Implied volatility adalah ekspektasi pergerakan yang telah diperhitungkan pasar; realized volatility adalah yang benar-benar terjadi. Dasbor ini merangking semua aset yang dicakup berdasarkan keduanya, serta selisih di antara keduanya. Apa itu IV? · Metodologi
VIX (Cboe Volatility Index): 18.70 · Cboe delayed options data · per 09:45 UTC
IV30 Tertinggi
| Efek | IV30 | HV20 | Implied move | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 140.0% | 55.6% | ±40.1% | ||
| 128.5% | 111.7% | ±36.8% | ||
| 123.7% | 111.3% | ±35.5% | ||
| 118.6% | 70.2% | ±34.0% | ||
| 109.7% | 92.1% | ±31.5% | ||
| 95.6% | 67.4% | ±27.4% | ||
| 93.7% | 52.2% | ±26.9% | ||
| 93.1% | 37.4% | ±26.7% | ||
| 91.5% | 55.0% | ±26.2% | ||
| 90.8% | 75.6% | ±26.0% | ||
| 90.1% | 58.7% | ±25.8% | ||
| VIX Cboe Volatility Index | 89.5% | 95.6% | ±25.6% | |
| 89.0% | 68.7% | ±25.5% | ||
| 88.0% | 66.7% | ±25.2% | ||
| 87.8% | 64.9% | ±25.2% | ||
| 84.9% | 58.1% | ±24.3% | ||
| 82.7% | 47.4% | ±23.7% | ||
| 82.0% | 79.0% | ±23.5% | ||
| 81.3% | 65.6% | ±23.3% | ||
| 80.6% | 49.5% | ±23.1% |
IV30 Terendah
| Efek | IV30 | HV20 | Implied move | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.9% | 4.5% | ±1.7% | ||
| 7.6% | 6.2% | ±2.2% | ||
| 8.4% | 6.8% | ±2.4% | ||
| 14.1% | 9.4% | ±4.1% | ||
| 14.4% | 11.3% | ±4.1% | ||
| SPX S&P 500 Index | 14.5% | 10.5% | ±4.2% | |
| 15.4% | 12.3% | ±4.4% | ||
| 17.2% | 15.5% | ±4.9% | ||
| 18.2% | 16.5% | ±5.2% | ||
| 18.2% | 15.4% | ±5.2% | ||
| 18.5% | 16.4% | ±5.3% | ||
| 19.1% | 13.7% | ±5.5% | ||
| 19.2% | 17.0% | ±5.5% | ||
| RUT Russell 2000 Index | 19.8% | 14.4% | ±5.7% | |
| 20.2% | 13.1% | ±5.8% | ||
| 21.1% | 19.1% | ±6.0% | ||
| 21.5% | 16.2% | ±6.2% | ||
| 21.7% | 18.5% | ±6.2% | ||
| 21.7% | 22.0% | ±6.2% | ||
| 21.8% | 17.4% | ±6.2% |
IV paling jauh di atas realized
Opsi memperkirakan pergerakan yang jauh lebih besar daripada yang baru-baru ini ditunjukkan oleh saham. Selisihnya adalah IV30 dikurangi HV20, dalam poin volatilitas — sebuah kesenjangan deskriptif, bukan sinyal.
| Efek | IV30 | HV20 | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| 140.0% | 55.6% | +84.4pt | |
| 93.1% | 37.4% | +55.7pt | |
| 118.6% | 70.2% | +48.4pt | |
| 93.7% | 52.2% | +41.6pt | |
| 62.2% | 25.4% | +36.8pt | |
| 91.5% | 55.0% | +36.6pt | |
| 82.7% | 47.4% | +35.3pt | |
| 38.3% | 6.2% | +32.0pt | |
| 90.1% | 58.7% | +31.5pt | |
| 80.6% | 49.5% | +31.1pt | |
| 71.9% | 40.8% | +31.1pt | |
| 64.2% | 33.6% | +30.6pt |
IV paling jauh di bawah realized
| Efek | IV30 | HV20 | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| 64.1% | 90.5% | -26.3pt | |
| 37.9% | 56.4% | -18.5pt | |
| 28.2% | 44.6% | -16.4pt | |
| 28.2% | 43.5% | -15.3pt | |
| 76.7% | 91.3% | -14.6pt | |
| 41.1% | 53.0% | -11.9pt | |
| 48.4% | 59.1% | -10.7pt | |
| 62.5% | 70.8% | -8.4pt | |
| 56.8% | 63.9% | -7.1pt | |
| VIX Cboe Volatility Index | 89.5% | 95.6% | -6.1pt |
| 53.0% | 58.1% | -5.2pt | |
| 35.3% | 40.0% | -4.7pt |
Skew 25Δ paling curam (ekspirasi 20–45 hari)
Skew membandingkan IV dari put dan call yang out-of-the-money. Skew positif yang curam berarti perlindungan terhadap penurunan harga dibanderol jauh lebih mahal dibandingkan eksposur terhadap kenaikan harga.
| Efek | Expirasi | 25Δ skewThe IV gap between 25-delta puts and 25-delta calls for one expiration. Positive skew means downside protection is priced richer than upside exposure. |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 27 | +60.0pt | |
| Nov 13 | +41.1pt | |
| Nov 27 | +36.5pt | |
| Nov 13 | +28.9pt | |
| Nov 13 | +24.4pt | |
| Nov 20 | +22.5pt | |
| Nov 20 | +22.4pt | |
| Nov 27 | +21.5pt | |
| Nov 27 | +20.7pt | |
| Nov 20 | +20.1pt | |
| Nov 20 | +19.0pt | |
| Nov 27 | +18.3pt |