Grab Holdings Limited (GRAB)
Overview · Option chain · Volatility · Expected-move history · Earnings
Cboe delayed options data · as of 12:35 UTC · Figures derived from the full chain (344 contracts, 14 expirations) · IV own-history percentile appears after 60 recorded days (3 so far)
Expected move — Oct 16, 2026 (43 days)
Methodology →Read from option prices: the at-the-money straddle costs this much, so the market is pricing a move of about that size in either direction by this date. It is an estimate of movement, not a prediction of direction.
Options are pricing a move of about ±18.0% (range 2.90–4.17) by Oct 16, 2026. ATM straddle: 0.635 @ strike 4 · ATM IV: 49.4%.
Probability distribution
Model & assumptions →The curve shows where a lognormal model, fed with current implied volatility, puts the range of outcomes at this expiration. Shaded: the expected-move band.
| Level | vs price | P(above)Model-estimated chance the stock finishes above a level at expiration, derived from current IV under a lognormal model with stated assumptions — an estimate, not a prediction. | P(below) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.18 | -10% | 70.2% | 29.8% |
| 3.35 | -5% | 58.9% | 41.1% |
| 3.53 | +0% | 46.6% | 53.4% |
| 3.71 | +5% | 35.3% | 64.7% |
| 3.88 | +10% | 26.0% | 74.0% |
Model-estimated probabilities of finishing above/below each level at expiration — estimates under stated assumptions, not predictions.
Probability explorer
Drag the slider to any level and see the model-estimated chance the stock finishes above or below it at the selected expiration.
Horizon: Oct 16, 2026 · lognormal model, zero drift — an estimate, not a prediction. Assumptions
Expirations
Open the chain →| Expires | DTEDays to expiration, in calendar days. | Implied move | ATM IV | Open int. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 04, 2026 | 1 | ±3.1% | 51.4% | 11.3K |
| Sep 11, 2026 | 8 | ±5.0% | 39.4% | 12.8K |
| Sep 18, 2026 | 15 | ±7.2% | 43.2% | 30.9K |
| Sep 25, 2026 | 22 | ±8.9% | 44.6% | 13.6K |
| Oct 02, 2026 | 29 | ±10.6% | 46.6% | 11.5K |
| Oct 09, 2026 | 36 | ±11.2% | 44.3% | 15.8K |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 43 | ±18.0% | 49.4% | 103.1K |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 50 | — | — | 0 |
| Jan 15, 2027 | 134 | ±24.2% | 50.1% | 747.0K |
Open interest by strike — Oct 16
Where option positions are concentrated. Teal bars are calls, red bars are puts; the dashed line is the current price.
Largest open-interest concentrations (all expirations ≤ 60 days): 4 C · 54.7K3.5 P · 42.1K5 C · 34.2K3 P · 27.7K4 P · 7,577
IV term structure
Volatility page →At-the-money implied volatility for each expiration. A hump around a date often marks a scheduled event the market is pricing.
When does open interest expire?
Implied vs realized volatility
HV from our stored daily closes (annualized); IV30 interpolated from the chain. Method
Price, last 60 sessions
Track record
Full history →Every trading day we record what the options market is pricing for each expiration — before the outcome is known. Once expirations start resolving, this section compares expected versus actual, and the record is never rewritten. Recording since Aug 31, 2026.
Past earnings reactions
Avg |reaction| 9.1% · median 7.1% (21 reports) — two-session close-to-close window; definition
About Grab Holdings Limited
Grab Holdings Limited operates a leading super-application, providing a wide array of services including transportation, food and package delivery, financial technology solutions, and business support offerings. These services are all accessible through a single mobile platform. Its operations span eight Southeast Asian countries, namely Cambodia, Indonesia, Malaysia, Myanmar, the Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, and Vietnam. The company maintains its corporate headquarters in Singapore.
Technology · Software - Application · NASDAQ · Profile: Financial Modeling Prep
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