Antes de cada informe cubierto, el mercado de opciones descuenta un movimiento esperado. Lo registramos antes del evento y lo comparamos con lo que el valor realmente hizo — para este trimestre y todos los anteriores que cubrimos. Cómo se miden los movimientos
De un vistazoLo que el precio de las opciones implica frente a lo que estos valores suelen hacer
El calendarioInformes próximos
El movimiento implícito se registra al cierre anterior a cada informe; hasta entonces, la celda lo indica en lugar de hacer suposiciones. Los promedios históricos corresponden a las magnitudes de reacción pasadas de la propia empresa.
| Empresa | EPS est. | Movimiento implícito | Movimiento hist. promedio | vs historia | IV30 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tuesday, October 20 | |||||
| 1.33 | ±8.9% | 5.9% | 34.2% | ||
| 6.79 | ±5.4% | 2.3% | 22.7% | ||
| 2.01 | ±6.3% | 4.6% | 37.4% | ||
| 3.70 | ±6.1% | 5.4% | 36.2% | ||
| 0.58 | ±5.8% | 5.5% | 41.1% | ||
| 2.65 | ±7.9% | 6.3% | 47.3% | ||
| 0.88 | ±2.3% | 2.2% | 21.6% | ||
| 7.54 | ±5.0% | 5.7% | 32.3% | ||
| 2.39 | ±6.1% | 6.4% | 33.9% | ||
| 0.82 | ±9.1% | 9.5% | 50.2% | ||
| 7.18 | ±8.0% | 4.5% | 33.9% | ||
| 1.78 | ±5.3% | 4.5% | 33.3% | ||
| 2.58 | ±6.9% | 6.3% | 48.4% | ||
| 1.28 | ±2.9% | 4.0% | 27.8% | ||
| Wednesday, October 21 | |||||
| 1.56 | ±5.3% | 6.1% | 45.6% | ||
| 0.68 | ±8.8% | 3.3% | 34.7% | ||
| 2.85 | ±7.8% | 6.0% | 42.6% | ||
| 0.32 | ±3.4% | 2.3% | 25.9% | ||
| 2.18 | ±8.2% | 5.4% | 58.6% | ||
| 0.57 | ±6.6% | 5.8% | 45.2% | ||
| 0.72 | ±6.6% | 6.1% | 40.9% | ||
| 6.58 | ±7.3% | 11.3% | 44.5% | ||
| 1.19 | ±4.0% | 4.5% | 25.2% | ||
| 4.30 | ±2.8% | 4.3% | 24.4% | ||
| 0.81 | ±5.7% | 3.4% | 23.4% | ||
| 2.30 | ±5.0% | 3.8% | 30.1% | ||
| 0.60 | ±5.0% | 4.7% | 31.9% | ||
| 0.45 | ±7.5% | 9.1% | 45.0% | ||
| 2.42 | ±8.4% | 5.8% | 47.2% | ||
| Thursday, October 22 | |||||
| -0.33 | ±7.0% | 5.4% | 52.2% | ||
| 0.62 | ±9.3% | 5.4% | 35.0% | ||
| 1.27 | ±6.3% | 5.4% | 41.9% | ||
| 1.67 | ±7.8% | 4.7% | 31.6% | ||
| 0.99 | ±6.7% | 5.2% | 40.3% | ||
| 1.79 | ±10.8% | 10.9% | 53.7% | ||
| 0.42 | ±3.7% | 6.1% | 39.6% | ||
| 0.76 | ±5.3% | 4.5% | 48.1% | ||
| 2.17 | ±5.1% | 4.5% | 33.8% | ||
| 0.40 | ±7.2% | 9.5% | 65.7% | ||
| 1.95 | ±5.6% | 5.4% | 40.9% | ||
| 1.88 | ±3.7% | 2.5% | 21.8% | ||
| 3.18 | ±9.7% | 9.6% | 52.8% | ||
| 2.85 | ±4.3% | 5.1% | 38.6% | ||
| 21.07 | ±6.5% | 2.7% | 53.3% | ||
| Friday, October 23 | |||||
| 4.58 | ±5.5% | 4.3% | 29.1% | ||
| 0.62 | ±6.9% | 3.6% | 36.7% | ||
| Monday, October 26 | |||||
| 5.80 | aún no registrado | 5.4% | 40.6% | ||
| Tuesday, October 27 | |||||
| 1.64 | aún no registrado | 3.6% | 29.4% | ||
| -0.24 | aún no registrado | 4.2% | 36.5% | ||
| -0.10 | aún no registrado | 4.9% | 37.6% | ||
| 0.51 | aún no registrado | 13.6% | 79.9% | ||
| 2.35 | aún no registrado | 2.2% | 29.8% | ||
| 0.55 | aún no registrado | 8.0% | 66.9% | ||
| 1.31 | aún no registrado | 9.1% | 42.3% | ||
| 6.38 | aún no registrado | 6.9% | 50.6% | ||
| 1.95 | aún no registrado | 3.4% | 48.6% | ||
| 0.17 | aún no registrado | 9.0% | 59.1% | ||
| 4.09 | aún no registrado | 6.3% | 28.9% | ||
| 1.63 | aún no registrado | 6.4% | 36.2% | ||
| 3.44 | aún no registrado | 3.3% | 23.4% | ||
| 0.79 | aún no registrado | 13.8% | 77.0% | ||
| Wednesday, October 28 | |||||
| 2.03 | aún no registrado | 2.3% | 20.9% | ||
| 0.29 | aún no registrado | 7.4% | 47.2% | ||
| 0.44 | aún no registrado | 19.8% | 79.0% | ||
| 1.41 | aún no registrado | 5.7% | 41.4% | ||
| 4.13 | aún no registrado | 3.9% | 35.6% | ||
| 0.76 | aún no registrado | 10.0% | 65.5% | ||
Reacciones recientes (últimos 14 días)
| Empresa | Publicado | Reacción | Lo implícito fue |
|---|---|---|---|
| SCHW The Charles Schwab Corp… | Oct 15 | -5.0% | ±4.4% |
| USB U.S. Bancorp | Oct 15 | +4.4% | ±4.0% |
| TSM Taiwan Semiconductor Ma… | Oct 15 | -4.0% | ±4.3% |
| PLD Prologis, Inc. | Oct 15 | -3.6% | ±4.1% |
| AA Alcoa Corporation | Oct 15 | +3.4% | ±6.9% |
| TRV The Travelers Companies, Inc. | Oct 15 | +3.1% | ±3.6% |
| PNC The PNC Financial Servi… | Oct 15 | +0.7% | ±4.1% |
| BLK BlackRock, Inc. | Oct 14 | +5.1% | ±4.9% |
| BAC Bank of America Corporation | Oct 14 | -4.2% | ±4.1% |
| PGR The Progressive Corporation | Oct 14 | -4.1% | ±3.6% |
| ASML ASML Holding N.V. | Oct 14 | -3.5% | ±6.1% |
| MS Morgan Stanley | Oct 14 | -2.4% | ±4.5% |
| C Citigroup Inc. | Oct 13 | -7.3% | ±4.5% |
| DPZ Domino's Pizza, Inc. | Oct 13 | -4.8% | ±7.5% |
| UNH UnitedHealth Group Inco… | Oct 13 | +4.5% | ±8.2% |
| JNJ Johnson & Johnson | Oct 13 | -3.7% | ±4.0% |
| WFC Wells Fargo & Company | Oct 13 | -2.9% | ±5.3% |
| GS The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. | Oct 13 | -1.7% | ±4.8% |
| BLK BlackRock, Inc. | Oct 13 | -0.9% | ±5.6% |
| JPM JPMorgan Chase & Co. | Oct 13 | +0.3% | ±3.9% |
Reacción = movimiento de cierre a cierre en dos sesiones alrededor de la fecha del informe; los promedios históricos corresponden a los tamaños absolutos de la reacción. Fechas e estimaciones de ganancias: Financial Modeling Prep.