Impliciete volatiliteit is de door de markt ingeprijsde verwachting van beweging; gerealiseerde volatiliteit is wat er daadwerkelijk gebeurde. Dit dashboard rangschikt het gedekte universum op beide, en op het verschil daartussen. Wat is IV? · Methodologie
VIX (Cboe Volatility Index): 15.20 · Cboe delayed options data · per 00:41 UTC
Hoogste IV30
| Effect | IV30 | HV20 | Impliciete beweging | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 106.6% | 96.4% | ±30.6% | ||
| 103.7% | 93.5% | ±29.7% | ||
| 89.1% | 62.5% | ±25.5% | ||
| 82.8% | 82.8% | ±23.7% | ||
| 81.7% | 96.8% | ±23.4% | ||
| 80.1% | 48.6% | ±23.0% | ||
| 77.6% | 39.2% | ±22.3% | ||
| 77.0% | 385.3% | ±22.1% | ||
| 76.8% | 77.6% | ±22.0% | ||
| 76.5% | 77.0% | ±21.9% | ||
| 75.7% | 76.5% | ±21.7% | ||
| 75.0% | 58.3% | ±21.5% | ||
| 72.9% | 73.0% | ±20.9% | ||
| 72.4% | 77.9% | ±20.8% | ||
| 71.8% | 62.0% | ±20.6% | ||
| 71.0% | 82.5% | ±20.3% | ||
| 71.0% | 57.8% | ±20.3% | ||
| 70.4% | 57.2% | ±20.2% | ||
| 69.2% | 93.8% | ±19.8% | ||
| 67.9% | 83.3% | ±19.5% |
Laagste IV30
| Effect | IV30 | HV20 | Impliciete beweging | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.4% | 3.9% | ±1.3% | ||
| 5.4% | 5.3% | ±1.5% | ||
| 5.6% | 6.4% | ±1.6% | ||
| 10.6% | 10.8% | ±3.0% | ||
| 11.7% | 8.1% | ±3.4% | ||
| 12.1% | 7.4% | ±3.5% | ||
| 12.4% | 7.6% | ±3.6% | ||
| 13.2% | 8.8% | ±3.8% | ||
| 13.6% | 14.0% | ±3.9% | ||
| 14.3% | 14.6% | ±4.1% | ||
| 14.9% | 11.2% | ±4.3% | ||
| 15.0% | 10.4% | ±4.3% | ||
| 15.9% | 18.5% | ±4.6% | ||
| 17.3% | 15.1% | ±5.0% | ||
| 17.4% | 19.8% | ±5.0% | ||
| 17.4% | 12.8% | ±5.0% | ||
| 17.5% | 13.1% | ±5.0% | ||
| 17.5% | 13.0% | ±5.0% | ||
| 17.9% | 12.9% | ±5.1% | ||
| 17.9% | 11.3% | ±5.1% |
IV verst boven gerealiseerd
Opties prijzen een veel grotere beweging in dan het aandeel recentelijk heeft laten zien. Het verschil is IV30 minus HV20, in volatiliteitspunten — een beschrijvend verschil, geen signaal.
| Effect | IV30 | HV20 | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| 77.6% | 39.2% | +38.5pt | |
| 37.5% | 5.3% | +32.2pt | |
| 80.1% | 48.6% | +31.5pt | |
| 67.2% | 37.5% | +29.7pt | |
| 51.6% | 22.8% | +28.8pt | |
| 89.1% | 62.5% | +26.6pt | |
| 52.0% | 26.1% | +25.9pt | |
| 53.1% | 31.2% | +21.9pt | |
| 44.4% | 24.3% | +20.2pt | |
| 34.4% | 14.5% | +20.0pt | |
| 65.5% | 46.1% | +19.3pt | |
| 75.0% | 58.3% | +16.7pt |
IV verst onder gerealiseerd
| Effect | IV30 | HV20 | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| 77.0% | 385.3% | -308.4pt | |
| 40.9% | 137.7% | -96.7pt | |
| 51.6% | 107.0% | -55.4pt | |
| 54.4% | 101.8% | -47.4pt | |
| 56.1% | 101.1% | -45.1pt | |
| 40.1% | 84.4% | -44.3pt | |
| 37.1% | 79.5% | -42.4pt | |
| 50.9% | 90.2% | -39.3pt | |
| 54.6% | 87.0% | -32.3pt | |
| 56.1% | 87.0% | -30.9pt | |
| 29.7% | 56.0% | -26.3pt | |
| 45.5% | 70.9% | -25.4pt |
Steilste 25Δ skew (looptijd 20–45 dagen)
Skew vergelijkt de IV van out-of-the-money puts en calls. Een steile positieve skew betekent dat neerwaartse bescherming veel duurder geprijsd is dan opwaartse blootstelling.
| Effect | Vervaldatum | 25Δ skewThe IV gap between 25-delta puts and 25-delta calls for one expiration. Positive skew means downside protection is priced richer than upside exposure. |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 25 | +37.6pt | |
| Oct 02 | +32.0pt | |
| Sep 30 | +25.5pt | |
| Oct 09 | +18.4pt | |
| Sep 25 | +17.6pt | |
| Oct 09 | +17.2pt | |
| Oct 02 | +16.3pt | |
| Oct 09 | +16.0pt | |
| Oct 16 | +13.3pt | |
| Sep 25 | +12.6pt | |
| Oct 16 | +11.2pt | |
| Sep 30 | +11.0pt |