Uber Technologies, Inc. (UBER)
Overview · Option chain · Volatility · Expected-move history · Earnings
Cboe delayed options data · as of Oct 19, 22:04 UTC · Figures derived from the full chain (1,036 contracts, 16 expirations) · IV own-history percentile appears after 60 recorded days (29 so far)
Expected move · Nov 20, 2026 (32 days)
Methodology →Read from option prices: the at-the-money straddle costs this much, so the market is pricing a move of about that size in either direction by this date. It is an estimate of movement, not a prediction of direction.
Options are pricing a move of about ±10.1% (range 63.03–77.19) by Nov 20, 2026. ATM straddle: 7.08 @ strike 70 · ATM IV: 42.7%.
Probability distribution
Model & assumptions →The curve shows where a lognormal model, fed with current implied volatility, puts the range of outcomes at this expiration. Shaded: the expected-move band.
| Level | vs price | P(above)Model-estimated chance the stock finishes above a level at expiration, derived from current IV under a lognormal model with stated assumptions — an estimate, not a prediction. | P(below) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 63.10 | -10% | 78.0% | 22.0% |
| 66.60 | -5% | 63.4% | 36.6% |
| 70.11 | +0% | 47.5% | 52.5% |
| 73.62 | +5% | 32.6% | 67.4% |
| 77.12 | +10% | 20.7% | 79.3% |
Model-estimated probabilities of finishing above/below each level at expiration: estimates under stated assumptions, not predictions.
Probability explorer
Drag the slider to any level and see the model-estimated chance the stock finishes above or below it at the selected expiration.
Horizon: Nov 20, 2026 · lognormal model with zero drift: an estimate, not a prediction. Assumptions
Expirations
Open the chain →| Expires | DTEDays to expiration, in calendar days. | Implied move | ATM IV | Open int. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | 4 | ±3.1% | 36.9% | 54.0K |
| Oct 30, 2026 | 11 | ±4.8% | 34.2% | 45.8K |
| Nov 06, 2026 | 18 | ±8.7% | 49.0% | 38.8K |
| Nov 13, 2026 | 25 | ±9.7% | 46.6% | 11.4K |
| Nov 20, 2026 | 32 | ±10.1% | 42.7% | 151.0K |
| Nov 27, 2026 | 39 | ±10.3% | 39.5% | 1,271 |
| Dec 18, 2026 | 60 | ±12.2% | 37.5% | 178.2K |
| Jan 15, 2027 | 88 | ±14.2% | 36.2% | 324.4K |
| Mar 19, 2027 | 151 | ±19.3% | 37.6% | 90.3K |
Open interest by strike · Nov 20
Where option positions are concentrated. Teal bars are calls, red bars are puts; the dashed line is the current price.
Largest open-interest concentrations (all expirations ≤ 60 days): 60 P · 41.1K65 P · 35.8K75 C · 33.0K80 C · 31.9K70 P · 20.8K
IV term structure
Volatility page →At-the-money implied volatility for each expiration. A hump around a date often marks a scheduled event the market is pricing.
When does open interest expire?
Implied vs realized volatility
HV from our stored daily closes (annualized); IV30 interpolated from the chain. Method
Price, last 60 sessions
Daily closes; Financial Modeling Prep.
Track record
Full history →Of 121 recorded snapshot-versus-outcome comparisons so far, the close landed inside the expected range 76.0% of the time.
Past earnings reactions
Avg |reaction| 6.1% · median 3.9% (20 reports). Two-session close-to-close window; definition
About Uber Technologies, Inc.
Uber Technologies, Inc. is a leading technology corporation that conceptualizes and deploys its proprietary software applications across a broad global footprint, spanning North and South America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia-Pacific region. The company primarily serves as a digital nexus, linking consumers with independent transport providers for ride-hailing services. Furthermore, it connects individuals and other patrons with a variety of establishments—such as restaurants, grocery stores, and other retailers—to a network of delivery service providers for the preparation and transport of meals, groceries, and other goods. The organization structures its operations into three distinct divisions: Mobility, Delivery, and Freight. The Mobility division facilitates access for consumers to a wide array of transportation options offered by drivers, including traditional cars, auto rickshaws, motorbikes, minibuses, or taxis. This segment also incorporates financial collaborations, public transit integrations, and various vehicle-centric solutions. The Delivery division empowers users to easily locate and place orders from local eateries for either collection or delivery
Technology · Software - Application · NYSE · Profile: Financial Modeling Prep
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