Las Vegas Sands Corp. (LVS)
Overview · Option chain · Volatility · Expected-move history · Earnings
Cboe delayed options data · as of 18:39 UTC · Figures derived from the full chain (734 contracts, 13 expirations) · IV own-history percentile appears after 60 recorded days (28 so far)
Expected move · Nov 20, 2026 (32 days)
Methodology →Read from option prices: the at-the-money straddle costs this much, so the market is pricing a move of about that size in either direction by this date. It is an estimate of movement, not a prediction of direction.
Options are pricing a move of about ±9.7% (range 34.15–41.48) by Nov 20, 2026. ATM straddle: 3.67 @ strike 38 · ATM IV: 40.8%.
Probability distribution
Model & assumptions →The curve shows where a lognormal model, fed with current implied volatility, puts the range of outcomes at this expiration. Shaded: the expected-move band.
| Level | vs price | P(above)Model-estimated chance the stock finishes above a level at expiration, derived from current IV under a lognormal model with stated assumptions — an estimate, not a prediction. | P(below) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34.03 | -10% | 79.2% | 20.8% |
| 35.92 | -5% | 64.3% | 35.7% |
| 37.81 | -0% | 47.6% | 52.4% |
| 39.71 | +5% | 32.1% | 67.9% |
| 41.60 | +10% | 19.7% | 80.3% |
Model-estimated probabilities of finishing above/below each level at expiration: estimates under stated assumptions, not predictions.
Probability explorer
Drag the slider to any level and see the model-estimated chance the stock finishes above or below it at the selected expiration.
Horizon: Nov 20, 2026 · lognormal model with zero drift: an estimate, not a prediction. Assumptions
Expirations
Open the chain →| Expires | DTEDays to expiration, in calendar days. | Implied move | ATM IV | Open int. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | 4 | ±6.4% | 75.4% | 10.6K |
| Oct 30, 2026 | 11 | ±7.1% | 50.8% | 1,923 |
| Nov 06, 2026 | 18 | ±8.2% | 45.0% | 945 |
| Nov 13, 2026 | 25 | ±8.9% | 42.2% | 853 |
| Nov 20, 2026 | 32 | ±9.7% | 40.8% | 34.6K |
| Nov 27, 2026 | 39 | ±10.2% | 38.9% | 78 |
| Dec 18, 2026 | 60 | ±12.3% | 38.1% | 23.2K |
| Jan 15, 2027 | 88 | ±14.3% | 36.7% | 37.4K |
| Mar 19, 2027 | 151 | ±19.0% | 37.4% | 12.0K |
Open interest by strike · Nov 20
Where option positions are concentrated. Teal bars are calls, red bars are puts; the dashed line is the current price.
Largest open-interest concentrations (all expirations ≤ 60 days): 37.5 C · 17.5K35 P · 5,41440 C · 4,27750 C · 3,82530 P · 3,407
IV term structure
Volatility page →At-the-money implied volatility for each expiration. A hump around a date often marks a scheduled event the market is pricing.
When does open interest expire?
Implied vs realized volatility
HV from our stored daily closes (annualized); IV30 interpolated from the chain. Method
Price, last 60 sessions
Daily closes; Financial Modeling Prep.
Track record
Full history →Of 93 recorded snapshot-versus-outcome comparisons so far, the close landed inside the expected range 26.9% of the time.
Past earnings reactions
Avg |reaction| 6.1% · median 5.0% (20 reports). Two-session close-to-close window; definition
About Las Vegas Sands Corp.
Las Vegas Sands Corporation, in conjunction with its various subsidiaries, specializes in the development, ownership, and ongoing management of comprehensive integrated resort properties across both Asian and United States markets. The company maintains a significant portfolio of establishments in Macao, People's Republic of China, including The Venetian Macao Resort Hotel, the Londoner Macao, The Parisian Macao, The Plaza Macao (which encompasses the Four Seasons Hotel Macao, Cotai Strip), and the Sands Macao. Furthermore, its Asian operations extend to Singapore, where it presides over the iconic Marina Bay Sands. Domestically, Las Vegas Sands also operates key assets within Las Vegas, Nevada: The Venetian Resort Hotel Casino, prominently situated on the renowned Las Vegas Strip, and the Sands Expo and Convention Center. These expansive integrated resorts are meticulously designed to offer a full spectrum of guest experiences, boasting luxurious accommodations, extensive gaming facilities, diverse entertainment venues, high-end retail shopping complexes, state-of-the-art convention and exhibition spaces, gourmet restaurants helmed by celebrity chefs, and numerous other guest conv
Consumer Cyclical · Gambling, Resorts & Casinos · NYSE · Profile: Financial Modeling Prep
LVS news
All news →Anthropic is AI trade's last big hope for a major IPO this year
On Kalshi, Anthropic is seen as the last major IPO in 2026 after OpenAI delayed its public market debut. Others have postponed too.
CNBC · 16:42 UTC ↗Builders slash prices on new homes as buyer traffic drops to 14-year low
Four in 10 home builders are cutting prices to boost demand, even as they face rising construction costs.
MarketWatch · 14:00 UTC ↗This Biotech Stock Sinks Below $1 After Key Eye Drug Fails and Staff Is Slashed. Why There's Still Hope.
EyePoint stock is heading for its largest single-day percentage drop on record.
Barrons · 08:19 UTC ↗Bonds Are Plowing Past Inflation Risks as AI Trade Weakens. How Long Will That Last?
Treasuries are focused on AI weakness, not faster inflation, amid one of the strongest rallies in a year.
Barrons · 07:30 UTC ↗Related securities · Consumer Cyclical
TSLA · IV 45.3%AMZN · IV 40.3%GME · IV 59.4%RIVN · IV 66.3%NKE · IV 38.1%BABA · IV 39.7%