CHWY historial de movimiento esperado Chewy, Inc.
Cada día de negociación, tras el cierre, registramos lo que el mercado de opciones estaba descontando — por vencimiento, antes de conocerse el resultado. Cuando un vencimiento finaliza, el resultado se anota junto a la estimación original. Las estimaciones nunca se revisan a posteriori. Cómo interpretar estas estadísticas · registrando desde Aug 31, 2026
Comparaciones resueltas93
Cierre dentro del rango31%
|Real| por debajo de lo esperado31%
Movimiento esperado promedio±8.8%
Movimiento |real| promedio11.4%
Error medio abs.3.9pt
Implícita vs realizada, por vencimiento
Para cada vencimiento: el contorno ámbar es el movimiento esperado registrado más cerca del vencimiento; la barra sólida es lo que la acción hizo realmente. Los valores con signo aparecen bajo las barras.
esperado (registrado)real
Registrado actualmente (pendiente de resultado)
| Instantánea | Vence | DTE | Precio entonces | Movimiento esperado | Rango | Método |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16 | Oct 16 | 0 | 20.97 | ±0.4% | 20.89–21.05 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 16 | 2 | 20.79 | ±3.6% | 20.04–21.55 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 13 | Oct 16 | 3 | 19.68 | ±4.1% | 18.87–20.49 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 09 | Oct 16 | 7 | 18.93 | ±5.1% | 17.97–19.89 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 08 | Oct 16 | 8 | 18.82 | ±5.8% | 17.72–19.92 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 07 | Oct 16 | 9 | 18.22 | ±5.4% | 17.23–19.21 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 06 | Oct 16 | 10 | 18.21 | ±6.0% | 17.12–19.31 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 05 | Oct 16 | 11 | 18.22 | ±6.1% | 17.11–19.34 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 02 | Oct 16 | 14 | 18.17 | ±6.5% | 16.98–19.36 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 01 | Oct 16 | 15 | 17.72 | ±7.0% | 16.48–18.95 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 23 | Oct 16 | 23 | 19.72 | ±9.8% | 17.79–21.65 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 22 | Oct 16 | 24 | 19.68 | ±9.8% | 17.75–21.61 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 21 | Oct 16 | 25 | 20.67 | ±10.0% | 18.60–22.74 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 18 | Oct 16 | 28 | 21.03 | ±10.7% | 18.79–23.27 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 17 | Oct 16 | 29 | 20.83 | ±10.4% | 18.66–23.00 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 16 | Oct 16 | 30 | 21.10 | ±10.9% | 18.81–23.39 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 15 | Oct 16 | 31 | 21.27 | ±11.9% | 18.73–23.82 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 14 | Oct 16 | 32 | 21.45 | ±11.5% | 18.98–23.93 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 11 | Oct 16 | 35 | 20.34 | ±11.0% | 18.09–22.58 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 10 | Oct 16 | 36 | 21.06 | ±12.2% | 18.48–23.64 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 09 | Oct 16 | 37 | 20.66 | ±12.1% | 18.16–23.16 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 08 | Oct 16 | 38 | 23.39 | ±15.8% | 19.69–27.09 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 07 | Oct 16 | 39 | 23.66 | ±16.4% | 19.77–27.55 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 04 | Oct 16 | 42 | 23.94 | ±16.1% | 20.09–27.80 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 03 | Oct 16 | 43 | 23.81 | ±16.2% | 19.96–27.67 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 02 | Oct 16 | 44 | 24.25 | ±16.6% | 20.23–28.26 | em-1.0 |
| Sep 01 | Oct 16 | 45 | 23.82 | ±16.5% | 19.90–27.75 | em-1.0 |
| Aug 31 | Oct 16 | 46 | 23.10 | ±16.9% | 19.20–27.00 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 16 | Oct 23 | 7 | 20.97 | ±5.1% | 19.89–22.05 | em-1.0 |
| Oct 14 | Oct 23 | 9 | 20.79 | ±6.8% | 19.39–22.20 | em-1.0 |
Instantáneas resueltas
| Instantánea | Vencido | Esperado | Real | ¿Dentro del rango? | Precio → cierre |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±0.9% | +0.1% | dentro | 18.93 → 18.95 |
| Oct 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±2.6% | +0.7% | dentro | 18.82 → 18.95 |
| Oct 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.3% | +4.0% | fuera | 18.22 → 18.95 |
| Oct 06, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±3.5% | +4.1% | fuera | 18.21 → 18.95 |
| Oct 05, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.1% | +4.0% | dentro | 18.22 → 18.95 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±4.6% | +4.3% | dentro | 18.17 → 18.95 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±5.6% | +6.9% | fuera | 17.72 → 18.95 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.7% | -3.9% | dentro | 19.72 → 18.95 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.7% | -3.7% | dentro | 19.68 → 18.95 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.9% | -8.3% | dentro | 20.67 → 18.95 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.2% | -9.9% | fuera | 21.03 → 18.95 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.7% | -9.0% | dentro | 20.83 → 18.95 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±8.9% | -10.2% | fuera | 21.10 → 18.95 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.0% | -10.9% | fuera | 21.27 → 18.95 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±9.9% | -11.7% | fuera | 21.45 → 18.95 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.8% | -6.8% | dentro | 20.34 → 18.95 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±10.9% | -10.0% | dentro | 21.06 → 18.95 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±11.0% | -8.3% | dentro | 20.66 → 18.95 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±14.9% | -19.0% | fuera | 23.39 → 18.95 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±14.6% | -19.9% | fuera | 23.66 → 18.95 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±15.4% | -20.8% | fuera | 23.94 → 18.95 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±15.5% | -20.4% | fuera | 23.81 → 18.95 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±15.5% | -21.8% | fuera | 24.25 → 18.95 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±15.5% | -20.5% | fuera | 23.82 → 18.95 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 09 | ±15.7% | -18.0% | fuera | 23.10 → 18.95 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±1.0% | +0.0% | dentro | 18.17 → 18.17 |
| Oct 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±1.8% | +2.5% | fuera | 17.72 → 18.17 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±6.2% | -7.9% | fuera | 19.72 → 18.17 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±6.2% | -7.7% | fuera | 19.68 → 18.17 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±6.3% | -12.1% | fuera | 20.67 → 18.17 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±7.5% | -13.6% | fuera | 21.03 → 18.17 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±7.7% | -12.8% | fuera | 20.83 → 18.17 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±8.6% | -13.9% | fuera | 21.10 → 18.17 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±8.6% | -14.6% | fuera | 21.27 → 18.17 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±9.6% | -15.3% | fuera | 21.45 → 18.17 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±9.1% | -10.6% | fuera | 20.34 → 18.17 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±9.8% | -13.7% | fuera | 21.06 → 18.17 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±10.2% | -12.1% | fuera | 20.66 → 18.17 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±14.3% | -22.3% | fuera | 23.39 → 18.17 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±14.3% | -23.2% | fuera | 23.66 → 18.17 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±14.3% | -24.1% | fuera | 23.94 → 18.17 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±14.4% | -23.7% | fuera | 23.81 → 18.17 |
| Sep 02, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±14.3% | -25.1% | fuera | 24.25 → 18.17 |
| Sep 01, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±14.6% | -23.7% | fuera | 23.82 → 18.17 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Oct 02 | ±14.7% | -21.3% | fuera | 23.10 → 18.17 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±4.3% | -7.4% | fuera | 19.72 → 18.27 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±4.3% | -7.2% | fuera | 19.68 → 18.27 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±4.6% | -11.6% | fuera | 20.67 → 18.27 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±5.4% | -13.1% | fuera | 21.03 → 18.27 |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±4.7% | -12.3% | fuera | 20.83 → 18.27 |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±5.8% | -13.4% | fuera | 21.10 → 18.27 |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±6.3% | -14.1% | fuera | 21.27 → 18.27 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±5.9% | -14.8% | fuera | 21.45 → 18.27 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±6.9% | -10.2% | fuera | 20.34 → 18.27 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±7.2% | -13.3% | fuera | 21.06 → 18.27 |
| Sep 09, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±8.1% | -11.6% | fuera | 20.66 → 18.27 |
| Sep 08, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±13.8% | -21.9% | fuera | 23.39 → 18.27 |
| Sep 07, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±12.9% | -22.8% | fuera | 23.66 → 18.27 |
| Sep 04, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±13.5% | -23.7% | fuera | 23.94 → 18.27 |
| Sep 03, 2026 | Sep 25 | ±13.6% | -23.3% | fuera | 23.81 → 18.27 |
Los resultados comparan el rango registrado con el precio de cierre en el día de expiración. La versión del método se muestra por fila cuando difiere; actual: em-1.0.