Wells Fargo & Company (WFC)
Ikhtisar · Rantai opsi · Volatilitas · Riwayat pergerakan yang diharapkan · Laba
Cboe delayed options data · per 12:46 UTC · Angka yang diturunkan dari rantai opsi penuh (1,078 kontrak, 16 kedaluwarsa) · Persentil riwayat IV sendiri muncul setelah 60 hari pencatatan (29 sejauh ini)
Pergerakan yang diharapkan · Nov 20, 2026 (31 hari)
Metodologi →Dibaca dari harga opsi: straddle at-the-money berharga sebesar ini, sehingga pasar memperkirakan pergerakan sekitar sebesar itu ke salah satu arah pada tanggal ini. Ini adalah estimasi besarnya pergerakan, bukan prediksi arahnya.
Opsi memperkirakan pergerakan sekitar ±6.0% (rentang 77.03–86.95) oleh Nov 20, 2026. ATM straddle: 4.96 @ strike 82 · ATM IV: 25.3%.
Distribusi probabilitas
Model & asumsi →Kurva ini menunjukkan kisaran hasil yang diperkirakan oleh model lognormal — yang menggunakan implied volatility saat ini — pada ekspirasi ini. Bagian yang diarsir: pita pergerakan yang diperkirakan.
| Level | vs harga | P(di atas)Model-estimated chance the stock finishes above a level at expiration, derived from current IV under a lognormal model with stated assumptions — an estimate, not a prediction. | P(di bawah) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 73.79 | -10% | 91.8% | 8.2% |
| 77.89 | -5% | 74.5% | 25.5% |
| 81.99 | +0% | 48.5% | 51.5% |
| 86.09 | +5% | 24.2% | 75.8% |
| 90.19 | +10% | 9.2% | 90.8% |
Probabilitas yang diestimasi model untuk harga berakhir di atas/di bawah setiap level saat kedaluwarsa: estimasi berdasarkan asumsi tertentu, bukan prediksi.
Penjelajah probabilitas
Geser slider ke level mana pun dan lihat perkiraan peluang dari model bahwa saham akan berakhir di atas atau di bawah level tersebut pada expirasi yang dipilih.
Horizon: Nov 20, 2026 · Model lognormal dengan zero drift: estimasi, bukan prediksi. Asumsi
Expirasi
Buka rantai opsi →| Kedaluwarsa | DTEDays to expiration, in calendar days. | Implied move | ATM IV | Open int. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | 3 | ±2.4% | 28.6% | 26.4K |
| Oct 30, 2026 | 10 | ±3.8% | 27.6% | 37.8K |
| Nov 06, 2026 | 17 | ±5.0% | 26.9% | 14.9K |
| Nov 13, 2026 | 24 | ±5.5% | 25.8% | 5,360 |
| Nov 20, 2026 | 31 | ±6.0% | 25.3% | 124.0K |
| Nov 27, 2026 | 38 | ±6.7% | 25.5% | 880 |
| Dec 18, 2026 | 59 | ±8.2% | 25.1% | 248.6K |
| Jan 15, 2027 | 87 | ±10.6% | 26.8% | 277.1K |
| Mar 19, 2027 | 150 | ±13.7% | 26.7% | 85.8K |
| Apr 16, 2027 | 178 | ±15.4% | 27.6% | 17.0K |
Open interest per strike · Nov 20
Tempat posisi opsi terkonsentrasi. Batang teal adalah call, batang merah adalah put; garis putus-putus adalah harga saat ini.
Konsentrasi open interest terbesar (semua kedaluwarsa ≤ 60 hari): 80 P · 76.1K100 C · 47.0K75 P · 24.9K77.5 P · 24.2K72.5 P · 18.9K
Struktur tenor IV
Halaman volatilitas →Implied volatility at-the-money untuk setiap tanggal kedaluwarsa. Tonjolan di sekitar suatu tanggal sering menandai acara terjadwal yang sedang dihargai oleh pasar.
Kapan open interest kedaluwarsa?
Implied vs volatilitas terealisasi
HV dari penutupan harian tersimpan kami (disetahunkan); IV30 diinterpolasi dari rantai opsi. Metode
Harga, 60 sesi terakhir
Penutupan harian; Financial Modeling Prep.
Rekam jejak
Riwayat lengkap →Dari 121 perbandingan snapshot-versus-hasil yang direkam sejauh ini, penutupan berada di dalam kisaran yang diperkirakan 50.4% dari waktu ke waktu.
Reaksi pendapatan masa lalu
Rata-rata |reaksi| 4.1% · median 4.1% (21 laporan). Jendela waktu dua sesi penutupan ke penutupan; definisi
Tentang Wells Fargo & Company
Wells Fargo & Company, a financial services company, provides diversified banking, investment, mortgage, and consumer and commercial finance products and services in the United States and internationally. It operates through four segments: Consumer Banking and Lending; Commercial Banking; Corporate and Investment Banking; and Wealth and Investment Management. The company’s financial products and services includes checking and savings accounts, and credit and debit cards, as well as home, auto, personal, and small business lending services. It also provides personalized wealth management, brokerage, financial planning, lending, private banking, trust and fiduciary products and services; and financial solutions to private, family owned and public companies through products and services including banking and credit products across multiple industry sectors and municipalities, secured lending and lease products, and treasury management. In addition, it offers a suite of capital markets, banking, and financial products and services, such as corporate banking, investment banking, treasury management, commercial real estate lending and servicing, equity, and fixed income solutions, as wel
Layanan Keuangan · Banks - Diversified · NYSE · Profil: Financial Modeling Prep
WFC berita
Semua berita →U.S. budget deficit swells to almost $2 trillion for fiscal 2026, up 12% in a single year
The Treasury Department published the U.S. budget deficit for the 2026 fiscal year.
CNBC · Oct 16, 22:34 UTC ↗Efek terkait · Layanan Keuangan
SOFI · IV 58.9%MARA · IV 94.8%NU · IV 58.0%RIOT · IV 94.8%C · IV 27.5%CLSK · IV 94.9%