ServiceNow, Inc. (NOW)
Overview · Option chain · Volatility · Expected-move history · Earnings
Cboe delayed options data · as of 09:40 UTC · Figures derived from the full chain (1,878 contracts, 16 expirations) · IV own-history percentile appears after 60 recorded days (28 so far)
Expected move · Nov 20, 2026 (32 days)
Methodology →Read from option prices: the at-the-money straddle costs this much, so the market is pricing a move of about that size in either direction by this date. It is an estimate of movement, not a prediction of direction.
Options are pricing a move of about ±15.5% (range 119.50–163.46) by Nov 20, 2026. ATM straddle: 21.98 @ strike 140 · ATM IV: 62.9%.
Probability distribution
Model & assumptions →The curve shows where a lognormal model, fed with current implied volatility, puts the range of outcomes at this expiration. Shaded: the expected-move band.
| Level | vs price | P(above)Model-estimated chance the stock finishes above a level at expiration, derived from current IV under a lognormal model with stated assumptions — an estimate, not a prediction. | P(below) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 127.33 | -10% | 68.2% | 31.8% |
| 134.41 | -5% | 57.2% | 42.8% |
| 141.48 | +0% | 46.3% | 53.7% |
| 148.55 | +5% | 36.1% | 63.9% |
| 155.63 | +10% | 27.3% | 72.7% |
Model-estimated probabilities of finishing above/below each level at expiration: estimates under stated assumptions, not predictions.
Probability explorer
Drag the slider to any level and see the model-estimated chance the stock finishes above or below it at the selected expiration.
Horizon: Nov 20, 2026 · lognormal model with zero drift: an estimate, not a prediction. Assumptions
Expirations
Open the chain →| Expires | DTEDays to expiration, in calendar days. | Implied move | ATM IV | Open int. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | 4 | ±6.0% | 54.3% | 47.8K |
| Oct 30, 2026 | 11 | ±12.2% | 77.7% | 24.6K |
| Nov 06, 2026 | 18 | ±13.6% | 71.1% | 8,490 |
| Nov 13, 2026 | 25 | ±14.6% | 66.2% | 4,167 |
| Nov 20, 2026 | 32 | ±15.5% | 62.9% | 105.2K |
| Nov 27, 2026 | 39 | ±16.2% | 60.0% | 1,403 |
| Dec 18, 2026 | 60 | ±19.0% | 57.3% | 146.9K |
| Jan 15, 2027 | 88 | ±21.5% | 54.1% | 266.8K |
| Feb 19, 2027 | 123 | ±25.8% | 55.4% | 16.1K |
| Mar 19, 2027 | 151 | ±28.0% | 54.4% | 67.9K |
Open interest by strike · Nov 20
Where option positions are concentrated. Teal bars are calls, red bars are puts; the dashed line is the current price.
Largest open-interest concentrations (all expirations ≤ 60 days): 160 C · 17.0K150 C · 14.9K120 P · 9,537140 C · 8,628140 P · 8,465
IV term structure
Volatility page →At-the-money implied volatility for each expiration. A hump around a date often marks a scheduled event the market is pricing.
When does open interest expire?
Implied vs realized volatility
HV from our stored daily closes (annualized); IV30 interpolated from the chain. Method
Price, last 60 sessions
Daily closes; Financial Modeling Prep.
Track record
Full history →Of 93 recorded snapshot-versus-outcome comparisons so far, the close landed inside the expected range 93.5% of the time.
Past earnings reactions
Avg |reaction| 6.9% · median 4.3% (20 reports). Two-session close-to-close window; definition
About ServiceNow, Inc.
ServiceNow, Inc. specializes in delivering cloud-based solutions designed to streamline and automate critical business services for organizations across the globe. Its flagship "Now Platform" serves as the foundation, leveraging technologies such as workflow automation, artificial intelligence (AI), machine learning (ML), and robotic process automation (RPA). This platform also incorporates robust features like performance analytics, electronic service catalogs, configuration management systems, data benchmarking, encryption capabilities, and various collaboration and development tools. ServiceNow offers a comprehensive suite of applications built on this platform, catering to diverse enterprise needs. Key offerings include IT Service Management (ITSM), which streamlines support for employees, customers, and partners; IT Business Management (ITBM); IT Operations Management (ITOM), designed to integrate and manage both physical and cloud-based IT infrastructure; and IT Asset Management (ITAM) for automating asset lifecycles. Its Security Operations solution facilitates seamless integration between internal systems and third-party security tools. Beyond IT, the company provides solut
Technology · Software - Application · NYSE · Profile: Financial Modeling Prep
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