U.S. Bancorp (USB)
概览 · 期权链 · 波动率 · 预期涨跌幅历史记录 · 财报
Cboe delayed options data · 截至 15:45 UTC · 基于完整期权链衍生的数据 (864 合约, 16 到期日) · IV自身历史百分位在记录满60天后显示 (29 迄今为止)
预期涨跌幅 · Nov 20, 2026 (31 天)
方法论 →从期权价格中读取：平值跨式期权的成本即为市场在此日期前预计的双向波动幅度。这是对波动空间的估算，而非对方向的预测。
期权隐含波动幅度约为 ±5.7% (区间 55.38–62.10) 由 Nov 20, 2026. ATM 跨式组合: 3.36 @ 行权价 59 · ATM IV: 24.3%.
概率分布
模型与假设 →该曲线显示以当前隐含波动率为输入的对数正态模型对本到期日结果区间的估计，阴影部分为预期波动区间。
| 级别 | vs 价格 | P(上涨)Model-estimated chance the stock finishes above a level at expiration, derived from current IV under a lognormal model with stated assumptions — an estimate, not a prediction. | P(下跌) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52.87 | -10% | 92.7% | 7.3% |
| 55.81 | -5% | 75.4% | 24.6% |
| 58.74 | -0% | 48.6% | 51.4% |
| 61.68 | +5% | 23.5% | 76.5% |
| 64.62 | +10% | 8.4% | 91.6% |
基于模型估算的到期时收盘价高于/低于各价位的概率，这些是在特定假设下的估计值，并非预测结果。
概率探索工具
拖动滑块至任意价位，查看模型估算的股票在所选到期日收于该价位上方或下方的概率。
期限: Nov 20, 2026 · 以零漂移对数正态模型计算的估计值，并非预测结果。 假设条件
到期日
打开期权链 →| 到期时间 | DTEDays to expiration, in calendar days. | 隐含涨跌幅 | ATM IV | 未平仓量 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | 3 | ±2.0% | 26.8% | 4,889 |
| Oct 30, 2026 | 10 | ±3.4% | 25.1% | 4,650 |
| Nov 06, 2026 | 17 | ±4.3% | 24.8% | 2,731 |
| Nov 13, 2026 | 24 | ±5.1% | 24.4% | 746 |
| Nov 20, 2026 | 31 | ±5.7% | 24.3% | 18.0K |
| Nov 27, 2026 | 38 | ±6.1% | 23.5% | 271 |
| Dec 18, 2026 | 59 | ±8.0% | 24.1% | 40.2K |
| Jan 15, 2027 | 87 | ±9.6% | 23.8% | 52.4K |
| Feb 19, 2027 | 122 | ±11.6% | 25.1% | 3,705 |
| Mar 19, 2027 | 150 | ±12.9% | 25.0% | 18.5K |
各行权价未平仓量 · Nov 20
期权头寸集中分布的位置。青色柱为 call，红色柱为 put；虚线为当前价格。
未平仓量最集中的头寸（所有到期日 ≤ 60天）： 62.5 C · 10.7K67.5 C · 8,18260 C · 7,79865 C · 6,32355 P · 2,473
隐含波动率与已实现波动率
历史波动率来自我们存储的每日收盘价（年化）；IV30由期权链插值得出。 方法
价格，近60个交易日
每日收盘数据；来源：Financial Modeling Prep
关于 U.S. Bancorp
U.S. Bancorp (USB) functions as a broad-based financial services holding company, delivering a comprehensive spectrum of banking and financial solutions throughout the United States. Its diverse customer base includes individual consumers, various businesses, institutional organizations, governmental bodies, and other financial entities. The company organizes its operations across key segments: Corporate and Commercial Banking, Consumer and Business Banking, Wealth Management and Investment Services, Payment Services, and Treasury and Corporate Support. Its offerings encompass fundamental depository services such as checking accounts, savings accounts, and time certificates. U.S. Bancorp also extends a variety of credit facilities, including traditional lending products, credit card services, lease financing, support for import/export trade, asset-backed lending, and agricultural finance. Furthermore, it provides supplementary services like capital markets access, treasury management, and receivable lock-box collection for its corporate and governmental clients. The firm also offers a full suite of asset management and fiduciary services designed for individuals, estates, foundatio
金融服务 · Banks - Regional · NYSE · 公司简介：Financial Modeling Prep
USB 新闻
所有新闻 →U.S. Treasury yields move lower after weak housing data
Investors digested more economic data and continued to weigh the inflationary backdrop ahead of the Federal Reserve's interest rate…
CNBC · 14:53 UTC ↗Former OpenAI exec has quietly built $1.5 billion startup, betting AI can revive U.S. manufacturing
Former OpenAI executive Bob McGrew is launching Arda at a $1.5 billion.
CNBC · 13:03 UTC ↗Apple adds U.S. titanium supplier for iPhone Duo as supply stays tight
Apple is adding a U.S. titanium supplier for its new iPhone Duo and expanding domestic production of camera components for the iPhone 18…
CNBC · 12:29 UTC ↗Zelenskyy to meet with U.S. envoy as tensions with Trump mount
Ukraine's President Volodymyr Zelenskyy is set to meet with U.S. special envoys on Tuesday after President Donald Trump aimed fresh…
CNBC · 10:30 UTC ↗U.S. Housing Starts Dropped Again in September
Housing starts fell 5.2% in September to 1.221 million. Economists had expected a reading of 1.3 million and for starts to rise 2% over the…
WSJ · 08:48 UTC ↗