Ford Motor Company (F)
Ikhtisar · Rantai opsi · Volatilitas · Riwayat pergerakan yang diharapkan · Laba
Cboe delayed options data · per 09:34 UTC · Angka yang diturunkan dari rantai opsi penuh (838 kontrak, 16 kedaluwarsa) · Persentil riwayat IV sendiri muncul setelah 60 hari pencatatan (3 sejauh ini)
Pergerakan yang diharapkan — Sep 18, 2026 (15 hari)
Metodologi →Dibaca dari harga opsi: straddle at-the-money berharga sebesar ini, sehingga pasar memperkirakan pergerakan sekitar sebesar itu ke salah satu arah pada tanggal ini. Ini adalah estimasi besarnya pergerakan, bukan prediksi arahnya.
Opsi memperkirakan pergerakan sekitar ±5.3% (rentang 13.38–14.89) oleh Sep 18, 2026. ATM straddle: 0.755 @ strike 14 · ATM IV: 30.8%.
Distribusi probabilitas
Model & asumsi →Kurva ini menunjukkan kisaran hasil yang diperkirakan oleh model lognormal — yang menggunakan implied volatility saat ini — pada ekspirasi ini. Bagian yang diarsir: pita pergerakan yang diperkirakan.
| Level | vs harga | P(di atas)Model-estimated chance the stock finishes above a level at expiration, derived from current IV under a lognormal model with stated assumptions — an estimate, not a prediction. | P(di bawah) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12.73 | -10% | 95.1% | 4.9% |
| 13.43 | -5% | 78.6% | 21.4% |
| 14.14 | +0% | 48.7% | 51.3% |
| 14.85 | +5% | 20.7% | 79.3% |
| 15.55 | +10% | 6.0% | 94.0% |
Probabilitas estimasi model untuk harga berakhir di atas/di bawah setiap level pada saat kedaluwarsa — estimasi berdasarkan asumsi yang dinyatakan, bukan prediksi.
Penjelajah probabilitas
Geser slider ke level mana pun dan lihat perkiraan peluang dari model bahwa saham akan berakhir di atas atau di bawah level tersebut pada expirasi yang dipilih.
Horizon: Sep 18, 2026 · model lognormal, zero drift — sebuah estimasi, bukan prediksi. Asumsi
Expirasi
Buka rantai opsi →| Kedaluwarsa | DTEDays to expiration, in calendar days. | Implied move | ATM IV | Open int. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 04, 2026 | 1 | ±2.4% | 37.8% | 60.5K |
| Sep 11, 2026 | 8 | ±3.9% | 29.9% | 24.6K |
| Sep 18, 2026 | 15 | ±5.3% | 30.8% | 398.1K |
| Sep 25, 2026 | 22 | ±6.4% | 31.7% | 18.4K |
| Oct 02, 2026 | 29 | ±7.2% | 31.2% | 6,050 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | 36 | ±8.2% | 31.9% | 1,564 |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 43 | ±9.1% | 32.5% | 49.7K |
| Nov 20, 2026 | 78 | ±13.0% | 34.7% | 30.0K |
| Dec 18, 2026 | 106 | ±15.1% | 35.2% | 333.4K |
| Jan 15, 2027 | 134 | ±17.2% | 35.6% | 476.9K |
| Mar 19, 2027 | 197 | ±20.9% | 36.3% | 46.7K |
Open interest per strike — Sep 18
Tempat posisi opsi terkonsentrasi. Batang teal adalah call, batang merah adalah put; garis putus-putus adalah harga saat ini.
Konsentrasi open interest terbesar (semua kedaluwarsa ≤ 60 hari): 15 C · 63.7K12 P · 56.1K14 C · 53.4K17 C · 50.6K14 P · 48.3K
Struktur tenor IV
Halaman volatilitas →Implied volatility at-the-money untuk setiap tanggal kedaluwarsa. Tonjolan di sekitar suatu tanggal sering menandai acara terjadwal yang sedang dihargai oleh pasar.
Kapan open interest kedaluwarsa?
Implied vs realized volatility
HV dari penutupan harian tersimpan kami (disetahunkan); IV30 diinterpolasi dari rantai opsi. Metode
Harga, 60 sesi terakhir
Rekam jejak
Riwayat lengkap →Setiap hari perdagangan kami mencatat apa yang diperhitungkan pasar opsi untuk setiap expirasi — sebelum hasilnya diketahui. Begitu expirasi mulai terselesaikan, bagian ini membandingkan yang diharapkan versus yang aktual, dan catatan tidak pernah ditulis ulang. Pencatatan sejak 31 Agu 2026.
Reaksi pendapatan masa lalu
Rata-rata |reaksi| 6.1% · median 4.1% (20 laporan) — jendela tutup-ke-tutup dua sesi; definisi
Tentang Ford Motor Company
Ford Motor Company is a global automotive giant, engaged in the design, production, and servicing of a broad spectrum of vehicles. Its product line encompasses Ford trucks, commercial cars and vans, and sport utility vehicles, in addition to luxury models from its Lincoln brand. The company structures its diverse operations into distinct segments: Ford Blue, Ford Model e, Ford Pro, Ford Next, and Ford Credit. Ford distributes its vehicles, service components, and accessories through a worldwide network of distributors and dealerships. It also supplies directly to large organizational clients, including commercial fleet operators, daily rental companies, and government entities, often facilitated by its established dealerships. Beyond manufacturing and sales, Ford provides substantial financial services. This includes offering retail installment contracts for both new and used vehicles, as well as direct financing leases for new vehicles to a wide range of customers – from individual consumers to commercial enterprises such as leasing companies, government agencies, and fleet providers. Furthermore, the company extends wholesale loans to dealers to facilitate inventory purchases. It
Konsumer Siklikal · Auto - Manufacturers · NYSE · Profil: Financial Modeling Prep
F berita
Semua berita →Ford's production of highly profitable Super Duty trucks hits 20-year high as it recovers from supplier fires
Ford reported its eighth consecutive month of year-over-year U.S. new vehicle sales declines in August.
CNBC · Sep 02, 16:25 UTC ↗‘Neither of us attended college’: At 62, how can we afford to put our granddaughter through college?
“Her life was very challenging before we got custody.”
MarketWatch · Sep 02, 15:00 UTC ↗Efek terkait — Konsumer Siklikal
TSLA · IV 41.3%AMZN · IV 28.7%NIO · IV 50.2%GME · IV 51.9%BABA · IV 38.7%NKE · IV 45.4%