RTX Corporation (RTX)
Overview · Option chain · Volatility · Expected-move history · Earnings
Cboe delayed options data · as of 18:42 UTC · Figures derived from the full chain (1,146 contracts, 15 expirations) · IV own-history percentile appears after 60 recorded days (28 so far)
Expected move · Nov 20, 2026 (32 days)
Methodology →Read from option prices: the at-the-money straddle costs this much, so the market is pricing a move of about that size in either direction by this date. It is an estimate of movement, not a prediction of direction.
Options are pricing a move of about ±7.9% (range 178.24–208.74) by Nov 20, 2026. ATM straddle: 15.25 @ strike 192.5 · ATM IV: 32.9%.
Probability distribution
Model & assumptions →The curve shows where a lognormal model, fed with current implied volatility, puts the range of outcomes at this expiration. Shaded: the expected-move band.
| Level | vs price | P(above)Model-estimated chance the stock finishes above a level at expiration, derived from current IV under a lognormal model with stated assumptions — an estimate, not a prediction. | P(below) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 174.14 | -10% | 85.0% | 15.0% |
| 183.82 | -5% | 68.4% | 31.6% |
| 193.49 | +0% | 48.1% | 51.9% |
| 203.16 | +5% | 29.1% | 70.9% |
| 212.84 | +10% | 15.2% | 84.8% |
Model-estimated probabilities of finishing above/below each level at expiration: estimates under stated assumptions, not predictions.
Probability explorer
Drag the slider to any level and see the model-estimated chance the stock finishes above or below it at the selected expiration.
Horizon: Nov 20, 2026 · lognormal model with zero drift: an estimate, not a prediction. Assumptions
Expirations
Open the chain →| Expires | DTEDays to expiration, in calendar days. | Implied move | ATM IV | Open int. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | 4 | ±5.2% | 61.1% | 9,489 |
| Oct 30, 2026 | 11 | ±6.2% | 45.2% | 3,949 |
| Nov 06, 2026 | 18 | ±6.6% | 37.3% | 6,876 |
| Nov 13, 2026 | 25 | ±7.3% | 34.4% | 726 |
| Nov 20, 2026 | 32 | ±7.9% | 32.9% | 32.9K |
| Nov 27, 2026 | 39 | ±8.1% | 30.9% | 131 |
| Dec 18, 2026 | 60 | ±9.7% | 29.7% | 25.4K |
| Jan 15, 2027 | 88 | ±10.9% | 27.6% | 41.3K |
| Feb 19, 2027 | 123 | ±13.4% | 28.8% | 14.6K |
| Mar 19, 2027 | 151 | ±14.4% | 28.0% | 16.2K |
Open interest by strike · Nov 20
Where option positions are concentrated. Teal bars are calls, red bars are puts; the dashed line is the current price.
Largest open-interest concentrations (all expirations ≤ 60 days): 165 P · 11.0K220 C · 5,665200 C · 5,419185 P · 4,796210 C · 4,255
IV term structure
Volatility page →At-the-money implied volatility for each expiration. A hump around a date often marks a scheduled event the market is pricing.
When does open interest expire?
Implied vs realized volatility
HV from our stored daily closes (annualized); IV30 interpolated from the chain. Method
Price, last 60 sessions
Daily closes; Financial Modeling Prep.
Track record
Full history →Of 93 recorded snapshot-versus-outcome comparisons so far, the close landed inside the expected range 47.3% of the time.
Past earnings reactions
Avg |reaction| 4.5% · median 4.2% (20 reports). Two-session close-to-close window; definition
About RTX Corporation
RTX Corporation, a major player in the aerospace and defense sectors, provides sophisticated systems and extensive services to a diverse global clientele. This includes commercial entities, military organizations, and government agencies, both within the United States and internationally. The company's operations are divided into three primary business units: Collins Aerospace, Pratt & Whitney, and Raytheon. The Collins Aerospace segment delivers a broad range of aerospace and defense products, alongside comprehensive aftermarket support solutions. Its customer base spans manufacturers of civil and military aircraft, commercial airlines, and operators in regional, business, general aviation, defense, and commercial space ventures. This division's offerings cover the design, production, and maintenance of aircraft interior components, such as oxygen systems, food and beverage preparation and storage facilities, galley systems, and lavatory and wastewater management. It also supplies battlespace management tools, test and training range infrastructure, crew escape mechanisms, simulation and training programs, and essential information management services. Its post-sales services incl
Industrials · Aerospace & Defense · NYSE · Profile: Financial Modeling Prep
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