Dollar General Corporation (DG)
Overview · Option chain · Volatility · Expected-move history · Earnings
Cboe delayed options data · as of 15:34 UTC · Figures derived from the full chain (1,278 contracts, 16 expirations) · IV own-history percentile appears after 60 recorded days (3 so far)
Expected move — Sep 18, 2026 (15 days)
Methodology →Read from option prices: the at-the-money straddle costs this much, so the market is pricing a move of about that size in either direction by this date. It is an estimate of movement, not a prediction of direction.
Options are pricing a move of about ±5.4% (range 124.08–138.32) by Sep 18, 2026. ATM straddle: 7.12 @ strike 131 · ATM IV: 32.4%.
Probability distribution
Model & assumptions →The curve shows where a lognormal model, fed with current implied volatility, puts the range of outcomes at this expiration. Shaded: the expected-move band.
| Level | vs price | P(above)Model-estimated chance the stock finishes above a level at expiration, derived from current IV under a lognormal model with stated assumptions — an estimate, not a prediction. | P(below) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 118.08 | -10% | 94.2% | 5.8% |
| 124.64 | -5% | 77.3% | 22.7% |
| 131.20 | +0% | 48.7% | 51.3% |
| 137.76 | +5% | 21.9% | 78.1% |
| 144.32 | +10% | 6.9% | 93.1% |
Model-estimated probabilities of finishing above/below each level at expiration — estimates under stated assumptions, not predictions.
Probability explorer
Drag the slider to any level and see the model-estimated chance the stock finishes above or below it at the selected expiration.
Horizon: Sep 18, 2026 · lognormal model, zero drift — an estimate, not a prediction. Assumptions
Expirations
Open the chain →| Expires | DTEDays to expiration, in calendar days. | Implied move | ATM IV | Open int. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 04, 2026 | 1 | ±2.5% | 42.3% | 7,014 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | 8 | ±4.0% | 32.1% | 2,264 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | 15 | ±5.4% | 32.4% | 24.4K |
| Sep 25, 2026 | 22 | ±6.5% | 32.5% | 1,090 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | 29 | ±7.7% | 33.3% | 597 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | 36 | ±8.7% | 33.8% | 88 |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 43 | ±9.1% | 32.8% | 2,624 |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 50 | — | — | 0 |
| Nov 20, 2026 | 78 | ±12.3% | 33.3% | 7,145 |
| Dec 18, 2026 | 106 | ±16.1% | 37.5% | 9,435 |
| Jan 15, 2027 | 134 | ±17.9% | 36.9% | 21.6K |
| Feb 19, 2027 | 169 | ±19.4% | 35.8% | 489 |
Open interest by strike — Sep 18
Where option positions are concentrated. Teal bars are calls, red bars are puts; the dashed line is the current price.
Largest open-interest concentrations (all expirations ≤ 60 days): 120 P · 4,812110 P · 2,504135 C · 1,933140 C · 1,914100 P · 1,833
IV term structure
Volatility page →At-the-money implied volatility for each expiration. A hump around a date often marks a scheduled event the market is pricing.
When does open interest expire?
Implied vs realized volatility
HV from our stored daily closes (annualized); IV30 interpolated from the chain. Method
Price, last 60 sessions
Track record
Full history →Every trading day we record what the options market is pricing for each expiration — before the outcome is known. Once expirations start resolving, this section compares expected versus actual, and the record is never rewritten. Recording since Aug 31, 2026.
Past earnings reactions
Avg |reaction| 8.6% · median 4.6% (21 reports) — two-session close-to-close window; definition
About Dollar General Corporation
Dollar General Corporation is a prominent discount retail chain that offers a wide array of merchandise across the southern, southwestern, Midwestern, and eastern regions of the United States. Its extensive product assortment primarily features consumable items. This includes household essentials such as paper products, cleaning supplies, and laundry detergents; a wide array of food options, ranging from shelf-stable groceries like cereals, pasta, canned goods, condiments, and baking ingredients, to fresh and refrigerated perishables such as milk, eggs, bread, and frozen foods, as well as alcoholic beverages like beer and wine. The selection further encompasses popular snacks (candies, cookies, crackers, and carbonated drinks), health and beauty aids (over-the-counter medications, personal care items, cosmetics, dental, and foot care products), pet food and supplies, and tobacco products. Beyond consumables, Dollar General offers seasonal merchandise, which includes holiday decorations, toys, electronics, greeting cards, stationery, prepaid phone services and accessories, gardening tools, hardware, automotive items, and home office supplies. Customers can also find various home goo
Consumer Defensive · Discount Stores · NYSE · Profile: Financial Modeling Prep
DG news
All news →NextEra, Santee Cooper Point to Real Dollar Savings From AI Deployments
Yahoo Finance · 17:03 UTC ↗Japanese Yen Extends Gains Versus Weaker U.S. Dollar
Yahoo Finance · 15:03 UTC ↗Hidden China risks are emerging in America’s multibillion-dollar AI data center boom
U.S. AI data centers rely on China-linked supplies of transformers, batteries and optical gear as Washington moves to tighten restrictions…
CNBC · 14:00 UTC ↗How Equinix has found a niche in the multitrillion-dollar AI data center boom
Nvidia announced a new data center deal with Equinix and Together AI on Wednesday to help enterprise customers with open-model inference.
CNBC · Sep 02, 22:49 UTC ↗Related securities — Consumer Defensive
WMT · IV 21.9%KHC · IV 29.4%COST · IV 24.3%KO · IV 17.5%PEP · IV 20.7%PM · IV 25.9%