التقلب الضمني هو توقع السوق المسعَّر للحركة؛ أما التقلب المتحقق فهو ما حدث فعلاً. تصنّف هذه اللوحة الأصول المغطاة وفق كليهما والفارق بينهما. ما هو IV؟ · المنهجية
VIX (مؤشر Cboe للتقلب): 18.70 · Cboe delayed options data · اعتباراً من 09:45 UTC
أعلى IV30
| الورقة المالية | IV30 | HV20 | الحركة الضمنية | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 UVXY ProShares - Ultra VIX Sho… |
140.0% | 55.6% | ±40.1% | |
 SOXS Direxion Daily Semiconduc… |
128.5% | 111.7% | ±36.8% | |
 SOXL Direxion Daily Semiconduc… |
123.7% | 111.3% | ±35.5% | |
 LCID Lucid Group, Inc. |
118.6% | 70.2% | ±34.0% | |
 MRNA Moderna, Inc. |
109.7% | 92.1% | ±31.5% | |
 RIOT Riot Platforms, Inc. |
95.6% | 67.4% | ±27.4% | |
 MARA Marathon Digital Holdings, Inc. |
93.7% | 52.2% | ±26.9% | |
 VXX iPath Series B S&P 500 VI… |
93.1% | 37.4% | ±26.7% | |
 RUN Sunrun Inc. |
91.5% | 55.0% | ±26.2% | |
 AMC AMC Entertainment Holding… |
90.8% | 75.6% | ±26.0% | |
 CLSK CleanSpark, Inc. |
90.1% | 58.7% | ±25.8% | |
| VIX Cboe Volatility Index | 89.5% | 95.6% | ±25.6% | |
 HIMS Hims & Hers Health, Inc. |
89.0% | 68.7% | ±25.5% | |
 SMR NuScale Power Corporation |
88.0% | 66.7% | ±25.2% | |
 SMCI Super Micro Computer, Inc. |
87.8% | 64.9% | ±25.2% | |
 SNAP Snap Inc. |
84.9% | 58.1% | ±24.3% | |
 TTD The Trade Desk, Inc. |
82.7% | 47.4% | ±23.7% | |
 IONQ IonQ, Inc. |
82.0% | 79.0% | ±23.5% | |
 OKLO Oklo Inc. |
81.3% | 65.6% | ±23.3% | |
 PLUG Plug Power Inc. |
80.6% | 49.5% | ±23.1% |
أدنى IV30
| الورقة المالية | IV30 | HV20 | الحركة الضمنية | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 HYG iShares iBoxx $ High Yiel… |
5.9% | 4.5% | ±1.7% | |
 IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasur… |
7.6% | 6.2% | ±2.2% | |
 LQD iShares iBoxx $ Investmen… |
8.4% | 6.8% | ±2.4% | |
 DIA State Street SPDR Dow Jon… |
14.1% | 9.4% | ±4.1% | |
 TLT iShares 20+ Year Treasury… |
14.4% | 11.3% | ±4.1% | |
| SPX S&P 500 Index | 14.5% | 10.5% | ±4.2% | |
 EFA iShares MSCI EAFE ETF |
15.4% | 12.3% | ±4.4% | |
 XLP State Street Consumer Sta… |
17.2% | 15.5% | ±4.9% | |
 XLU State Street Utilities Se… |
18.2% | 16.5% | ±5.2% | |
 O Realty Income Corporation |
18.2% | 15.4% | ±5.2% | |
 XLV State Street Health Care … |
18.5% | 16.4% | ±5.3% | |
 XLY State Street Consumer Dis… |
19.1% | 13.7% | ±5.5% | |
 COST Costco Wholesale Corporation |
19.2% | 17.0% | ±5.5% | |
| RUT Russell 2000 Index | 19.8% | 14.4% | ±5.7% | |
 XLI State Street Industrial S… |
20.2% | 13.1% | ±5.8% | |
 FXI iShares China Large-Cap ETF |
21.1% | 19.1% | ±6.0% | |
 SO The Southern Company |
21.5% | 16.2% | ±6.2% | |
 PG The Procter & Gamble Company |
21.7% | 18.5% | ±6.2% | |
 PEP PepsiCo, Inc. |
21.7% | 22.0% | ±6.2% | |
 KO The Coca-Cola Company |
21.8% | 17.4% | ±6.2% |
التقلب الضمني الأعلى فوق المتحقق
الخيارات تُسعِّر تحركات أكبر بكثير مما أظهره السهم مؤخرًا. الفجوة هي IV30 ناقص HV20 بنقاط التقلب — فجوة وصفية لا إشارة.
| الورقة المالية | IV30 | HV20 | الفارق (Spread) |
|---|---|---|---|
| UVXY ProShares - Ultra VIX Sho… |
140.0% | 55.6% | +84.4pt |
| VXX iPath Series B S&P 500 VI… |
93.1% | 37.4% | +55.7pt |
| LCID Lucid Group, Inc. |
118.6% | 70.2% | +48.4pt |
| MARA Marathon Digital Holdings, Inc. |
93.7% | 52.2% | +41.6pt |
 LYFT Lyft, Inc. |
62.2% | 25.4% | +36.8pt |
| RUN Sunrun Inc. |
91.5% | 55.0% | +36.6pt |
| TTD The Trade Desk, Inc. |
82.7% | 47.4% | +35.3pt |
 CZR Caesars Entertainment, Inc. |
38.3% | 6.2% | +32.0pt |
| CLSK CleanSpark, Inc. |
90.1% | 58.7% | +31.5pt |
| PLUG Plug Power Inc. |
80.6% | 49.5% | +31.1pt |
 CAVA CAVA Group, Inc. |
71.9% | 40.8% | +31.1pt |
 RIVN Rivian Automotive, Inc. |
64.2% | 33.6% | +30.6pt |
التقلب الضمني الأبعد دون المتحقق
| الورقة المالية | IV30 | HV20 | الفارق (Spread) |
|---|---|---|---|
 MDB MongoDB, Inc. |
64.1% | 90.5% | -26.3pt |
 TMUS T-Mobile US, Inc. |
37.9% | 56.4% | -18.5pt |
 T AT&T Inc. |
28.2% | 44.6% | -16.4pt |
 VZ Verizon Communications Inc. |
28.2% | 43.5% | -15.3pt |
 ARM Arm Holdings plc American… |
76.7% | 91.3% | -14.6pt |
 CCL Carnival Corporation & plc |
41.1% | 53.0% | -11.9pt |
 CEG Constellation Energy Corp… |
48.4% | 59.1% | -10.7pt |
 NU Nu Holdings Ltd. |
62.5% | 70.8% | -8.4pt |
 ZS Zscaler, Inc. |
56.8% | 63.9% | -7.1pt |
| VIX Cboe Volatility Index | 89.5% | 95.6% | -6.1pt |
 VST Vistra Corp. |
53.0% | 58.1% | -5.2pt |
 SLV iShares Silver Trust |
35.3% | 40.0% | -4.7pt |
أعلى Skew عند دلتا 25Δ (فترات انتهاء من 20 إلى 45 يوماً)
يقارن الـ Skew التقلبَ الضمني (IV) لعقود البيع وعقود الشراء خارج مستوى السعر الحالي. يعني الـ Skew الإيجابي الحاد أن تكلفة الحماية من الهبوط أعلى بكثير من تكلفة التعرض للصعود.
| الورقة المالية | تاريخ الانتهاء | انحراف دلتا 25The IV gap between 25-delta puts and 25-delta calls for one expiration. Positive skew means downside protection is priced richer than upside exposure. |
|---|---|---|
 KWEB KraneShares CSI China Int… |
Nov 27 | +60.0pt |
| CZR Caesars Entertainment, Inc. |
Nov 13 | +41.1pt |
 SOUN SoundHound AI, Inc. |
Nov 27 | +36.5pt |
 EWZ iShares MSCI Brazil ETF |
Nov 13 | +28.9pt |
 TQQQ ProShares UltraPro QQQ |
Nov 13 | +24.4pt |
| EWZ iShares MSCI Brazil ETF |
Nov 20 | +22.5pt |
| TQQQ ProShares UltraPro QQQ |
Nov 20 | +22.4pt |
| TQQQ ProShares UltraPro QQQ |
Nov 27 | +21.5pt |
| EWZ iShares MSCI Brazil ETF |
Nov 27 | +20.7pt |
| LQD iShares iBoxx $ Investmen… |
Nov 20 | +20.1pt |
 SVXY ProShares - Short VIX Sho… |
Nov 20 | +19.0pt |
| CZR Caesars Entertainment, Inc. |
Nov 27 | +18.3pt |