JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM)
概览 · 期权链 · 波动率 · 预期涨跌幅历史记录 · 财报
Cboe delayed options data · 截至 19:03 UTC · 基于完整期权链衍生的数据 (1,950 合约, 17 到期日) · IV自身历史百分位在记录满60天后显示 (3 迄今为止)
预期涨跌幅 — Sep 18, 2026 (15 天)
方法论 →从期权价格中读取：平值跨式期权的成本即为市场在此日期前预计的双向波动幅度。这是对波动空间的估算，而非对方向的预测。
期权隐含波动幅度约为 ±3.3% (区间 350.21–373.76) 由 Sep 18, 2026. ATM 跨式组合: 11.78 @ 行权价 362.5 · ATM IV: 19.9%.
概率分布
模型与假设 →该曲线显示以当前隐含波动率为输入的对数正态模型对本到期日结果区间的估计，阴影部分为预期波动区间。
| 级别 | vs 价格 | P(上涨)Model-estimated chance the stock finishes above a level at expiration, derived from current IV under a lognormal model with stated assumptions — an estimate, not a prediction. | P(下跌) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 325.79 | -10% | 99.5% | 0.5% |
| 343.89 | -5% | 89.4% | 10.6% |
| 361.99 | +0% | 49.2% | 50.8% |
| 380.09 | +5% | 11.0% | 89.0% |
| 398.19 | +10% | 0.9% | 99.1% |
模型估算的标的在到期时收于各价位上方/下方的概率——基于既定假设的估算，非预测。
概率探索工具
拖动滑块至任意价位，查看模型估算的股票在所选到期日收于该价位上方或下方的概率。
期限: Sep 18, 2026 · 对数正态模型，零漂移——仅为估算，非预测。 假设条件
到期日
打开期权链 →| 到期时间 | DTEDays to expiration, in calendar days. | 隐含涨跌幅 | ATM IV | 未平仓量 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 04, 2026 | 1 | ±1.0% | 22.6% | 32.8K |
| Sep 11, 2026 | 8 | ±2.3% | 19.2% | 13.4K |
| Sep 18, 2026 | 15 | ±3.3% | 19.9% | 156.3K |
| Sep 25, 2026 | 22 | ±4.1% | 20.5% | 4,571 |
| Oct 02, 2026 | 29 | ±4.7% | 20.6% | 2,730 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | 36 | ±5.2% | 20.3% | 2,047 |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 43 | ±6.5% | 23.4% | 56.1K |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 50 | ±7.0% | 23.6% | 0 |
| Nov 20, 2026 | 78 | ±8.6% | 23.1% | 44.3K |
| Dec 18, 2026 | 106 | ±9.9% | 22.9% | 67.8K |
| Jan 15, 2027 | 134 | ±11.6% | 24.0% | 131.0K |
| Mar 19, 2027 | 197 | ±14.5% | 24.7% | 32.2K |
各行权价未平仓量 — Sep 18
期权头寸集中分布的位置。青色柱为 call，红色柱为 put；虚线为当前价格。
未平仓量最集中的头寸（所有到期日 ≤ 60天）： 270 P · 19.9K375 C · 13.1K360 C · 11.9K380 C · 11.3K280 P · 10.4K
关于 JPMorgan Chase & Co.
JPMorgan Chase & Co. operates as a bank and financial holding company in the United States, rest of North America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia Pacific, Latin America, and the Caribbean. It operates in three segments: Consumer & Community Banking, Commercial & Investment Bank, and Asset & Wealth Management. The company offers deposit, investment and lending products, and cash management; mortgage origination and servicing activities; residential mortgages and home equity loans; and credit cards, payment solutions, travel services, merchant offers, lifestyle benefits, auto loans, and leases to consumers and small businesses through bank branches, ATMs, and digital and telephone banking. It also provides investment banking, market-making, financing, custody, and securities products and services; corporate strategy and structure advisory, equity and debt market capital-raising, and loan origination and syndication services; cash and derivative instruments, risk management solutions, prime brokerage, clearing, and research; and fund services, liquidity and trading services, and data solutions products for large corporations, financial institutions, merchants, start-ups, sm
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JPM 新闻
所有新闻 →Clean sweep or divided Congress, these are the midterm-elections trades to make, says JPMorgan
Some stocks will face very different environments depending on how Americans vote in November.
MarketWatch · 13:35 UTC ↗