Riot Platforms, Inc. (RIOT)
Overview · Option chain · Volatility · Expected-move history · Earnings
Cboe delayed options data · as of 00:38 UTC · Figures derived from the full chain (832 contracts, 12 expirations) · IV own-history percentile appears after 60 recorded days (3 so far)
Expected move — Sep 18, 2026 (16 days)
Methodology →Read from option prices: the at-the-money straddle costs this much, so the market is pricing a move of about that size in either direction by this date. It is an estimate of movement, not a prediction of direction.
Options are pricing a move of about ±12.4% (range 16.32–20.91) by Sep 18, 2026. ATM straddle: 2.30 @ strike 18.5 · ATM IV: 74.0%.
Probability distribution
Model & assumptions →The curve shows where a lognormal model, fed with current implied volatility, puts the range of outcomes at this expiration. Shaded: the expected-move band.
| Level | vs price | P(above)Model-estimated chance the stock finishes above a level at expiration, derived from current IV under a lognormal model with stated assumptions — an estimate, not a prediction. | P(below) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16.75 | -10% | 72.7% | 27.3% |
| 17.68 | -5% | 60.1% | 39.9% |
| 18.61 | -0% | 47.0% | 53.0% |
| 19.55 | +5% | 34.7% | 65.3% |
| 20.48 | +10% | 24.4% | 75.6% |
Model-estimated probabilities of finishing above/below each level at expiration — estimates under stated assumptions, not predictions.
Probability explorer
Drag the slider to any level and see the model-estimated chance the stock finishes above or below it at the selected expiration.
Horizon: Sep 18, 2026 · lognormal model, zero drift — an estimate, not a prediction. Assumptions
Expirations
Open the chain →| Expires | DTEDays to expiration, in calendar days. | Implied move | ATM IV | Open int. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 04, 2026 | 2 | ±4.8% | 81.1% | 94.6K |
| Sep 11, 2026 | 9 | ±8.8% | 70.4% | 38.0K |
| Sep 18, 2026 | 16 | ±12.4% | 74.0% | 249.7K |
| Sep 25, 2026 | 23 | ±15.8% | 78.0% | 19.5K |
| Oct 02, 2026 | 30 | ±17.8% | 76.8% | 22.4K |
| Oct 09, 2026 | 37 | ±20.0% | 77.7% | 3,879 |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 44 | ±22.0% | 78.7% | 138.0K |
| Nov 20, 2026 | 79 | ±30.6% | 82.1% | 9,140 |
| Dec 18, 2026 | 107 | ±35.2% | 81.4% | 140.7K |
| Jan 15, 2027 | 135 | ±39.1% | 80.8% | 150.5K |
| Mar 19, 2027 | 198 | ±48.8% | 83.8% | 17.0K |
Open interest by strike — Sep 18
Where option positions are concentrated. Teal bars are calls, red bars are puts; the dashed line is the current price.
Largest open-interest concentrations (all expirations ≤ 60 days): 11 P · 113.2K25 C · 32.0K16 P · 29.4K20 C · 27.7K23 C · 27.5K
IV term structure
Volatility page →At-the-money implied volatility for each expiration. A hump around a date often marks a scheduled event the market is pricing.
When does open interest expire?
Implied vs realized volatility
HV from our stored daily closes (annualized); IV30 interpolated from the chain. Method
Price, last 60 sessions
Track record
Full history →Every trading day we record what the options market is pricing for each expiration — before the outcome is known. Once expirations start resolving, this section compares expected versus actual, and the record is never rewritten. Recording since Aug 31, 2026.
Past earnings reactions
Avg |reaction| 10.2% · median 10.1% (21 reports) — two-session close-to-close window; definition
About Riot Platforms, Inc.
Riot Platforms, Inc., along with its associated companies, primarily operates as a Bitcoin mining enterprise within the United States. The firm's activities are divided into two main areas: Bitcoin Mining and Engineering. It develops and manages essential infrastructure for large-scale Bitcoin mining operations at sites in Rockdale and Navarro counties, Texas, as well as two facilities in Paducah, Kentucky. Beyond its mining endeavors, the company's Engineering division designs and manufactures specialized power distribution equipment and custom-engineered electrical solutions. This segment also provides comprehensive services for the design, production, and installation of electricity distribution products to a diverse client base, including major commercial organizations, government agencies, and customers in the data center, power generation, utility, water, industrial, and renewable energy sectors. Established in the year 2000, Riot Platforms is headquartered in Castle Rock, Colorado.
Financial Services · Financial - Capital Markets · NASDAQ · Profile: Financial Modeling Prep
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