iShares China Large-Cap ETF (FXI · ETF)
Overview · Option chain · Volatility · Expected-move history
Cboe delayed options data · as of 21:50 UTC · Figures derived from the full chain (1,428 contracts, 23 expirations) · IV own-history percentile appears after 60 recorded days (4 so far)
Expected move — Sep 18, 2026 (15 days)
Methodology →Read from option prices: the at-the-money straddle costs this much, so the market is pricing a move of about that size in either direction by this date. It is an estimate of movement, not a prediction of direction.
Options are pricing a move of about ±2.5% (range 34.44–36.24) by Sep 18, 2026. ATM straddle: 0.9 @ strike 35.5 · ATM IV: 15.5%.
Probability distribution
Model & assumptions →The curve shows where a lognormal model, fed with current implied volatility, puts the range of outcomes at this expiration. Shaded: the expected-move band.
| Level | vs price | P(above)Model-estimated chance the stock finishes above a level at expiration, derived from current IV under a lognormal model with stated assumptions — an estimate, not a prediction. | P(below) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31.81 | -10% | 100.0% | 0.0% |
| 33.57 | -5% | 94.7% | 5.3% |
| 35.34 | +0% | 49.4% | 50.6% |
| 37.11 | +5% | 5.8% | 94.2% |
| 38.87 | +10% | 0.1% | 99.9% |
Model-estimated probabilities of finishing above/below each level at expiration — estimates under stated assumptions, not predictions.
Probability explorer
Drag the slider to any level and see the model-estimated chance the stock finishes above or below it at the selected expiration.
Horizon: Sep 18, 2026 · lognormal model, zero drift — an estimate, not a prediction. Assumptions
Expirations
Open the chain →| Expires | DTEDays to expiration, in calendar days. | Implied move | ATM IV | Open int. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 04, 2026 | 1 | ±1.2% | 26.7% | 29.6K |
| Sep 11, 2026 | 8 | ±2.1% | 17.1% | 11.8K |
| Sep 18, 2026 | 15 | ±2.5% | 15.5% | 944.4K |
| Sep 25, 2026 | 22 | ±3.8% | 19.2% | 15.2K |
| Sep 30, 2026 | 27 | ±4.1% | 18.5% | 78.4K |
| Oct 02, 2026 | 29 | ±4.4% | 19.2% | 4,502 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | 36 | ±4.7% | 18.5% | 3,514 |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 43 | ±5.2% | 18.8% | 260.5K |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 50 | ±5.6% | 19.0% | 0 |
| Nov 20, 2026 | 78 | ±7.4% | 20.6% | 286.7K |
| Dec 18, 2026 | 106 | ±10.0% | 22.5% | 760.9K |
| Dec 31, 2026 | 119 | ±9.8% | 21.0% | 16.9K |
Open interest by strike — Sep 18
Where option positions are concentrated. Teal bars are calls, red bars are puts; the dashed line is the current price.
Largest open-interest concentrations (all expirations ≤ 60 days): 40 C · 154.6K35 P · 139.1K38 C · 129.6K36 P · 127.4K30 P · 100.1K
IV term structure
Volatility page →At-the-money implied volatility for each expiration. A hump around a date often marks a scheduled event the market is pricing.
When does open interest expire?
Implied vs realized volatility
HV from our stored daily closes (annualized); IV30 interpolated from the chain. Method
Price, last 60 sessions
Track record
Full history →Every trading day we record what the options market is pricing for each expiration — before the outcome is known. Once expirations start resolving, this section compares expected versus actual, and the record is never rewritten. Recording since Aug 31, 2026.
About iShares China Large-Cap ETF
The iShares China Large-Cap ETF aims to mirror the performance of an index consisting of major Chinese companies whose shares are traded on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange.
ETF · Asset Management - Global · AMEX · Profile: Financial Modeling Prep
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