Li Auto Inc. (LI)
概览 · 期权链 · 波动率 · 预期涨跌幅历史记录 · 财报
Cboe delayed options data · 截至 18:39 UTC · 基于完整期权链衍生的数据 (554 合约, 12 到期日) · IV自身历史百分位在记录满60天后显示 (28 迄今为止)
预期涨跌幅 · Oct 30, 2026 (11 天)
方法论 →从期权价格中读取：平值跨式期权的成本即为市场在此日期前预计的双向波动幅度。这是对波动空间的估算，而非对方向的预测。
期权隐含波动幅度约为 ±6.3% (区间 10.53–11.95) 由 Oct 30, 2026. ATM 跨式组合: 0.71 @ 行权价 11 · ATM IV: 43.6%.
概率分布
模型与假设 →该曲线显示以当前隐含波动率为输入的对数正态模型对本到期日结果区间的估计，阴影部分为预期波动区间。
| 级别 | vs 价格 | P(上涨)Model-estimated chance the stock finishes above a level at expiration, derived from current IV under a lognormal model with stated assumptions — an estimate, not a prediction. | P(下跌) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10.12 | -10% | 91.1% | 8.9% |
| 10.68 | -5% | 73.8% | 26.2% |
| 11.24 | +0% | 48.5% | 51.5% |
| 11.80 | +5% | 24.8% | 75.2% |
| 12.36 | +10% | 9.8% | 90.2% |
基于模型估算的到期时收盘价高于/低于各价位的概率，这些是在特定假设下的估计值，并非预测结果。
概率探索工具
拖动滑块至任意价位，查看模型估算的股票在所选到期日收于该价位上方或下方的概率。
期限: Oct 30, 2026 · 以零漂移对数正态模型计算的估计值，并非预测结果。 假设条件
到期日
打开期权链 →| 到期时间 | DTEDays to expiration, in calendar days. | 隐含涨跌幅 | ATM IV | 未平仓量 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | 4 | ±4.4% | 47.8% | 4,701 |
| Oct 30, 2026 | 11 | ±6.3% | 43.6% | 17.2K |
| Nov 06, 2026 | 18 | ±8.2% | 45.3% | 1,278 |
| Nov 13, 2026 | 25 | ±9.8% | 46.4% | 547 |
| Nov 20, 2026 | 32 | ±11.0% | 46.2% | 2,128 |
| Nov 27, 2026 | 39 | ±12.1% | 46.2% | 58 |
| Dec 18, 2026 | 60 | ±14.9% | 45.9% | 29.8K |
| Jan 15, 2027 | 88 | ±18.3% | 46.8% | 60.0K |
| Mar 19, 2027 | 151 | ±24.2% | 47.2% | 3,375 |
各行权价未平仓量 · Oct 30
期权头寸集中分布的位置。青色柱为 call，红色柱为 put；虚线为当前价格。
未平仓量最集中的头寸（所有到期日 ≤ 60天）： 10 P · 18.1K11 P · 5,20713 C · 4,40813 P · 3,57614 C · 3,534
隐含波动率与已实现波动率
历史波动率来自我们存储的每日收盘价（年化）；IV30由期权链插值得出。 方法
价格，近60个交易日
每日收盘数据；来源：Financial Modeling Prep
关于 Li Auto Inc.
Li Auto Inc. is a prominent player in the rapidly expanding new energy vehicle market within the People's Republic of China. The company's operations span the entire lifecycle of high-end intelligent electric vehicles, from their initial design and development to manufacturing and eventual sale. Its diverse product portfolio primarily consists of multi-purpose vehicles (MPVs) and sport utility vehicles (SUVs). The company engages directly with customers through a blend of digital platforms and traditional brick-and-mortar channels, providing comprehensive sales and post-purchase management services. Originally founded in 2015 as Leading Ideal Inc., the company officially adopted its current name, Li Auto Inc., in July 2020. Its corporate headquarters are situated in Beijing, China.
非必需消费品 · Auto - Manufacturers · NASDAQ · 公司简介：Financial Modeling Prep
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