U.S. Bancorp (USB)
Overview · Option chain · Volatility · Expected-move history · Earnings
Cboe delayed options data · as of 00:39 UTC · Figures derived from the full chain (854 contracts, 16 expirations) · IV own-history percentile appears after 60 recorded days (3 so far)
Expected move — Sep 18, 2026 (16 days)
Methodology →Read from option prices: the at-the-money straddle costs this much, so the market is pricing a move of about that size in either direction by this date. It is an estimate of movement, not a prediction of direction.
Options are pricing a move of about ±3.5% (range 60.56–64.98) by Sep 18, 2026. ATM straddle: 2.21 @ strike 63 · ATM IV: 20.9%.
Probability distribution
Model & assumptions →The curve shows where a lognormal model, fed with current implied volatility, puts the range of outcomes at this expiration. Shaded: the expected-move band.
| Level | vs price | P(above)Model-estimated chance the stock finishes above a level at expiration, derived from current IV under a lognormal model with stated assumptions — an estimate, not a prediction. | P(below) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56.49 | -10% | 99.1% | 0.9% |
| 59.63 | -5% | 87.5% | 12.5% |
| 62.77 | +0% | 49.1% | 50.9% |
| 65.91 | +5% | 12.8% | 87.2% |
| 69.05 | +10% | 1.4% | 98.6% |
Model-estimated probabilities of finishing above/below each level at expiration — estimates under stated assumptions, not predictions.
Probability explorer
Drag the slider to any level and see the model-estimated chance the stock finishes above or below it at the selected expiration.
Horizon: Sep 18, 2026 · lognormal model, zero drift — an estimate, not a prediction. Assumptions
Expirations
Open the chain →| Expires | DTEDays to expiration, in calendar days. | Implied move | ATM IV | Open int. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 04, 2026 | 2 | ±1.5% | 24.9% | 3,193 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | 9 | ±2.6% | 20.4% | 2,531 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | 16 | ±3.5% | 20.9% | 53.8K |
| Sep 25, 2026 | 23 | ±4.3% | 21.2% | 2,307 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | 30 | ±5.1% | 20.9% | 846 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | 37 | ±5.6% | 21.3% | 321 |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 44 | ±6.7% | 23.8% | 8,456 |
| Nov 20, 2026 | 79 | ±8.7% | 23.6% | 4,044 |
| Dec 18, 2026 | 107 | ±10.2% | 23.5% | 31.2K |
| Jan 15, 2027 | 135 | ±11.5% | 23.6% | 50.6K |
| Feb 19, 2027 | 170 | ±13.1% | 24.2% | 2,249 |
| Mar 19, 2027 | 198 | ±14.5% | 24.8% | 13.8K |
Open interest by strike — Sep 18
Where option positions are concentrated. Teal bars are calls, red bars are puts; the dashed line is the current price.
Largest open-interest concentrations (all expirations ≤ 60 days): 65 C · 11.0K67.5 C · 5,71370 C · 4,72350 P · 4,67960 C · 4,660
IV term structure
Volatility page →At-the-money implied volatility for each expiration. A hump around a date often marks a scheduled event the market is pricing.
When does open interest expire?
Implied vs realized volatility
HV from our stored daily closes (annualized); IV30 interpolated from the chain. Method
Price, last 60 sessions
Track record
Full history →Every trading day we record what the options market is pricing for each expiration — before the outcome is known. Once expirations start resolving, this section compares expected versus actual, and the record is never rewritten. Recording since Aug 31, 2026.
Past earnings reactions
Avg |reaction| 3.4% · median 3.0% (20 reports) — two-session close-to-close window; definition
About U.S. Bancorp
U.S. Bancorp (USB) functions as a broad-based financial services holding company, delivering a comprehensive spectrum of banking and financial solutions throughout the United States. Its diverse customer base includes individual consumers, various businesses, institutional organizations, governmental bodies, and other financial entities. The company organizes its operations across key segments: Corporate and Commercial Banking, Consumer and Business Banking, Wealth Management and Investment Services, Payment Services, and Treasury and Corporate Support. Its offerings encompass fundamental depository services such as checking accounts, savings accounts, and time certificates. U.S. Bancorp also extends a variety of credit facilities, including traditional lending products, credit card services, lease financing, support for import/export trade, asset-backed lending, and agricultural finance. Furthermore, it provides supplementary services like capital markets access, treasury management, and receivable lock-box collection for its corporate and governmental clients. The firm also offers a full suite of asset management and fiduciary services designed for individuals, estates, foundatio
Financial Services · Banks - Diversified · NYSE · Profile: Financial Modeling Prep
USB news
All news →Stock Index Futures Slip as Bond Yields Surge, U.S. JOLTS Report in Focus
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SOFI · IV 47.4%HOOD · IV 60.7%MARA · IV 81.7%COIN · IV 61.6%NU · IV 39.8%BAC · IV 20.8%