Five Below, Inc. (FIVE)
Overview · Option chain · Volatility · Expected-move history · Earnings
Cboe delayed options data · as of 09:36 UTC · Figures derived from the full chain (542 contracts, 7 expirations) · IV own-history percentile appears after 60 recorded days (28 so far)
Expected move · Nov 20, 2026 (32 days)
Methodology →Read from option prices: the at-the-money straddle costs this much, so the market is pricing a move of about that size in either direction by this date. It is an estimate of movement, not a prediction of direction.
Options are pricing a move of about ±9.9% (range 200.45–244.55) by Nov 20, 2026. ATM straddle: 22.05 @ strike 220 · ATM IV: 39.9%.
Probability distribution
Model & assumptions →The curve shows where a lognormal model, fed with current implied volatility, puts the range of outcomes at this expiration. Shaded: the expected-move band.
| Level | vs price | P(above)Model-estimated chance the stock finishes above a level at expiration, derived from current IV under a lognormal model with stated assumptions — an estimate, not a prediction. | P(below) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 200.25 | -10% | 79.7% | 20.3% |
| 211.38 | -5% | 64.6% | 35.4% |
| 222.50 | +0% | 47.6% | 52.4% |
| 233.62 | +5% | 31.9% | 68.1% |
| 244.75 | +10% | 19.3% | 80.7% |
Model-estimated probabilities of finishing above/below each level at expiration: estimates under stated assumptions, not predictions.
Probability explorer
Drag the slider to any level and see the model-estimated chance the stock finishes above or below it at the selected expiration.
Horizon: Nov 20, 2026 · lognormal model with zero drift: an estimate, not a prediction. Assumptions
Expirations
Open the chain →| Expires | DTEDays to expiration, in calendar days. | Implied move | ATM IV | Open int. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2026 | 32 | ±9.9% | 39.9% | 3,454 |
| Dec 18, 2026 | 60 | ±15.2% | 45.8% | 25 |
| Jan 15, 2027 | 88 | ±17.8% | 44.6% | 5,741 |
| Feb 19, 2027 | 123 | ±20.0% | 42.7% | 1,178 |
Open interest by strike · Nov 20
Where option positions are concentrated. Teal bars are calls, red bars are puts; the dashed line is the current price.
Largest open-interest concentrations (all expirations ≤ 60 days): 220 P · 382240 C · 379200 P · 311210 P · 241230 C · 226
IV term structure
Volatility page →At-the-money implied volatility for each expiration. A hump around a date often marks a scheduled event the market is pricing.
When does open interest expire?
Implied vs realized volatility
HV from our stored daily closes (annualized); IV30 interpolated from the chain. Method
Price, last 60 sessions
Daily closes; Financial Modeling Prep.
Track record
Full history →Of 15 recorded snapshot-versus-outcome comparisons so far, the close landed inside the expected range 73.3% of the time.
Past earnings reactions
Avg |reaction| 7.2% · median 5.8% (21 reports). Two-session close-to-close window; definition
About Five Below, Inc.
Five Below, Inc. operates as a prominent specialty discount retailer primarily serving the United States market. The company's diverse inventory spans a wide array of personal accessories, from fashionable novelty socks, sunglasses, and jewelry to scarves, gloves, hair accessories, and athletic apparel like tops, bottoms, and t-shirts. Shoppers can also find a comprehensive selection of beauty products, including nail polish, lip gloss, fragrances, and various branded cosmetics. For home and personal spaces, Five Below provides an assortment of items such as lamps, posters, picture frames, cozy fleece blankets, plush toys, pillows, candles, incense, and diverse lighting and novelty décor. This section also includes accent furniture and practical storage solutions. Athletic and recreational interests are covered with sports balls, team merchandise, and fitness essentials like hand weights, jump ropes, and gym balls. The store also boasts a variety of games, from classic board games and puzzles to collectibles and remote-control toys, alongside seasonal outdoor and water-based fun items for pools and beaches. Furthermore, the company caters to technology enthusiasts with accessories
Consumer Cyclical · Specialty Retail · NASDAQ · Profile: Financial Modeling Prep
FIVE news
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