Deckers Outdoor Corporation (DECK)
Overview · Option chain · Volatility · Expected-move history · Earnings
Cboe delayed options data · as of 00:34 UTC · Figures derived from the full chain (998 contracts, 14 expirations) · IV own-history percentile appears after 60 recorded days (3 so far)
Expected move — Sep 18, 2026 (16 days)
Methodology →Read from option prices: the at-the-money straddle costs this much, so the market is pricing a move of about that size in either direction by this date. It is an estimate of movement, not a prediction of direction.
Options are pricing a move of about ±5.5% (range 79.35–88.60) by Sep 18, 2026. ATM straddle: 4.62 @ strike 84 · ATM IV: 32.7%.
Probability distribution
Model & assumptions →The curve shows where a lognormal model, fed with current implied volatility, puts the range of outcomes at this expiration. Shaded: the expected-move band.
| Level | vs price | P(above)Model-estimated chance the stock finishes above a level at expiration, derived from current IV under a lognormal model with stated assumptions — an estimate, not a prediction. | P(below) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 75.58 | -10% | 93.4% | 6.6% |
| 79.78 | -5% | 76.3% | 23.7% |
| 83.97 | -0% | 48.7% | 51.3% |
| 88.17 | +5% | 22.7% | 77.3% |
| 92.37 | +10% | 7.7% | 92.3% |
Model-estimated probabilities of finishing above/below each level at expiration — estimates under stated assumptions, not predictions.
Probability explorer
Drag the slider to any level and see the model-estimated chance the stock finishes above or below it at the selected expiration.
Horizon: Sep 18, 2026 · lognormal model, zero drift — an estimate, not a prediction. Assumptions
Expirations
Open the chain →| Expires | DTEDays to expiration, in calendar days. | Implied move | ATM IV | Open int. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 04, 2026 | 2 | ±2.5% | 40.8% | 3,575 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | 9 | ±4.1% | 32.2% | 1,801 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | 16 | ±5.5% | 32.7% | 9,989 |
| Sep 25, 2026 | 23 | ±6.6% | 32.6% | 573 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | 30 | ±7.7% | 33.2% | 410 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | 37 | ±8.6% | 33.5% | 294 |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 44 | ±9.6% | 34.4% | 2,931 |
| Nov 20, 2026 | 79 | ±16.4% | 43.9% | 3,322 |
| Dec 18, 2026 | 107 | ±18.0% | 41.3% | 6,372 |
| Jan 15, 2027 | 135 | ±19.7% | 40.4% | 17.6K |
| Mar 19, 2027 | 198 | ±24.9% | 42.2% | 2,488 |
Open interest by strike — Sep 18
Where option positions are concentrated. Teal bars are calls, red bars are puts; the dashed line is the current price.
Largest open-interest concentrations (all expirations ≤ 60 days): 100 C · 1,61185 P · 1,56690 P · 1,47275 P · 1,06795 P · 907
IV term structure
Volatility page →At-the-money implied volatility for each expiration. A hump around a date often marks a scheduled event the market is pricing.
When does open interest expire?
Implied vs realized volatility
HV from our stored daily closes (annualized); IV30 interpolated from the chain. Method
Price, last 60 sessions
Track record
Full history →Every trading day we record what the options market is pricing for each expiration — before the outcome is known. Once expirations start resolving, this section compares expected versus actual, and the record is never rewritten. Recording since Aug 31, 2026.
Past earnings reactions
Avg |reaction| 10.9% · median 9.9% (20 reports) — two-session close-to-close window; definition
About Deckers Outdoor Corporation
Deckers Outdoor Corporation, operating with its subsidiaries, is a global enterprise dedicated to the creation, promotion, and distribution of footwear, apparel, and accessories. Its product lines serve both casual everyday needs and specialized high-performance activities. The company manages a portfolio of prominent brands: Under the UGG label, it offers premium footwear, clothing, and related items. Teva is known for its range of sandals, shoes, and boots. Sanuk provides comfortable, relaxed casual shoes and sandals. For the athletic segment, particularly ultra-runners and other athletes, Hoka supplies specialized footwear and apparel. Lastly, Koolaburra features fashionable casual footwear, often incorporating plush materials. Deckers employs a multi-faceted sales approach. Its products are available through wholesale channels, including major department stores, independent outdoor and action sports retailers, large national retail chains, and various third-party online platforms. Concurrently, the company engages directly with consumers via its own network of physical retail outlets and e-commerce websites. Globally, Deckers extends its reach across the United States, Europe,
Consumer Cyclical · Apparel - Footwear & Accessories · NYSE · Profile: Financial Modeling Prep
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