The Charles Schwab Corporation (SCHW)
Overview · Option chain · Volatility · Expected-move history · Earnings
Cboe delayed options data · as of 12:40 UTC · Figures derived from the full chain (1,130 contracts, 16 expirations) · IV own-history percentile appears after 60 recorded days (28 so far)
Expected move · Nov 20, 2026 (32 days)
Methodology →Read from option prices: the at-the-money straddle costs this much, so the market is pricing a move of about that size in either direction by this date. It is an estimate of movement, not a prediction of direction.
Options are pricing a move of about ±6.3% (range 86.19–97.81) by Nov 20, 2026. ATM straddle: 5.81 @ strike 92.5 · ATM IV: 25.2%.
Probability distribution
Model & assumptions →The curve shows where a lognormal model, fed with current implied volatility, puts the range of outcomes at this expiration. Shaded: the expected-move band.
| Level | vs price | P(above)Model-estimated chance the stock finishes above a level at expiration, derived from current IV under a lognormal model with stated assumptions — an estimate, not a prediction. | P(below) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 82.80 | -10% | 91.5% | 8.5% |
| 87.40 | -5% | 74.2% | 25.8% |
| 92.00 | +0% | 48.5% | 51.5% |
| 96.60 | +5% | 24.5% | 75.5% |
| 101.20 | +10% | 9.5% | 90.5% |
Model-estimated probabilities of finishing above/below each level at expiration: estimates under stated assumptions, not predictions.
Probability explorer
Drag the slider to any level and see the model-estimated chance the stock finishes above or below it at the selected expiration.
Horizon: Nov 20, 2026 · lognormal model with zero drift: an estimate, not a prediction. Assumptions
Expirations
Open the chain →| Expires | DTEDays to expiration, in calendar days. | Implied move | ATM IV | Open int. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | 4 | ±2.9% | 25.8% | 13.3K |
| Oct 30, 2026 | 11 | ±3.9% | 24.8% | 7,937 |
| Nov 06, 2026 | 18 | ±5.0% | 25.7% | 3,894 |
| Nov 13, 2026 | 25 | ±5.7% | 25.4% | 3,103 |
| Nov 20, 2026 | 32 | ±6.3% | 25.2% | 29.6K |
| Nov 27, 2026 | 39 | ±6.8% | 25.0% | 2,072 |
| Dec 18, 2026 | 60 | ±8.3% | 24.9% | 119.0K |
| Jan 15, 2027 | 88 | ±10.0% | 24.9% | 122.3K |
| Feb 19, 2027 | 123 | ±12.3% | 26.2% | 5,645 |
| Mar 19, 2027 | 151 | ±13.6% | 26.2% | 26.5K |
Open interest by strike · Nov 20
Where option positions are concentrated. Teal bars are calls, red bars are puts; the dashed line is the current price.
Largest open-interest concentrations (all expirations ≤ 60 days): 105 C · 25.6K125 C · 23.2K115 C · 18.0K100 C · 10.6K95 P · 8,536
IV term structure
Volatility page →At-the-money implied volatility for each expiration. A hump around a date often marks a scheduled event the market is pricing.
When does open interest expire?
Implied vs realized volatility
HV from our stored daily closes (annualized); IV30 interpolated from the chain. Method
Price, last 60 sessions
Daily closes; Financial Modeling Prep.
Track record
Full history →Of 93 recorded snapshot-versus-outcome comparisons so far, the close landed inside the expected range 39.8% of the time.
Past earnings reactions
Avg |reaction| 5.0% · median 4.3% (21 reports). Two-session close-to-close window; definition
About The Charles Schwab Corporation
The Charles Schwab Corporation (SCHW) stands as a prominent financial services enterprise, delivering a comprehensive suite of offerings that encompass wealth management, securities trading and brokerage, banking services, asset administration, custodial solutions, and financial planning advice. Its operations are primarily structured around two core divisions: Investor Services and Advisor Services. The Investor Services segment caters directly to individual retail clients, furnishing a range of services such as brokerage accounts, investment guidance, banking and trust administration, retirement planning, and corporate brokerage offerings. It further assists businesses with the full-service recordkeeping of equity compensation plans (e.g., stock options, restricted stock, performance shares), provides clearing services for retail investors and mutual funds, and offers compliance solutions. Conversely, the Advisor Services segment provides a robust support system for independent investment advisors. This includes custodial services, trading platforms, banking infrastructure, and general operational support. Within this segment, offerings span diverse brokerage accounts for equitie
Financial Services · Financial - Capital Markets · NYSE · Profile: Financial Modeling Prep
SCHW news
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SOFI · IV 59.0%MARA · IV 93.3%RIOT · IV 95.6%NU · IV 62.5%C · IV 28.4%WFC · IV 25.5%