Wingstop Inc. (WING)
Overview · Option chain · Volatility · Expected-move history · Earnings
Cboe delayed options data · as of 15:46 UTC · Figures derived from the full chain (730 contracts, 8 expirations) · IV own-history percentile appears after 60 recorded days (29 so far)
Expected move · Nov 20, 2026 (31 days)
Methodology →Read from option prices: the at-the-money straddle costs this much, so the market is pricing a move of about that size in either direction by this date. It is an estimate of movement, not a prediction of direction.
Options are pricing a move of about ±17.6% (range 107.57–153.67) by Nov 20, 2026. ATM straddle: 23.05 @ strike 130 · ATM IV: 75.7%.
Probability distribution
Model & assumptions →The curve shows where a lognormal model, fed with current implied volatility, puts the range of outcomes at this expiration. Shaded: the expected-move band.
| Level | vs price | P(above)Model-estimated chance the stock finishes above a level at expiration, derived from current IV under a lognormal model with stated assumptions — an estimate, not a prediction. | P(below) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 117.56 | -10% | 64.3% | 35.7% |
| 124.09 | -5% | 54.9% | 45.1% |
| 130.62 | +0% | 45.6% | 54.4% |
| 137.15 | +5% | 37.0% | 63.0% |
| 143.68 | +10% | 29.4% | 70.6% |
Model-estimated probabilities of finishing above/below each level at expiration: estimates under stated assumptions, not predictions.
Probability explorer
Drag the slider to any level and see the model-estimated chance the stock finishes above or below it at the selected expiration.
Horizon: Nov 20, 2026 · lognormal model with zero drift: an estimate, not a prediction. Assumptions
Expirations
Open the chain →| Expires | DTEDays to expiration, in calendar days. | Implied move | ATM IV | Open int. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2026 | 31 | ±17.6% | 75.7% | 6,948 |
| Dec 18, 2026 | 59 | ±22.0% | 68.8% | 3,320 |
| Jan 15, 2027 | 87 | ±26.5% | 68.4% | 8,069 |
| Mar 19, 2027 | 150 | ±34.3% | 68.1% | 4,879 |
Open interest by strike · Nov 20
Where option positions are concentrated. Teal bars are calls, red bars are puts; the dashed line is the current price.
Largest open-interest concentrations (all expirations ≤ 60 days): 120 C · 1,282150 C · 56290 P · 51785 P · 44980 P · 395
IV term structure
Volatility page →At-the-money implied volatility for each expiration. A hump around a date often marks a scheduled event the market is pricing.
When does open interest expire?
Implied vs realized volatility
HV from our stored daily closes (annualized); IV30 interpolated from the chain. Method
Price, last 60 sessions
Daily closes; Financial Modeling Prep.
Track record
Full history →Of 43 recorded snapshot-versus-outcome comparisons so far, the close landed inside the expected range 39.5% of the time.
Past earnings reactions
Avg |reaction| 9.2% · median 4.5% (20 reports). Two-session close-to-close window; definition
About Wingstop Inc.
Wingstop Inc., together with its affiliated companies, manages and licenses a network of restaurants known by the Wingstop brand. These establishments are recognized for their made-to-order offerings, including classic bone-in wings, boneless wings, and tenders, all freshly cooked and expertly hand-tossed in a wide array of distinctive sauces. By December 25, 2021, Wingstop's extensive reach encompassed 1,695 independently operated franchise locations and 36 company-owned stores, spread throughout 44 U.S. states and seven countries globally. This enterprise, which was founded in 1994, has its corporate headquarters located in Addison, Texas.
Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants · NASDAQ · Profile: Financial Modeling Prep
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