 60 sessions
Track record
Full history →Every trading day we record what the options market is pricing for each expiration — before the outcome is known. Once expirations start resolving, this section compares expected versus actual, and the record is never rewritten. Recording since Aug 31, 2026.
Past earnings reactions
Avg |reaction| 6.1% · median 5.0% (20 reports) — two-session close-to-close window; definition
About Las Vegas Sands Corp.
Las Vegas Sands Corporation, in conjunction with its various subsidiaries, specializes in the development, ownership, and ongoing management of comprehensive integrated resort properties across both Asian and United States markets. The company maintains a significant portfolio of establishments in Macao, People's Republic of China, including The Venetian Macao Resort Hotel, the Londoner Macao, The Parisian Macao, The Plaza Macao (which encompasses the Four Seasons Hotel Macao, Cotai Strip), and the Sands Macao. Furthermore, its Asian operations extend to Singapore, where it presides over the iconic Marina Bay Sands. Domestically, Las Vegas Sands also operates key assets within Las Vegas, Nevada: The Venetian Resort Hotel Casino, prominently situated on the renowned Las Vegas Strip, and the Sands Expo and Convention Center. These expansive integrated resorts are meticulously designed to offer a full spectrum of guest experiences, boasting luxurious accommodations, extensive gaming facilities, diverse entertainment venues, high-end retail shopping complexes, state-of-the-art convention and exhibition spaces, gourmet restaurants helmed by celebrity chefs, and numerous other guest conv
Consumer Cyclical · Gambling, Resorts & Casinos · NYSE · Profile: Financial Modeling Prep
LVS news
All news →Last-mile costs rise 12% for a second year
Yahoo Finance · Sep 02, 21:03 UTC ↗5 clear signs you’re actually upper middle class in America (even if you feel broke)
Yahoo Finance · Sep 02, 19:03 UTC ↗Wall St set to snap three-day streak of losses despite Middle East clashes
The major U.S. stock indexes were set to end a three-day losing streak on Wednesday, as investors cautiously dipped back into equities…
Reuters · Sep 02, 04:58 UTC ↗Related securities — Consumer Cyclical
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