Nu Holdings Ltd. (NU)
Ikhtisar · Rantai opsi · Volatilitas · Riwayat pergerakan yang diharapkan · Laba
Cboe delayed options data · per 18:41 UTC · Angka yang diturunkan dari rantai opsi penuh (826 kontrak, 15 kedaluwarsa) · Persentil riwayat IV sendiri muncul setelah 60 hari pencatatan (28 sejauh ini)
Pergerakan yang diharapkan · Nov 20, 2026 (32 hari)
Metodologi →Dibaca dari harga opsi: straddle at-the-money berharga sebesar ini, sehingga pasar memperkirakan pergerakan sekitar sebesar itu ke salah satu arah pada tanggal ini. Ini adalah estimasi besarnya pergerakan, bukan prediksi arahnya.
Opsi memperkirakan pergerakan sekitar ±14.5% (rentang 12.37–16.57) oleh Nov 20, 2026. ATM straddle: 2.10 @ strike 14.5 · ATM IV: 61.4%.
Distribusi probabilitas
Model & asumsi →Kurva ini menunjukkan kisaran hasil yang diperkirakan oleh model lognormal — yang menggunakan implied volatility saat ini — pada ekspirasi ini. Bagian yang diarsir: pita pergerakan yang diperkirakan.
| Level | vs harga | P(di atas)Model-estimated chance the stock finishes above a level at expiration, derived from current IV under a lognormal model with stated assumptions — an estimate, not a prediction. | P(di bawah) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13.02 | -10% | 68.7% | 31.3% |
| 13.74 | -5% | 57.6% | 42.4% |
| 14.46 | -0% | 46.5% | 53.5% |
| 15.19 | +5% | 35.9% | 64.1% |
| 15.91 | +10% | 26.9% | 73.1% |
Probabilitas yang diestimasi model untuk harga berakhir di atas/di bawah setiap level saat kedaluwarsa: estimasi berdasarkan asumsi tertentu, bukan prediksi.
Penjelajah probabilitas
Geser slider ke level mana pun dan lihat perkiraan peluang dari model bahwa saham akan berakhir di atas atau di bawah level tersebut pada expirasi yang dipilih.
Horizon: Nov 20, 2026 · Model lognormal dengan zero drift: estimasi, bukan prediksi. Asumsi
Expirasi
Buka rantai opsi →| Kedaluwarsa | DTEDays to expiration, in calendar days. | Implied move | ATM IV | Open int. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | 4 | ±4.1% | 48.5% | 87.5K |
| Oct 30, 2026 | 11 | ±11.0% | 78.8% | 59.8K |
| Nov 06, 2026 | 18 | ±12.0% | 66.8% | 9,954 |
| Nov 13, 2026 | 25 | ±13.7% | 65.2% | 7,636 |
| Nov 20, 2026 | 32 | ±14.5% | 61.4% | 570.3K |
| Nov 27, 2026 | 39 | ±15.0% | 57.5% | 1,520 |
| Dec 18, 2026 | 60 | ±17.5% | 54.0% | 282.1K |
| Jan 15, 2027 | 88 | ±19.6% | 50.3% | 574.1K |
| Mar 19, 2027 | 151 | ±24.3% | 47.7% | 114.0K |
| Apr 16, 2027 | 179 | ±25.8% | 46.4% | 26.0K |
Open interest per strike · Nov 20
Tempat posisi opsi terkonsentrasi. Batang teal adalah call, batang merah adalah put; garis putus-putus adalah harga saat ini.
Konsentrasi open interest terbesar (semua kedaluwarsa ≤ 60 hari): 14 C · 140.5K18 C · 130.2K19 C · 119.5K17 C · 79.1K13 P · 74.0K
Struktur tenor IV
Halaman volatilitas →Implied volatility at-the-money untuk setiap tanggal kedaluwarsa. Tonjolan di sekitar suatu tanggal sering menandai acara terjadwal yang sedang dihargai oleh pasar.
Kapan open interest kedaluwarsa?
Implied vs volatilitas terealisasi
HV dari penutupan harian tersimpan kami (disetahunkan); IV30 diinterpolasi dari rantai opsi. Metode
Harga, 60 sesi terakhir
Penutupan harian; Financial Modeling Prep.
Rekam jejak
Riwayat lengkap →Dari 93 perbandingan snapshot-versus-hasil yang direkam sejauh ini, penutupan berada di dalam kisaran yang diperkirakan 47.3% dari waktu ke waktu.
Reaksi pendapatan masa lalu
Rata-rata |reaksi| 9.3% · median 6.2% (19 laporan). Jendela waktu dua sesi penutupan ke penutupan; definisi
Tentang Nu Holdings Ltd.
Nu Holdings Ltd. provides digital banking platform in Brazil, Mexico, Colombia, the Cayman Islands, and the United States. The company provides spending solutions comprising Nu credit and prepaid card, a digitally enabled card that acts as a credit and a prepaid card; Nubank+ Tier, an evolution of the Nu experience; Ultraviolet credit and prepaid card, a premium metal credit card; mobile payment solutions for NuAccount customers to make and receive transfers, pay bills, and make everyday purchases through their mobile phones; and Nu Shopping, an integrated marketplace that enables customers to purchase goods and services from various ecommerce retailers. It also offers transactional solutions, such as Nu Personal Accounts, a digital account solution for personal financial activities; Nu business accounts for entrepreneur customers and their businesses; and Nu business prepaid and credit card. In addition, it offers savings and investing solutions, including Money Boxes, a solution for goal-based investing; investing solutions, an attractive investment product with customized and conflict-free guidance; and NuCrypto, a solution for buying and selling cryptocurrencies through the Nu
Layanan Keuangan · Banks - Regional · NYSE · Profil: Financial Modeling Prep
NU berita
Semua berita →China's CXMT Expects Over Eightfold Revenue Jump Amid Memory Squeeze
Chinese memory-chip maker CXMT said rapidly growing demand for artificial-intelligence computing power has boosted the dynamic…
WSJ · 00:23 UTC ↗Wholesale prices jumped 6.3% annually in September, biggest gain since 2022
September producer prices were expected to increase 0.6% month over month and 5.5% annually, according to the consensus estimate by Dow…
CNBC · Oct 15, 16:15 UTC ↗Consumer prices rose 3.7% annually in September as gas prices skyrocket
The consumer price index was expected to increase 0.6% in September on a monthly basis and 3.6% from a year ago, according to the Dow Jones…
CNBC · Oct 14, 13:53 UTC ↗Efek terkait · Layanan Keuangan
SOFI · IV 59.4%HOOD · IV 66.9%MARA · IV 93.4%BAC · IV 24.0%COIN · IV 69.3%JPM · IV 21.8%