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Chewy, Inc. (CHWY)

Overview · Option chain · Volatility · Expected-move history · Earnings

Price (delayed) 20.53 -2.10%
Expected moveThe size of the up-or-down move the options market is pricing for a stock by a given date, read from option prices (the at-the-money straddle). It is a market-implied estimate, not a forecast. · Nov 20 ±11.2%
Expected range 18.19–22.79
IV30Implied volatility interpolated to a constant 30-day horizon from the expirations around it, so different stocks and dates can be compared fairly.47.6%
IV percentileWhere this IV30 ranks across all securities we cover today (a cross-sectional comparison, not the stock's own history). 67/universe
P/C volumePut volume (or open interest) divided by call volume (or open interest). A descriptive activity measure — it does not by itself say what traders expect.0.67
P/C open interest0.62
Next earnings Dec 09

Cboe delayed options data · as of 21:36 UTC · Figures derived from the full chain (572 contracts, 12 expirations) · IV own-history percentile appears after 60 recorded days (28 so far)

Expected move · Nov 20, 2026 (32 days)

Methodology →

Read from option prices: the at-the-money straddle costs this much, so the market is pricing a move of about that size in either direction by this date. It is an estimate of movement, not a prediction of direction.

18.1922.7920.49 current

Options are pricing a move of about ±11.2% (range 18.19–22.79) by Nov 20, 2026. ATM straddle: 2.30 @ strike 20.5 · ATM IV: 47.3%.

Probability distribution

Model & assumptions →

The curve shows where a lognormal model, fed with current implied volatility, puts the range of outcomes at this expiration. Shaded: the expected-move band.

20.4918.1922.79
expected-move bandmodel density
Levelvs priceP(above)Model-estimated chance the stock finishes above a level at expiration, derived from current IV under a lognormal model with stated assumptions — an estimate, not a prediction.P(below)
18.44 -10% 75.3% 24.7%
19.47 -5% 61.6% 38.4%
20.49 +0% 47.2% 52.8%
21.51 +5% 33.8% 66.2%
22.54 +10% 22.6% 77.4%

Model-estimated probabilities of finishing above/below each level at expiration: estimates under stated assumptions, not predictions.

Probability explorer

Drag the slider to any level and see the model-estimated chance the stock finishes above or below it at the selected expiration.

P(finish above)—
P(finish below)—
P(touch, approx.)—

Horizon: Nov 20, 2026 · lognormal model with zero drift: an estimate, not a prediction. Assumptions

ExpiresDTEDays to expiration, in calendar days.Implied moveATM IVOpen int.
Oct 23, 2026 4 ±4.3% 51.7% 7,651
Oct 30, 2026 11 ±6.5% 46.5% 6,741
Nov 06, 2026 18 ±8.4% 47.5% 3,679
Nov 13, 2026 25 ±10.2% 48.6% 1,469
Nov 20, 2026 32 ±11.2% 47.3% 34.0K
Nov 27, 2026 39 ±11.8% 45.3% 1,102
Dec 18, 2026 60 ±17.7% 54.6% 39.0K
Jan 15, 2027 88 ±20.6% 52.6% 69.5K
Mar 19, 2027 151 ±26.3% 51.7% 12.3K
Apr 16, 2027 179 ±28.9% 52.5% 6,228

Open interest by strike · Nov 20

Where option positions are concentrated. Teal bars are calls, red bars are puts; the dashed line is the current price.

17.5020.0022.5025.0020.49
callsputs

Largest open-interest concentrations (all expirations ≤ 60 days): 17.5 P · 13.0K20 C · 12.3K25 C · 11.2K22.5 C · 7,79030 C · 5,492

IV term structure

Volatility page →

At-the-money implied volatility for each expiration. A hump around a date often marks a scheduled event the market is pricing.

43%48%53%58%32d179d4d

When does open interest expire?

92%Later

Implied vs realized volatility

33.9%44.9%55.9%66.9%Aug 31Oct 16
IV30HV20

HV from our stored daily closes (annualized); IV30 interpolated from the chain. Method

Price, last 60 sessions

17.1619.8622.5525.25Jul 27Oct 19

Daily closes; Financial Modeling Prep.

Track record

Full history →

Of 93 recorded snapshot-versus-outcome comparisons so far, the close landed inside the expected range 31.2% of the time.

Past earnings reactions

Dec 24-7.6%Mar 25-2.7%Jun 25-10.0%Sep 25-14.4%Dec 25-1.9%Mar 26+15.2%Jun 26-8.0%Sep 26-9.4%
implied (when recorded)actual reaction

Avg |reaction| 10.9% · median 10.0% (21 reports). Two-session close-to-close window; definition

About Chewy, Inc.

Chewy, Inc., along with its affiliated entities, functions exclusively as an online retail enterprise within the United States. Through its primary website, chewy.com, and its mobile applications, the company provides a comprehensive range of products and services tailored for nearly every type of domestic companion, including canines, felines, aquatic pets, birds, small mammals, horses, and even reptiles. Customers can procure everything from essential pet food and treats to necessary supplies, prescribed medications, and other health and wellness items. This extensive inventory includes roughly 100,000 unique products supplied by approximately 3,000 different partner brands. Chewy was established in 2010 and maintains its corporate headquarters in Dania Beach, Florida.

Consumer Cyclical · Specialty Retail · NYSE · Profile: Financial Modeling Prep

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