Honeywell International Inc. (HON)
Overview · Option chain · Volatility · Expected-move history · Earnings
Cboe delayed options data · as of 12:37 UTC · Figures derived from the full chain (988 contracts, 13 expirations) · IV own-history percentile appears after 60 recorded days (28 so far)
Expected move · Nov 20, 2026 (32 days)
Methodology →Read from option prices: the at-the-money straddle costs this much, so the market is pricing a move of about that size in either direction by this date. It is an estimate of movement, not a prediction of direction.
Options are pricing a move of about ±7.9% (range 195.60–229.00) by Nov 20, 2026. ATM straddle: 16.70 @ strike 210 · ATM IV: 31.8%.
Probability distribution
Model & assumptions →The curve shows where a lognormal model, fed with current implied volatility, puts the range of outcomes at this expiration. Shaded: the expected-move band.
| Level | vs price | P(above)Model-estimated chance the stock finishes above a level at expiration, derived from current IV under a lognormal model with stated assumptions — an estimate, not a prediction. | P(below) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 191.07 | -10% | 85.8% | 14.2% |
| 201.69 | -5% | 69.0% | 31.0% |
| 212.30 | +0% | 48.1% | 51.9% |
| 222.92 | +5% | 28.6% | 71.4% |
| 233.53 | +10% | 14.5% | 85.5% |
Model-estimated probabilities of finishing above/below each level at expiration: estimates under stated assumptions, not predictions.
Probability explorer
Drag the slider to any level and see the model-estimated chance the stock finishes above or below it at the selected expiration.
Horizon: Nov 20, 2026 · lognormal model with zero drift: an estimate, not a prediction. Assumptions
Expirations
Open the chain →| Expires | DTEDays to expiration, in calendar days. | Implied move | ATM IV | Open int. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | 4 | ±5.1% | 45.6% | 13.1K |
| Oct 30, 2026 | 11 | ±6.3% | 40.0% | 1,093 |
| Nov 06, 2026 | 18 | ±6.9% | 36.2% | 257 |
| Nov 13, 2026 | 25 | ±7.2% | 32.2% | 147 |
| Nov 20, 2026 | 32 | ±7.9% | 31.8% | 5,965 |
| Nov 27, 2026 | 39 | ±8.2% | 30.3% | 68 |
| Dec 18, 2026 | 60 | ±9.5% | 28.7% | 7,728 |
| Jan 15, 2027 | 88 | ±11.4% | 28.5% | 4,932 |
| Mar 19, 2027 | 151 | ±15.3% | 29.8% | 5,693 |
Open interest by strike · Nov 20
Where option positions are concentrated. Teal bars are calls, red bars are puts; the dashed line is the current price.
Largest open-interest concentrations (all expirations ≤ 60 days): 260 C · 3,182250 C · 3,148240 C · 3,144265 C · 2,500255 C · 2,500
IV term structure
Volatility page →At-the-money implied volatility for each expiration. A hump around a date often marks a scheduled event the market is pricing.
When does open interest expire?
Implied vs realized volatility
HV from our stored daily closes (annualized); IV30 interpolated from the chain. Method
Price, last 60 sessions
Daily closes; Financial Modeling Prep.
Track record
Full history →Of 93 recorded snapshot-versus-outcome comparisons so far, the close landed inside the expected range 82.8% of the time.
Past earnings reactions
Avg |reaction| 4.5% · median 4.7% (20 reports). Two-session close-to-close window; definition
About Honeywell International Inc.
Honeywell International Inc. functions as a global leader in diversified technology and manufacturing. Its Aerospace division furnishes a comprehensive array of products and services for the aviation and space industries. This includes crucial components like auxiliary power units, propulsion systems, integrated avionics, environmental control mechanisms, and electrical power solutions. The segment also supplies engine controls, flight safety systems, communication and navigation hardware, and advanced data and software applications. Additionally, it provides radar, surveillance systems, aircraft lighting, sophisticated instruments, satellite and space components, and aircraft wheels and brakes. Essential support services cover spare parts, repairs, overhauls, maintenance, thermal systems, and wireless connectivity management. The Honeywell Building Technologies unit focuses on creating smarter, safer, and more efficient structures. It develops software for optimizing and controlling building functions, alongside sensors, switches, control systems, and instrumentation for energy management. Offerings extend to access control systems, video surveillance, fire detection products, and
Industrials · Conglomerates · NASDAQ · Profile: Financial Modeling Prep
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