Bank of America Corporation (BAC)
Ikhtisar · Rantai opsi · Volatilitas · Riwayat pergerakan yang diharapkan · Laba
Cboe delayed options data · per 03:33 UTC · Angka yang diturunkan dari rantai opsi penuh (1,034 kontrak, 19 kedaluwarsa) · Persentil riwayat IV sendiri muncul setelah 60 hari pencatatan (3 sejauh ini)
Pergerakan yang diharapkan — Sep 18, 2026 (16 hari)
Metodologi →Dibaca dari harga opsi: straddle at-the-money berharga sebesar ini, sehingga pasar memperkirakan pergerakan sekitar sebesar itu ke salah satu arah pada tanggal ini. Ini adalah estimasi besarnya pergerakan, bukan prediksi arahnya.
Opsi memperkirakan pergerakan sekitar ±3.5% (rentang 60.44–64.83) oleh Sep 18, 2026. ATM straddle: 2.19 @ strike 62.5 · ATM IV: 20.9%.
Distribusi probabilitas
Model & asumsi →Kurva ini menunjukkan kisaran hasil yang diperkirakan oleh model lognormal — yang menggunakan implied volatility saat ini — pada ekspirasi ini. Bagian yang diarsir: pita pergerakan yang diperkirakan.
| Level | vs harga | P(di atas)Model-estimated chance the stock finishes above a level at expiration, derived from current IV under a lognormal model with stated assumptions — an estimate, not a prediction. | P(di bawah) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56.37 | -10% | 99.1% | 0.9% |
| 59.50 | -5% | 87.5% | 12.5% |
| 62.63 | -0% | 49.2% | 50.8% |
| 65.77 | +5% | 12.8% | 87.2% |
| 68.90 | +10% | 1.4% | 98.6% |
Probabilitas estimasi model untuk harga berakhir di atas/di bawah setiap level pada saat kedaluwarsa — estimasi berdasarkan asumsi yang dinyatakan, bukan prediksi.
Penjelajah probabilitas
Geser slider ke level mana pun dan lihat perkiraan peluang dari model bahwa saham akan berakhir di atas atau di bawah level tersebut pada expirasi yang dipilih.
Horizon: Sep 18, 2026 · model lognormal, zero drift — sebuah estimasi, bukan prediksi. Asumsi
Expirasi
Buka rantai opsi →| Kedaluwarsa | DTEDays to expiration, in calendar days. | Implied move | ATM IV | Open int. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 04, 2026 | 2 | ±1.7% | 21.7% | 72.6K |
| Sep 11, 2026 | 9 | ±2.6% | 19.4% | 24.2K |
| Sep 18, 2026 | 16 | ±3.5% | 20.9% | 391.1K |
| Sep 25, 2026 | 23 | ±4.2% | 20.5% | 10.8K |
| Oct 02, 2026 | 30 | ±4.8% | 20.8% | 7,761 |
| Oct 09, 2026 | 37 | ±5.4% | 20.8% | 1,877 |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 44 | ±6.8% | 24.3% | 161.7K |
| Nov 20, 2026 | 79 | ±9.0% | 24.1% | 109.6K |
| Dec 18, 2026 | 107 | ±10.3% | 23.9% | 303.6K |
| Jan 15, 2027 | 135 | ±11.9% | 24.7% | 569.7K |
| Feb 19, 2027 | 170 | ±13.5% | 24.8% | 30.5K |
| Mar 19, 2027 | 198 | ±14.6% | 25.0% | 67.1K |
Open interest per strike — Sep 18
Tempat posisi opsi terkonsentrasi. Batang teal adalah call, batang merah adalah put; garis putus-putus adalah harga saat ini.
Konsentrasi open interest terbesar (semua kedaluwarsa ≤ 60 hari): 65 C · 88.3K50 P · 53.7K60 C · 41.9K55 P · 35.5K60 P · 32.4K
Struktur tenor IV
Halaman volatilitas →Implied volatility at-the-money untuk setiap tanggal kedaluwarsa. Tonjolan di sekitar suatu tanggal sering menandai acara terjadwal yang sedang dihargai oleh pasar.
Kapan open interest kedaluwarsa?
Implied vs realized volatility
HV dari penutupan harian tersimpan kami (disetahunkan); IV30 diinterpolasi dari rantai opsi. Metode
Harga, 60 sesi terakhir
Rekam jejak
Riwayat lengkap →Setiap hari perdagangan kami mencatat apa yang diperhitungkan pasar opsi untuk setiap expirasi — sebelum hasilnya diketahui. Begitu expirasi mulai terselesaikan, bagian ini membandingkan yang diharapkan versus yang aktual, dan catatan tidak pernah ditulis ulang. Pencatatan sejak 31 Agu 2026.
Reaksi pendapatan masa lalu
Rata-rata |reaksi| 3.1% · median 2.1% (20 laporan) — jendela tutup-ke-tutup dua sesi; definisi
Tentang Bank of America Corporation
Operating globally through its various subsidiaries, Bank of America Corporation offers a comprehensive range of banking and financial products and services. Its extensive clientele includes individual consumers, small and mid-market businesses, institutional investors, large corporations, and government bodies worldwide. The Consumer Banking division provides diverse options such as traditional and money market savings accounts, certificates of deposit, individual retirement accounts (IRAs), and both interest-bearing and non-interest-bearing checking accounts, in addition to investment products. This segment also issues credit and debit cards, originates residential mortgages and home equity loans, and offers direct and indirect financing for needs like automotive purchases, recreational vehicles, and personal loans. Within its Global Wealth & Investment Management segment, the company delivers investment management, brokerage, banking, and trust and retirement solutions. It also crafts tailored wealth management strategies, including specialized asset management services. The Global Banking segment furnishes a broad spectrum of lending products, including commercial loans, leases
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SOFI · IV 47.4%HOOD · IV 60.7%MARA · IV 81.7%COIN · IV 61.6%NU · IV 39.8%PYPL · IV 29.7%