Sea Limited (SE)
Ikhtisar · Rantai opsi · Volatilitas · Riwayat pergerakan yang diharapkan · Laba
Cboe delayed options data · per 15:42 UTC · Angka yang diturunkan dari rantai opsi penuh (1,310 kontrak, 15 kedaluwarsa) · Persentil riwayat IV sendiri muncul setelah 60 hari pencatatan (29 sejauh ini)
Pergerakan yang diharapkan · Nov 20, 2026 (31 hari)
Metodologi →Dibaca dari harga opsi: straddle at-the-money berharga sebesar ini, sehingga pasar memperkirakan pergerakan sekitar sebesar itu ke salah satu arah pada tanggal ini. Ini adalah estimasi besarnya pergerakan, bukan prediksi arahnya.
Opsi memperkirakan pergerakan sekitar ±15.1% (rentang 69.98–94.89) oleh Nov 20, 2026. ATM straddle: 12.45 @ strike 82.5 · ATM IV: 64.6%.
Distribusi probabilitas
Model & asumsi →Kurva ini menunjukkan kisaran hasil yang diperkirakan oleh model lognormal — yang menggunakan implied volatility saat ini — pada ekspirasi ini. Bagian yang diarsir: pita pergerakan yang diperkirakan.
| Level | vs harga | P(di atas)Model-estimated chance the stock finishes above a level at expiration, derived from current IV under a lognormal model with stated assumptions — an estimate, not a prediction. | P(di bawah) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 74.19 | -10% | 67.9% | 32.1% |
| 78.31 | -5% | 57.1% | 42.9% |
| 82.44 | +0% | 46.2% | 53.8% |
| 86.56 | +5% | 36.2% | 63.8% |
| 90.68 | +10% | 27.4% | 72.6% |
Probabilitas yang diestimasi model untuk harga berakhir di atas/di bawah setiap level saat kedaluwarsa: estimasi berdasarkan asumsi tertentu, bukan prediksi.
Penjelajah probabilitas
Geser slider ke level mana pun dan lihat perkiraan peluang dari model bahwa saham akan berakhir di atas atau di bawah level tersebut pada expirasi yang dipilih.
Horizon: Nov 20, 2026 · Model lognormal dengan zero drift: estimasi, bukan prediksi. Asumsi
Expirasi
Buka rantai opsi →| Kedaluwarsa | DTEDays to expiration, in calendar days. | Implied move | ATM IV | Open int. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | 3 | ±4.1% | 54.2% | 4,606 |
| Oct 30, 2026 | 10 | ±6.7% | 50.0% | 1,833 |
| Nov 06, 2026 | 17 | ±8.2% | 46.9% | 1,905 |
| Nov 13, 2026 | 24 | ±13.7% | 66.4% | 797 |
| Nov 20, 2026 | 31 | ±15.1% | 64.6% | 22.2K |
| Nov 27, 2026 | 38 | ±15.8% | 61.1% | 287 |
| Dec 18, 2026 | 59 | ±18.3% | 57.1% | 54.2K |
| Jan 15, 2027 | 87 | ±20.9% | 53.7% | 40.3K |
| Feb 19, 2027 | 122 | ±23.6% | 51.3% | 1,610 |
| Mar 19, 2027 | 150 | ±27.4% | 53.9% | 20.3K |
Open interest per strike · Nov 20
Tempat posisi opsi terkonsentrasi. Batang teal adalah call, batang merah adalah put; garis putus-putus adalah harga saat ini.
Konsentrasi open interest terbesar (semua kedaluwarsa ≤ 60 hari): 95 P · 11.0K105 P · 10.7K110 C · 5,668120 P · 3,30880 P · 2,987
Struktur tenor IV
Halaman volatilitas →Implied volatility at-the-money untuk setiap tanggal kedaluwarsa. Tonjolan di sekitar suatu tanggal sering menandai acara terjadwal yang sedang dihargai oleh pasar.
Kapan open interest kedaluwarsa?
Implied vs volatilitas terealisasi
HV dari penutupan harian tersimpan kami (disetahunkan); IV30 diinterpolasi dari rantai opsi. Metode
Harga, 60 sesi terakhir
Penutupan harian; Financial Modeling Prep.
Rekam jejak
Riwayat lengkap →Dari 121 perbandingan snapshot-versus-hasil yang direkam sejauh ini, penutupan berada di dalam kisaran yang diperkirakan 43.0% dari waktu ke waktu.
Reaksi pendapatan masa lalu
Rata-rata |reaksi| 14.8% · median 14.8% (21 laporan). Jendela waktu dua sesi penutupan ke penutupan; definisi
Tentang Sea Limited
Operating across Southeast Asia, Latin America, other parts of Asia, and various international markets, Sea Limited and its group of companies specialize in three core areas: digital entertainment, e-commerce, and digital financial services. Under its Garena brand, the company provides a comprehensive digital entertainment platform. This platform allows users to play a variety of online games on both mobile devices and personal computers, participate in eSports events, and access additional entertainment content. Key features include live-streamed gameplay, as well as social functionalities like user chat rooms and online forums. Furthermore, Sea Limited manages Shopee, a prominent e-commerce platform designed primarily for mobile users. Shopee functions as a marketplace, offering integrated payment solutions, robust logistics infrastructure, and a suite of services for its sellers. Its SeaMoney division delivers an array of digital financial services to both individual consumers and businesses. These services encompass offline and online mobile wallet facilities, payment processing, and various other financial products, such as credit, insurtech solutions, and digital banking. The
Konsumer Siklikal · Specialty Retail · NYSE · Profil: Financial Modeling Prep
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