U.S. Bancorp (USB)
Ikhtisar · Rantai opsi · Volatilitas · Riwayat pergerakan yang diharapkan · Laba
Cboe delayed options data · per 18:45 UTC · Angka yang diturunkan dari rantai opsi penuh (864 kontrak, 16 kedaluwarsa) · Persentil riwayat IV sendiri muncul setelah 60 hari pencatatan (29 sejauh ini)
Pergerakan yang diharapkan · Nov 20, 2026 (31 hari)
Metodologi →Dibaca dari harga opsi: straddle at-the-money berharga sebesar ini, sehingga pasar memperkirakan pergerakan sekitar sebesar itu ke salah satu arah pada tanggal ini. Ini adalah estimasi besarnya pergerakan, bukan prediksi arahnya.
Opsi memperkirakan pergerakan sekitar ±5.5% (rentang 55.70–62.18) oleh Nov 20, 2026. ATM straddle: 3.24 @ strike 59 · ATM IV: 23.5%.
Distribusi probabilitas
Model & asumsi →Kurva ini menunjukkan kisaran hasil yang diperkirakan oleh model lognormal — yang menggunakan implied volatility saat ini — pada ekspirasi ini. Bagian yang diarsir: pita pergerakan yang diperkirakan.
| Level | vs harga | P(di atas)Model-estimated chance the stock finishes above a level at expiration, derived from current IV under a lognormal model with stated assumptions — an estimate, not a prediction. | P(di bawah) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 53.05 | -10% | 93.4% | 6.6% |
| 55.99 | -5% | 76.3% | 23.7% |
| 58.94 | +0% | 48.6% | 51.4% |
| 61.89 | +5% | 22.7% | 77.3% |
| 64.83 | +10% | 7.7% | 92.3% |
Probabilitas yang diestimasi model untuk harga berakhir di atas/di bawah setiap level saat kedaluwarsa: estimasi berdasarkan asumsi tertentu, bukan prediksi.
Penjelajah probabilitas
Geser slider ke level mana pun dan lihat perkiraan peluang dari model bahwa saham akan berakhir di atas atau di bawah level tersebut pada expirasi yang dipilih.
Horizon: Nov 20, 2026 · Model lognormal dengan zero drift: estimasi, bukan prediksi. Asumsi
Expirasi
Buka rantai opsi →| Kedaluwarsa | DTEDays to expiration, in calendar days. | Implied move | ATM IV | Open int. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | 3 | ±1.9% | 26.1% | 4,889 |
| Oct 30, 2026 | 10 | ±3.2% | 23.9% | 4,650 |
| Nov 06, 2026 | 17 | ±4.1% | 23.7% | 2,731 |
| Nov 13, 2026 | 24 | ±5.0% | 24.2% | 746 |
| Nov 20, 2026 | 31 | ±5.5% | 23.5% | 18.0K |
| Nov 27, 2026 | 38 | ±5.9% | 23.0% | 271 |
| Dec 18, 2026 | 59 | ±7.3% | 22.3% | 40.2K |
| Jan 15, 2027 | 87 | ±9.0% | 22.3% | 52.4K |
| Feb 19, 2027 | 122 | ±11.3% | 24.2% | 3,705 |
| Mar 19, 2027 | 150 | ±12.5% | 24.1% | 18.5K |
Open interest per strike · Nov 20
Tempat posisi opsi terkonsentrasi. Batang teal adalah call, batang merah adalah put; garis putus-putus adalah harga saat ini.
Konsentrasi open interest terbesar (semua kedaluwarsa ≤ 60 hari): 62.5 C · 10.7K67.5 C · 8,18260 C · 7,79865 C · 6,32355 P · 2,473
Struktur tenor IV
Halaman volatilitas →Implied volatility at-the-money untuk setiap tanggal kedaluwarsa. Tonjolan di sekitar suatu tanggal sering menandai acara terjadwal yang sedang dihargai oleh pasar.
Kapan open interest kedaluwarsa?
Implied vs volatilitas terealisasi
HV dari penutupan harian tersimpan kami (disetahunkan); IV30 diinterpolasi dari rantai opsi. Metode
Harga, 60 sesi terakhir
Penutupan harian; Financial Modeling Prep.
Rekam jejak
Riwayat lengkap →Dari 121 perbandingan snapshot-versus-hasil yang direkam sejauh ini, penutupan berada di dalam kisaran yang diperkirakan 49.6% dari waktu ke waktu.
Reaksi pendapatan masa lalu
Rata-rata |reaksi| 3.5% · median 3.1% (21 laporan). Jendela waktu dua sesi penutupan ke penutupan; definisi
Tentang U.S. Bancorp
U.S. Bancorp (USB) functions as a broad-based financial services holding company, delivering a comprehensive spectrum of banking and financial solutions throughout the United States. Its diverse customer base includes individual consumers, various businesses, institutional organizations, governmental bodies, and other financial entities. The company organizes its operations across key segments: Corporate and Commercial Banking, Consumer and Business Banking, Wealth Management and Investment Services, Payment Services, and Treasury and Corporate Support. Its offerings encompass fundamental depository services such as checking accounts, savings accounts, and time certificates. U.S. Bancorp also extends a variety of credit facilities, including traditional lending products, credit card services, lease financing, support for import/export trade, asset-backed lending, and agricultural finance. Furthermore, it provides supplementary services like capital markets access, treasury management, and receivable lock-box collection for its corporate and governmental clients. The firm also offers a full suite of asset management and fiduciary services designed for individuals, estates, foundatio
Layanan Keuangan · Banks - Regional · NYSE · Profil: Financial Modeling Prep
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HOOD · IV 66.2%SOFI · IV 59.1%MARA · IV 96.1%BAC · IV 23.7%NU · IV 62.4%COIN · IV 68.9%