Dollar General Corporation (DG)
Overview · Option chain · Volatility · Expected-move history · Earnings
Cboe delayed options data · as of 00:36 UTC · Figures derived from the full chain (1,178 contracts, 15 expirations) · IV own-history percentile appears after 60 recorded days (29 so far)
Expected move · Nov 20, 2026 (32 days)
Methodology →Read from option prices: the at-the-money straddle costs this much, so the market is pricing a move of about that size in either direction by this date. It is an estimate of movement, not a prediction of direction.
Options are pricing a move of about ±8.5% (range 122.00–144.54) by Nov 20, 2026. ATM straddle: 11.28 @ strike 133 · ATM IV: 35.7%.
Probability distribution
Model & assumptions →The curve shows where a lognormal model, fed with current implied volatility, puts the range of outcomes at this expiration. Shaded: the expected-move band.
| Level | vs price | P(above)Model-estimated chance the stock finishes above a level at expiration, derived from current IV under a lognormal model with stated assumptions — an estimate, not a prediction. | P(below) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 119.94 | -10% | 82.8% | 17.2% |
| 126.61 | -5% | 66.7% | 33.3% |
| 133.27 | +0% | 47.9% | 52.1% |
| 139.93 | +5% | 30.3% | 69.7% |
| 146.60 | +10% | 17.0% | 83.0% |
Model-estimated probabilities of finishing above/below each level at expiration: estimates under stated assumptions, not predictions.
Probability explorer
Drag the slider to any level and see the model-estimated chance the stock finishes above or below it at the selected expiration.
Horizon: Nov 20, 2026 · lognormal model with zero drift: an estimate, not a prediction. Assumptions
Expirations
Open the chain →| Expires | DTEDays to expiration, in calendar days. | Implied move | ATM IV | Open int. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | 4 | ±3.1% | 36.7% | 3,375 |
| Oct 30, 2026 | 11 | ±4.8% | 34.9% | 1,176 |
| Nov 06, 2026 | 18 | ±6.2% | 34.6% | 934 |
| Nov 13, 2026 | 25 | ±6.9% | 32.8% | 404 |
| Nov 20, 2026 | 32 | ±8.5% | 35.7% | 11.0K |
| Nov 27, 2026 | 39 | ±8.9% | 34.2% | 55 |
| Dec 18, 2026 | 60 | ±13.1% | 40.1% | 12.6K |
| Jan 15, 2027 | 88 | ±14.9% | 37.8% | 22.9K |
| Feb 19, 2027 | 123 | ±17.1% | 36.9% | 1,200 |
| Mar 19, 2027 | 151 | ±19.3% | 37.6% | 3,610 |
Open interest by strike · Nov 20
Where option positions are concentrated. Teal bars are calls, red bars are puts; the dashed line is the current price.
Largest open-interest concentrations (all expirations ≤ 60 days): 140 C · 2,111150 C · 1,579115 P · 1,507110 C · 1,50275 P · 1,276
IV term structure
Volatility page →At-the-money implied volatility for each expiration. A hump around a date often marks a scheduled event the market is pricing.
When does open interest expire?
Implied vs realized volatility
HV from our stored daily closes (annualized); IV30 interpolated from the chain. Method
Price, last 60 sessions
Daily closes; Financial Modeling Prep.
Track record
Full history →Of 121 recorded snapshot-versus-outcome comparisons so far, the close landed inside the expected range 69.4% of the time.
Past earnings reactions
Avg |reaction| 8.6% · median 4.6% (21 reports). Two-session close-to-close window; definition
About Dollar General Corporation
Dollar General Corporation is a prominent discount retail chain that offers a wide array of merchandise across the southern, southwestern, Midwestern, and eastern regions of the United States. Its extensive product assortment primarily features consumable items. This includes household essentials such as paper products, cleaning supplies, and laundry detergents; a wide array of food options, ranging from shelf-stable groceries like cereals, pasta, canned goods, condiments, and baking ingredients, to fresh and refrigerated perishables such as milk, eggs, bread, and frozen foods, as well as alcoholic beverages like beer and wine. The selection further encompasses popular snacks (candies, cookies, crackers, and carbonated drinks), health and beauty aids (over-the-counter medications, personal care items, cosmetics, dental, and foot care products), pet food and supplies, and tobacco products. Beyond consumables, Dollar General offers seasonal merchandise, which includes holiday decorations, toys, electronics, greeting cards, stationery, prepaid phone services and accessories, gardening tools, hardware, automotive items, and home office supplies. Customers can also find various home goo
Consumer Defensive · Discount Stores · NYSE · Profile: Financial Modeling Prep
DG news
All news →Kelly Clarkson’s expensive purchases: A multi-million dollar real-estate portfolio that spans the country
From a sprawling waterfront mansion in Tennessee and a lavish California estate to a cozy Montana ranch, Kelly Clarkson is no stranger to…
MarketWatch · Oct 19, 09:03 UTC ↗Dollar's global role may erode faster as monetary system turns multipolar: Barry Eichengreen
Barry Eichengreen, professor at the University of California, Berkeley, says the U.S. dollar's long, gradual erosion could accelerate as…
CNBC International TV · Oct 19, 06:40 UTC ↗Related securities · Consumer Defensive
WMT · IV 28.5%KO · IV 21.6%PEP · IV 21.1%EL · IV 52.8%COST · IV 19.0%PG · IV 21.8%