Lyft, Inc. (LYFT)
Overview · Option chain · Volatility · Expected-move history · Earnings
Cboe delayed options data · as of 09:39 UTC · Figures derived from the full chain (736 contracts, 17 expirations) · IV own-history percentile appears after 60 recorded days (28 so far)
Expected move · Nov 20, 2026 (32 days)
Methodology →Read from option prices: the at-the-money straddle costs this much, so the market is pricing a move of about that size in either direction by this date. It is an estimate of movement, not a prediction of direction.
Options are pricing a move of about ±15.2% (range 14.10–19.14) by Nov 20, 2026. ATM straddle: 2.52 @ strike 17 · ATM IV: 60.2%.
Probability distribution
Model & assumptions →The curve shows where a lognormal model, fed with current implied volatility, puts the range of outcomes at this expiration. Shaded: the expected-move band.
| Level | vs price | P(above)Model-estimated chance the stock finishes above a level at expiration, derived from current IV under a lognormal model with stated assumptions — an estimate, not a prediction. | P(below) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14.96 | -10% | 69.2% | 30.8% |
| 15.79 | -5% | 57.9% | 42.1% |
| 16.62 | +0% | 46.4% | 53.6% |
| 17.45 | +5% | 35.9% | 64.1% |
| 18.28 | +10% | 26.7% | 73.3% |
Model-estimated probabilities of finishing above/below each level at expiration: estimates under stated assumptions, not predictions.
Probability explorer
Drag the slider to any level and see the model-estimated chance the stock finishes above or below it at the selected expiration.
Horizon: Nov 20, 2026 · lognormal model with zero drift: an estimate, not a prediction. Assumptions
Expirations
Open the chain →| Expires | DTEDays to expiration, in calendar days. | Implied move | ATM IV | Open int. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | 4 | ±5.3% | 44.8% | 9,474 |
| Oct 30, 2026 | 11 | ±7.3% | 45.3% | 7,204 |
| Nov 06, 2026 | 18 | ±14.2% | 73.6% | 2,666 |
| Nov 13, 2026 | 25 | ±15.2% | 68.0% | 1,642 |
| Nov 20, 2026 | 32 | ±15.2% | 60.2% | 35.4K |
| Nov 27, 2026 | 39 | ±15.8% | 57.7% | 296 |
| Dec 18, 2026 | 60 | ±18.8% | 55.8% | 73.1K |
| Jan 15, 2027 | 88 | ±19.3% | 47.8% | 246.8K |
| Mar 19, 2027 | 151 | ±26.0% | 49.5% | 48.7K |
| Apr 16, 2027 | 179 | ±28.5% | 49.9% | 1,046 |
Open interest by strike · Nov 20
Where option positions are concentrated. Teal bars are calls, red bars are puts; the dashed line is the current price.
Largest open-interest concentrations (all expirations ≤ 60 days): 14 P · 16.0K18 C · 15.4K17 C · 13.4K16 C · 11.6K20 C · 10.0K
IV term structure
Volatility page →At-the-money implied volatility for each expiration. A hump around a date often marks a scheduled event the market is pricing.
When does open interest expire?
Implied vs realized volatility
HV from our stored daily closes (annualized); IV30 interpolated from the chain. Method
Price, last 60 sessions
Daily closes; Financial Modeling Prep.
Track record
Full history →Of 93 recorded snapshot-versus-outcome comparisons so far, the close landed inside the expected range 69.9% of the time.
Past earnings reactions
Avg |reaction| 15.3% · median 12.5% (20 reports). Two-session close-to-close window; definition
About Lyft, Inc.
Lyft, Inc. facilitates a comprehensive, on-demand transportation platform spanning the United States and Canada. Its core mission involves offering users personalized and immediate access to diverse mobility solutions through its multimodal network. Among its primary services is the Ridesharing Marketplace, which seamlessly connects drivers with passengers. For drivers, the company provides Express Drive, a flexible program for vehicle rentals. Consumers can also utilize Lyft Rentals for longer-distance travel needs. Furthermore, in numerous urban centers, Lyft operates a fleet of shared bikes and scooters, ideal for shorter journeys. The Lyft app enhances its utility by incorporating public transit data, thereby expanding the array of available transport options for users. Beyond these offerings, the company also provides access to autonomous vehicles, specialized enterprise transportation solutions (including concierge services for organizations), and subscription benefits through its Lyft Pink plans. Additional services include Lyft Pass commuter programs, first-mile and last-mile connectivity, and university safe rides initiatives. Established in 2007, the company initially ope
Technology · Software - Application · NASDAQ · Profile: Financial Modeling Prep
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