The Charles Schwab Corporation (SCHW)
Ikhtisar · Rantai opsi · Volatilitas · Riwayat pergerakan yang diharapkan · Laba
Cboe delayed options data · per 09:38 UTC · Angka yang diturunkan dari rantai opsi penuh (1,116 kontrak, 16 kedaluwarsa) · Persentil riwayat IV sendiri muncul setelah 60 hari pencatatan (3 sejauh ini)
Pergerakan yang diharapkan — Sep 18, 2026 (15 hari)
Metodologi →Dibaca dari harga opsi: straddle at-the-money berharga sebesar ini, sehingga pasar memperkirakan pergerakan sekitar sebesar itu ke salah satu arah pada tanggal ini. Ini adalah estimasi besarnya pergerakan, bukan prediksi arahnya.
Opsi memperkirakan pergerakan sekitar ±4.0% (rentang 103.93–112.55) oleh Sep 18, 2026. ATM straddle: 4.31 @ strike 108 · ATM IV: 23.6%.
Distribusi probabilitas
Model & asumsi →Kurva ini menunjukkan kisaran hasil yang diperkirakan oleh model lognormal — yang menggunakan implied volatility saat ini — pada ekspirasi ini. Bagian yang diarsir: pita pergerakan yang diperkirakan.
| Level | vs harga | P(di atas)Model-estimated chance the stock finishes above a level at expiration, derived from current IV under a lognormal model with stated assumptions — an estimate, not a prediction. | P(di bawah) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 97.42 | -10% | 98.5% | 1.5% |
| 102.83 | -5% | 85.2% | 14.8% |
| 108.24 | +0% | 49.0% | 51.0% |
| 113.65 | +5% | 14.9% | 85.1% |
| 119.06 | +10% | 2.2% | 97.8% |
Probabilitas estimasi model untuk harga berakhir di atas/di bawah setiap level pada saat kedaluwarsa — estimasi berdasarkan asumsi yang dinyatakan, bukan prediksi.
Penjelajah probabilitas
Geser slider ke level mana pun dan lihat perkiraan peluang dari model bahwa saham akan berakhir di atas atau di bawah level tersebut pada expirasi yang dipilih.
Horizon: Sep 18, 2026 · model lognormal, zero drift — sebuah estimasi, bukan prediksi. Asumsi
Expirasi
Buka rantai opsi →| Kedaluwarsa | DTEDays to expiration, in calendar days. | Implied move | ATM IV | Open int. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 04, 2026 | 1 | ±1.6% | 26.7% | 9,638 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | 8 | ±2.9% | 23.0% | 8,399 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | 15 | ±4.0% | 23.6% | 109.7K |
| Sep 25, 2026 | 22 | ±4.7% | 23.3% | 1,533 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | 29 | ±5.3% | 22.9% | 1,242 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | 36 | ±6.4% | 24.9% | 114 |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 43 | ±7.0% | 24.8% | 40.8K |
| Nov 20, 2026 | 78 | ±9.8% | 26.2% | 11.7K |
| Dec 18, 2026 | 106 | ±11.3% | 25.9% | 84.9K |
| Jan 15, 2027 | 134 | ±12.8% | 26.1% | 106.8K |
| Feb 19, 2027 | 169 | ±14.9% | 27.3% | 2,387 |
| Mar 19, 2027 | 197 | ±16.0% | 27.1% | 16.3K |
Open interest per strike — Sep 18
Tempat posisi opsi terkonsentrasi. Batang teal adalah call, batang merah adalah put; garis putus-putus adalah harga saat ini.
Konsentrasi open interest terbesar (semua kedaluwarsa ≤ 60 hari): 105 C · 23.9K115 C · 17.5K110 C · 13.9K87.5 P · 9,069110 P · 8,601
Struktur tenor IV
Halaman volatilitas →Implied volatility at-the-money untuk setiap tanggal kedaluwarsa. Tonjolan di sekitar suatu tanggal sering menandai acara terjadwal yang sedang dihargai oleh pasar.
Kapan open interest kedaluwarsa?
Implied vs realized volatility
HV dari penutupan harian tersimpan kami (disetahunkan); IV30 diinterpolasi dari rantai opsi. Metode
Harga, 60 sesi terakhir
Rekam jejak
Riwayat lengkap →Setiap hari perdagangan kami mencatat apa yang diperhitungkan pasar opsi untuk setiap expirasi — sebelum hasilnya diketahui. Begitu expirasi mulai terselesaikan, bagian ini membandingkan yang diharapkan versus yang aktual, dan catatan tidak pernah ditulis ulang. Pencatatan sejak 31 Agu 2026.
Reaksi pendapatan masa lalu
Rata-rata |reaksi| 5.0% · median 4.1% (20 laporan) — jendela tutup-ke-tutup dua sesi; definisi
Tentang The Charles Schwab Corporation
The Charles Schwab Corporation (SCHW) stands as a prominent financial services enterprise, delivering a comprehensive suite of offerings that encompass wealth management, securities trading and brokerage, banking services, asset administration, custodial solutions, and financial planning advice. Its operations are primarily structured around two core divisions: Investor Services and Advisor Services. The Investor Services segment caters directly to individual retail clients, furnishing a range of services such as brokerage accounts, investment guidance, banking and trust administration, retirement planning, and corporate brokerage offerings. It further assists businesses with the full-service recordkeeping of equity compensation plans (e.g., stock options, restricted stock, performance shares), provides clearing services for retail investors and mutual funds, and offers compliance solutions. Conversely, the Advisor Services segment provides a robust support system for independent investment advisors. This includes custodial services, trading platforms, banking infrastructure, and general operational support. Within this segment, offerings span diverse brokerage accounts for equitie
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SOFI · IV 47.9%HOOD · IV 60.4%MARA · IV 81.5%COIN · IV 61.8%NU · IV 40.5%BAC · IV 20.8%