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AbbVie Inc. (ABBV)

概览 · 期权链 · 波动率 · 预期涨跌幅历史记录 · 财报

价格(延迟) 285.42 +0.71%
预期涨跌幅The size of the up-or-down move the options market is pricing for a stock by a given date, read from option prices (the at-the-money straddle). It is a market-implied estimate, not a forecast. · Nov 20 ±7.4%
预期区间 263.84–306.14
IV30Implied volatility interpolated to a constant 30-day horizon from the expirations around it, so different stocks and dates can be compared fairly.29.7%
IV百分位Where this IV30 ranks across all securities we cover today (a cross-sectional comparison, not the stock's own history). 26/标的范围
P/C 成交量Put volume (or open interest) divided by call volume (or open interest). A descriptive activity measure — it does not by itself say what traders expect.0.91
P/C 未平仓量0.83
下次财报 Oct 30

Cboe delayed options data · 截至 12:33 UTC · 基于完整期权链衍生的数据 (1,326 合约, 15 到期日) · IV自身历史百分位在记录满60天后显示 (28 迄今为止)

预期涨跌幅 · Nov 20, 2026 (32 天)

方法论 →

从期权价格中读取:平值跨式期权的成本即为市场在此日期前预计的双向波动幅度。这是对波动空间的估算,而非对方向的预测。

263.8306.1285.0 current

期权隐含波动幅度约为 ±7.4% (区间 263.84–306.14) 由 Nov 20, 2026. ATM 跨式组合: 21.15 @ 行权价 280 · ATM IV: 29.3%.

该曲线显示以当前隐含波动率为输入的对数正态模型对本到期日结果区间的估计,阴影部分为预期波动区间。

285.0263.8306.1
预期波动区间模型概率密度
级别vs 价格P(上涨)Model-estimated chance the stock finishes above a level at expiration, derived from current IV under a lognormal model with stated assumptions — an estimate, not a prediction.P(下跌)
256.49 -10% 87.9% 12.1%
270.74 -5% 70.8% 29.2%
284.99 +0% 48.3% 51.7%
299.24 +5% 27.2% 72.8%
313.49 +10% 12.7% 87.3%

基于模型估算的到期时收盘价高于/低于各价位的概率,这些是在特定假设下的估计值,并非预测结果。

概率探索工具

拖动滑块至任意价位,查看模型估算的股票在所选到期日收于该价位上方或下方的概率。

P(收于上方)—
P(收于下方)—
P(触及,近似值)—

期限: Nov 20, 2026 · 以零漂移对数正态模型计算的估计值,并非预测结果。 假设条件

到期时间DTEDays to expiration, in calendar days.隐含涨跌幅ATM IV未平仓量
Oct 23, 2026 4 ±3.1% 28.0% 7,951
Oct 30, 2026 11 ±5.7% 36.4% 4,646
Nov 06, 2026 18 ±6.6% 34.3% 2,408
Nov 13, 2026 25 ±6.9% 31.0% 2,832
Nov 20, 2026 32 ±7.4% 29.3% 37.9K
Nov 27, 2026 39 ±8.1% 29.8% 1,170
Dec 18, 2026 60 ±9.8% 29.2% 50.1K
Jan 15, 2027 88 ±11.4% 27.8% 61.8K
Feb 19, 2027 123 ±13.8% 29.5% 11.6K
Mar 19, 2027 151 ±15.3% 29.4% 22.9K

各行权价未平仓量 · Nov 20

期权头寸集中分布的位置。青色柱为 call,红色柱为 put;虚线为当前价格。

220.0240.0260.0280.0300.0320.0340.0285.0
看涨期权看跌期权

未平仓量最集中的头寸(所有到期日 ≤ 60天): 300 C · 17.4K290 C · 13.4K230 P · 9,484280 C · 6,811240 P · 5,403

IV期限结构

波动率页面 →

各到期日的平值隐含波动率。某日期附近出现隆起,通常意味着市场正在为该日期的已知事件定价。

26%30%34%39%32d4d151d

持仓量何时到期归零?

94%Later

隐含波动率与已实现波动率

10.5%17.8%25.2%32.6%Aug 31Oct 16
IV30HV20

历史波动率来自我们存储的每日收盘价(年化);IV30由期权链插值得出。 方法

价格,近60个交易日

240.5256.6272.7288.7Jul 24Oct 16

每日收盘数据;来源:Financial Modeling Prep

共 93 迄今已记录的快照与结果对比中,收盘价落在预期区间内的占 69.9% 的时间。

历次财报后的价格反应

Oct 24+7.6%Jan 25+8.2%Apr 25+6.6%Jul 25+3.1%Oct 25-7.1%Feb 26-2.9%Apr 26+6.9%Jul 26-4.8%
隐含(记录时)实际反应

平均|实际反应| 5.1% · 中位数 5.1% (20 财报). 两个交易日的收盘价至收盘价区间, 定义

关于 AbbVie Inc.

AbbVie Inc. is a global biopharmaceutical company dedicated to the discovery, development, manufacturing, and commercialization of advanced medicines. Its extensive therapeutic portfolio encompasses several key areas: Immunology and Inflammation: Leading products include HUMIRA, an injectable therapy for autoimmune and intestinal Behçet's diseases; SKYRIZI, which addresses moderate to severe plaque psoriasis in adults; and RINVOQ, a JAK inhibitor for moderate to severe active rheumatoid arthritis in adult patients. Oncology and Hematology: For blood cancers, AbbVie provides IMBRUVICA and VENCLEXTA (a BCL-2 inhibitor), both indicated for adult patients with chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL) and small lymphocytic lymphoma (SLL). Virology: MAVYRET offers a treatment option for individuals with chronic HCV genotype 1-6 infection. Gastroenterology and Endocrinology: The company supplies CREON, an enzyme replacement therapy for exocrine pancreatic insufficiency, and Synthroid, used to manage hypothyroidism. Linzess/Constella helps treat irritable bowel syndrome with constipation (IBS-C) and chronic idiopathic constipation. Women's Health and Urology: Lupron serves as a palliative treatm

医疗保健 · Drug Manufacturers - General · NYSE · 公司简介:Financial Modeling Prep

相关标的 · 医疗保健

MRNA · IV 110.6%UNH · IV 31.7%HIMS · IV 89.0%PFE · IV —LLY · IV 41.0%JNJ · IV 24.5%

非必需消费品

ABNB · Airbnb, Inc.AMZN · Amazon.com, Inc.AZO · AutoZone, Inc.BABA · Alibaba Group Holding…BBY · Best Buy Co., Inc.BYD · Boyd Gaming CorporationCAVA · CAVA Group, Inc.CCL · Carnival Corporation & plc

ETF

ARKK · ARK Innovation ETFBITO · ProShares Bitcoin ETFDIA · State Street SPDR Dow…EEM · iShares MSCI Emerging…EFA · iShares MSCI EAFE ETFEWZ · iShares MSCI Brazil ETFFXI · iShares China Large-Cap ETFGDX · VanEck Gold Miners ETF

科技

AAPL · Apple Inc.ADBE · Adobe Inc.AI · C3.ai, Inc.AMAT · Applied Materials, Inc.AMD · Advanced Micro Device…APP · AppLovin CorporationARM · Arm Holdings plc Amer…ASML · ASML Holding N.V.

金融服务

AFRM · Affirm Holdings, Inc.ALL · The Allstate CorporationALLY · Ally Financial Inc.AXP · American Express CompanyBAC · Bank of America CorporationBLK · BlackRock, Inc.BX · Blackstone Inc.C · Citigroup Inc.

工业

AAL · American Airlines Gro…BA · The Boeing CompanyCAT · Caterpillar Inc.CMI · Cummins Inc.DAL · Delta Air Lines, Inc.DE · Deere & CompanyEMR · Emerson Electric Co.ETN · Eaton Corporation plc

必需消费品

CELH · Celsius Holdings, Inc.CL · Colgate-Palmolive CompanyCOST · Costco Wholesale Corp…DG · Dollar General CorporationDLTR · Dollar Tree, Inc.EL · The Estée Lauder Comp…GIS · General Mills, Inc.HSY · The Hershey Company