Riot Platforms, Inc. (RIOT)
Overview · Option chain · Volatility · Expected-move history · Earnings
Cboe delayed options data · as of 22:01 UTC · Figures derived from the full chain (908 contracts, 13 expirations) · IV own-history percentile appears after 60 recorded days (29 so far)
Expected move · Nov 20, 2026 (32 days)
Methodology →Read from option prices: the at-the-money straddle costs this much, so the market is pricing a move of about that size in either direction by this date. It is an estimate of movement, not a prediction of direction.
Options are pricing a move of about ±22.0% (range 10.94–17.12) by Nov 20, 2026. ATM straddle: 3.09 @ strike 14 · ATM IV: 93.7%.
Probability distribution
Model & assumptions →The curve shows where a lognormal model, fed with current implied volatility, puts the range of outcomes at this expiration. Shaded: the expected-move band.
| Level | vs price | P(above)Model-estimated chance the stock finishes above a level at expiration, derived from current IV under a lognormal model with stated assumptions — an estimate, not a prediction. | P(below) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12.62 | -10% | 59.6% | 40.4% |
| 13.33 | -5% | 51.8% | 48.2% |
| 14.03 | +0% | 44.5% | 55.5% |
| 14.73 | +5% | 37.6% | 62.4% |
| 15.43 | +10% | 31.5% | 68.5% |
Model-estimated probabilities of finishing above/below each level at expiration: estimates under stated assumptions, not predictions.
Probability explorer
Drag the slider to any level and see the model-estimated chance the stock finishes above or below it at the selected expiration.
Horizon: Nov 20, 2026 · lognormal model with zero drift: an estimate, not a prediction. Assumptions
Expirations
Open the chain →| Expires | DTEDays to expiration, in calendar days. | Implied move | ATM IV | Open int. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | 4 | ±8.6% | 102.4% | 77.0K |
| Oct 30, 2026 | 11 | ±12.8% | 92.8% | 66.7K |
| Nov 06, 2026 | 18 | ±17.5% | 96.6% | 15.5K |
| Nov 13, 2026 | 25 | ±20.4% | 97.9% | 6,342 |
| Nov 20, 2026 | 32 | ±22.0% | 93.7% | 111.2K |
| Nov 27, 2026 | 39 | ±23.1% | 89.4% | 1,580 |
| Dec 18, 2026 | 60 | ±27.9% | 87.1% | 338.0K |
| Jan 15, 2027 | 88 | ±34.1% | 88.3% | 239.2K |
| Mar 19, 2027 | 151 | ±42.5% | 84.5% | 33.5K |
Open interest by strike · Nov 20
Where option positions are concentrated. Teal bars are calls, red bars are puts; the dashed line is the current price.
Largest open-interest concentrations (all expirations ≤ 60 days): 10 P · 111.4K19 C · 53.6K17 C · 33.5K17 P · 25.0K21 C · 24.5K
IV term structure
Volatility page →At-the-money implied volatility for each expiration. A hump around a date often marks a scheduled event the market is pricing.
When does open interest expire?
Implied vs realized volatility
HV from our stored daily closes (annualized); IV30 interpolated from the chain. Method
Price, last 60 sessions
Daily closes; Financial Modeling Prep.
Track record
Full history →Of 121 recorded snapshot-versus-outcome comparisons so far, the close landed inside the expected range 40.5% of the time.
Past earnings reactions
Avg |reaction| 10.2% · median 10.1% (21 reports). Two-session close-to-close window; definition
About Riot Platforms, Inc.
Riot Platforms, Inc., along with its associated companies, primarily operates as a Bitcoin mining enterprise within the United States. The firm's activities are divided into two main areas: Bitcoin Mining and Engineering. It develops and manages essential infrastructure for large-scale Bitcoin mining operations at sites in Rockdale and Navarro counties, Texas, as well as two facilities in Paducah, Kentucky. Beyond its mining endeavors, the company's Engineering division designs and manufactures specialized power distribution equipment and custom-engineered electrical solutions. This segment also provides comprehensive services for the design, production, and installation of electricity distribution products to a diverse client base, including major commercial organizations, government agencies, and customers in the data center, power generation, utility, water, industrial, and renewable energy sectors. Established in the year 2000, Riot Platforms is headquartered in Castle Rock, Colorado.
Financial Services · Financial - Capital Markets · NASDAQ · Profile: Financial Modeling Prep
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