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Palo Alto Networks, Inc. (PANW)

概览 · 期权链 · 波动率 · 预期涨跌幅历史记录 · 财报

价格(延迟) 328.39 -9.31%
预期涨跌幅The size of the up-or-down move the options market is pricing for a stock by a given date, read from option prices (the at-the-money straddle). It is a market-implied estimate, not a forecast. · Sep 18 ±7.7%
预期区间 304.82355.82
IV30Implied volatility interpolated to a constant 30-day horizon from the expirations around it, so different stocks and dates can be compared fairly.45.7%
IV百分位Where this IV30 ranks across all securities we cover today (a cross-sectional comparison, not the stock's own history). 74/标的范围
P/C 成交量Put volume (or open interest) divided by call volume (or open interest). A descriptive activity measure — it does not by itself say what traders expect.0.81
P/C 未平仓量1.02
下次财报 Nov 18

Cboe delayed options data · 截至 06:36 UTC · 基于完整期权链衍生的数据 (3,628 合约, 17 到期日) · IV自身历史百分位在记录满60天后显示 (3 迄今为止)

预期涨跌幅 — Sep 18, 2026 (15 天)

方法论 →

从期权价格中读取:平值跨式期权的成本即为市场在此日期前预计的双向波动幅度。这是对波动空间的估算,而非对方向的预测。

304.8355.8330.3 current

期权隐含波动幅度约为 ±7.7% (区间 304.82–355.82) 由 Sep 18, 2026. ATM 跨式组合: 25.50 @ 行权价 330 · ATM IV: 46.3%.

该曲线显示以当前隐含波动率为输入的对数正态模型对本到期日结果区间的估计,阴影部分为预期波动区间。

330.3304.8355.8
预期波动区间模型概率密度
级别vs 价格P(上涨)Model-estimated chance the stock finishes above a level at expiration, derived from current IV under a lognormal model with stated assumptions — an estimate, not a prediction.P(下跌)
297.29 -10% 85.9% 14.1%
313.80 -5% 69.2% 30.8%
330.32 -0% 48.1% 51.9%
346.84 +5% 28.5% 71.5%
363.35 +10% 14.4% 85.6%

模型估算的标的在到期时收于各价位上方/下方的概率——基于既定假设的估算,非预测。

概率探索工具

拖动滑块至任意价位,查看模型估算的股票在所选到期日收于该价位上方或下方的概率。

P(收于上方)
P(收于下方)
P(触及,近似值)

期限: Sep 18, 2026 · 对数正态模型,零漂移——仅为估算,非预测。 假设条件

到期时间DTEDays to expiration, in calendar days.隐含涨跌幅ATM IV未平仓量
Sep 04, 2026 1 ±3.8% 63.2% 83.3K
Sep 11, 2026 8 ±5.9% 47.4% 17.0K
Sep 18, 2026 15 ±7.7% 46.3% 116.2K
Sep 25, 2026 22 ±9.2% 45.8% 7,405
Oct 02, 2026 29 ±10.4% 45.5% 3,921
Oct 09, 2026 36 ±11.7% 46.3% 1,355
Oct 16, 2026 43 ±12.7% 46.0% 34.8K
Nov 20, 2026 78 ±18.5% 50.0% 26.1K
Dec 18, 2026 106 ±21.2% 49.4% 69.5K
Jan 15, 2027 134 ±23.8% 49.5% 119.2K
Mar 19, 2027 197 ±29.8% 51.2% 26.0K

各行权价未平仓量 — Sep 18

期权头寸集中分布的位置。青色柱为 call,红色柱为 put;虚线为当前价格。

250.0290.0315.0325.0335.0345.0355.0365.0375.0395.0330.3
看涨期权看跌期权

未平仓量最集中的头寸(所有到期日 ≤ 60天): 300 P · 8,017450 C · 7,279420 C · 6,830170 P · 6,423320 P · 6,104

IV期限结构

波动率页面 →

各到期日的平值隐含波动率。某日期附近出现隆起,通常意味着市场正在为该日期的已知事件定价。

43%51%59%67%1d29d197d

持仓量何时到期归零?

17%This week24%This month56%Later

隐含波动率与已实现波动率

43.5%53.3%63.1%73.0%Aug 31Sep 02
IV30HV20

历史波动率来自我们存储的每日收盘价(年化);IV30由期权链插值得出。 方法

价格,近60个交易日

每个交易日,我们在结果揭晓前记录期权市场对各到期日的定价。随着到期日陆续结算,本栏目将对预期与实际进行比对——记录一经生成,绝不改写。 记录起始日期:2026 年 8 月 31 日。

历次财报后的价格反应

Aug 24+10.1%Nov 24+2.5%Feb 25+1.7%May 25-6.7%Aug 25+2.5%Nov 25-7.9%Feb 26-8.7%Jun 26-6.7%
隐含(记录时)实际反应

平均|实际反应| 8.4% · 中位数 7.0% (20 财报) — 连续两个交易日收盘价窗口; 定义

关于 Palo Alto Networks, Inc.

Palo Alto Networks, Inc. is a global leader in providing advanced cybersecurity solutions. The company's core product line includes both hardware and software-based firewalls. It also offers Panorama, a sophisticated security management platform designed for centralized control of these firewall deployments, whether they are physical appliances, virtual instances, or situated in public or private cloud environments. Additionally, the firm provides virtual system upgrades to enhance the capacity of its physical firewall units. Complementing its core products, Palo Alto Networks delivers an extensive range of subscription services. These encompass robust threat prevention, protection against malware and advanced persistent threats, URL filtering, and security for both laptop and mobile devices. Further specialized subscriptions include DNS security, Internet of Things (IoT) security, SaaS security (via API and inline methods), threat intelligence, and data loss prevention. Beyond its product and subscription offerings, the company extends various expert services, such as cloud security, secure access solutions, security analytics and automation tools, and specialized cybersecurity co

科技 · Software - Infrastructure · NASDAQ · 公司简介:Financial Modeling Prep

PANW 新闻

所有新闻 →

Palo Alto Networks beats quarterly estimates on AI demand, continues acquisition spree

Palo Alto Networks' stock has nearly doubled this year as AI boosts demand for security detection and response tools

CNBC · Sep 02, 16:41 UTC ↗

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