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EOG Resources, Inc. (EOG)

Overview · Option chain · Volatility · Expected-move history · Earnings

Price (delayed) 158.01 +4.23%
Expected moveThe size of the up-or-down move the options market is pricing for a stock by a given date, read from option prices (the at-the-money straddle). It is a market-implied estimate, not a forecast. · Nov 20 ±8.2%
Expected range 145.38–171.28
IV30Implied volatility interpolated to a constant 30-day horizon from the expirations around it, so different stocks and dates can be compared fairly.32.9%
IV percentileWhere this IV30 ranks across all securities we cover today (a cross-sectional comparison, not the stock's own history). 33/universe
P/C volumePut volume (or open interest) divided by call volume (or open interest). A descriptive activity measure — it does not by itself say what traders expect.0.24
P/C open interest0.72
Next earnings Nov 05

Cboe delayed options data · as of 12:36 UTC · Figures derived from the full chain (1,124 contracts, 15 expirations) · IV own-history percentile appears after 60 recorded days (28 so far)

Expected move · Nov 20, 2026 (32 days)

Methodology →

Read from option prices: the at-the-money straddle costs this much, so the market is pricing a move of about that size in either direction by this date. It is an estimate of movement, not a prediction of direction.

145.4171.3158.3 current

Options are pricing a move of about ±8.2% (range 145.38–171.28) by Nov 20, 2026. ATM straddle: 12.95 @ strike 160 · ATM IV: 32.8%.

Probability distribution

Model & assumptions →

The curve shows where a lognormal model, fed with current implied volatility, puts the range of outcomes at this expiration. Shaded: the expected-move band.

158.3145.4171.3
expected-move bandmodel density
Levelvs priceP(above)Model-estimated chance the stock finishes above a level at expiration, derived from current IV under a lognormal model with stated assumptions — an estimate, not a prediction.P(below)
142.49 -10% 85.0% 15.0%
150.41 -5% 68.4% 31.6%
158.33 +0% 48.1% 51.9%
166.24 +5% 29.1% 70.9%
174.16 +10% 15.1% 84.9%

Model-estimated probabilities of finishing above/below each level at expiration: estimates under stated assumptions, not predictions.

Probability explorer

Drag the slider to any level and see the model-estimated chance the stock finishes above or below it at the selected expiration.

P(finish above)—
P(finish below)—
P(touch, approx.)—

Horizon: Nov 20, 2026 · lognormal model with zero drift: an estimate, not a prediction. Assumptions

ExpiresDTEDays to expiration, in calendar days.Implied moveATM IVOpen int.
Oct 23, 2026 4 ±3.6% 32.4% 917
Oct 30, 2026 11 ±4.9% 31.3% 1,494
Nov 06, 2026 18 ±6.8% 35.7% 1,274
Nov 13, 2026 25 ±7.3% 33.1% 213
Nov 20, 2026 32 ±8.2% 32.8% 8,342
Nov 27, 2026 39 ±8.8% 32.7% 271
Dec 18, 2026 60 ±10.6% 31.8% 12.2K
Jan 15, 2027 88 ±12.4% 31.1% 31.0K
Mar 19, 2027 151 ±16.2% 31.4% 6,017
Apr 16, 2027 179 ±17.3% 30.8% 598

Open interest by strike · Nov 20

Where option positions are concentrated. Teal bars are calls, red bars are puts; the dashed line is the current price.

120.0125.0130.0135.0140.0145.0150.0155.0160.0165.0170.0175.0180.0158.3
callsputs

Largest open-interest concentrations (all expirations ≤ 60 days): 130 P · 4,233155 C · 3,634165 C · 2,094150 C · 1,506160 C · 1,024

IV term structure

Volatility page →

At-the-money implied volatility for each expiration. A hump around a date often marks a scheduled event the market is pricing.

29%32%35%38%32d179d4d

When does open interest expire?

96%Later

Implied vs realized volatility

20.7%27.0%33.3%39.5%Aug 31Oct 16
IV30HV20

HV from our stored daily closes (annualized); IV30 interpolated from the chain. Method

Price, last 60 sessions

132.3141.5150.7159.9Jul 24Oct 16

Daily closes; Financial Modeling Prep.

Track record

Full history →

Of 93 recorded snapshot-versus-outcome comparisons so far, the close landed inside the expected range 89.2% of the time.

Past earnings reactions

Nov 24+5.3%Feb 25-7.7%May 25+0.5%Aug 25-0.3%Nov 25+0.2%Feb 26+0.2%May 26-4.9%Aug 26-7.9%
implied (when recorded)actual reaction

Avg |reaction| 3.2% · median 3.1% (20 reports). Two-session close-to-close window; definition

About EOG Resources, Inc.

EOG Resources, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, explores for, develops, produces, and markets crude oil, natural gas liquids, and natural gas in producing basins in the United States, the Republic of Trinidad and Tobago, and internationally. The company also offers crude oil and condensate, and gathering, processing and marketing. The company was formerly known as Enron Oil & Gas Company. EOG Resources, Inc. was incorporated in 1985 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.

Energy · Oil & Gas Exploration & Production · NYSE · Profile: Financial Modeling Prep

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