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The PNC Financial Services Group, Inc. (PNC)

Overview · Option chain · Volatility · Expected-move history · Earnings

Price (delayed) 217.88 +0.23%
Expected moveThe size of the up-or-down move the options market is pricing for a stock by a given date, read from option prices (the at-the-money straddle). It is a market-implied estimate, not a forecast. · Nov 20 ±6.1%
Expected range 204.19–230.59
IV30Implied volatility interpolated to a constant 30-day horizon from the expirations around it, so different stocks and dates can be compared fairly.24.2%
IV percentileWhere this IV30 ranks across all securities we cover today (a cross-sectional comparison, not the stock's own history). 15/universe
P/C volumePut volume (or open interest) divided by call volume (or open interest). A descriptive activity measure — it does not by itself say what traders expect.0.47
P/C open interest0.92
Next earnings Jan 15

Cboe delayed options data · as of 12:40 UTC · Figures derived from the full chain (1,296 contracts, 16 expirations) · IV own-history percentile appears after 60 recorded days (28 so far)

Expected move · Nov 20, 2026 (32 days)

Methodology →

Read from option prices: the at-the-money straddle costs this much, so the market is pricing a move of about that size in either direction by this date. It is an estimate of movement, not a prediction of direction.

204.2230.6217.4 current

Options are pricing a move of about ±6.1% (range 204.19–230.59) by Nov 20, 2026. ATM straddle: 13.20 @ strike 220 · ATM IV: 24.1%.

Probability distribution

Model & assumptions →

The curve shows where a lognormal model, fed with current implied volatility, puts the range of outcomes at this expiration. Shaded: the expected-move band.

217.4204.2230.6
expected-move bandmodel density
Levelvs priceP(above)Model-estimated chance the stock finishes above a level at expiration, derived from current IV under a lognormal model with stated assumptions — an estimate, not a prediction.P(below)
195.65 -10% 92.5% 7.5%
206.52 -5% 75.3% 24.7%
217.39 +0% 48.6% 51.4%
228.26 +5% 23.6% 76.4%
239.13 +10% 8.5% 91.5%

Model-estimated probabilities of finishing above/below each level at expiration: estimates under stated assumptions, not predictions.

Probability explorer

Drag the slider to any level and see the model-estimated chance the stock finishes above or below it at the selected expiration.

P(finish above)—
P(finish below)—
P(touch, approx.)—

Horizon: Nov 20, 2026 · lognormal model with zero drift: an estimate, not a prediction. Assumptions

ExpiresDTEDays to expiration, in calendar days.Implied moveATM IVOpen int.
Oct 23, 2026 4 ±3.0% 26.7% 1,495
Oct 30, 2026 11 ±3.9% 24.6% 196
Nov 06, 2026 18 ±5.2% 26.8% 164
Nov 13, 2026 25 ±5.5% 24.6% 269
Nov 20, 2026 32 ±6.1% 24.1% 5,114
Nov 27, 2026 39 ±6.5% 23.5% 173
Dec 18, 2026 60 ±7.8% 23.3% 7,100
Jan 15, 2027 88 ±9.7% 24.0% 12.0K
Feb 19, 2027 123 ±11.5% 24.1% 1,538
Mar 19, 2027 151 ±12.6% 24.1% 3,590

Open interest by strike · Nov 20

Where option positions are concentrated. Teal bars are calls, red bars are puts; the dashed line is the current price.

165.0175.0185.0195.0210.0230.0250.0270.0217.4
callsputs

Largest open-interest concentrations (all expirations ≤ 60 days): 210 P · 2,376260 C · 1,386230 C · 1,040270 C · 1,039220 P · 923

IV term structure

Volatility page →

At-the-money implied volatility for each expiration. A hump around a date often marks a scheduled event the market is pricing.

22%24%26%28%32d4d151d

When does open interest expire?

95%Later

Implied vs realized volatility

13.5%18.6%23.7%28.8%Aug 31Oct 16
IV30HV20

HV from our stored daily closes (annualized); IV30 interpolated from the chain. Method

Price, last 60 sessions

211.6227.8244.1260.3Jul 24Oct 16

Daily closes; Financial Modeling Prep.

Track record

Full history →

Of 93 recorded snapshot-versus-outcome comparisons so far, the close landed inside the expected range 30.1% of the time.

Past earnings reactions

Jan 25-0.9%Apr 25-2.4%Jul 25+2.0%Oct 25-6.0%Jan 26+2.8%Apr 26-0.5%Jul 26+1.3%Oct 26+0.7%
implied (when recorded)actual reaction

Avg |reaction| 2.7% · median 2.0% (21 reports). Two-session close-to-close window; definition

About The PNC Financial Services Group, Inc.

PNC Financial Services Group, Inc. stands as a diversified financial institution operating across the United States. Founded in 1852 and headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, the company maintains an extensive physical footprint, boasting 2,591 branches and 9,502 ATMs. Its Retail Banking division delivers a full spectrum of financial solutions to individual consumers and small businesses. This includes a variety of deposit accounts such as checking, savings, money market, and certificates of deposit. Lending products span residential mortgages, home equity loans and lines of credit, auto loans, credit cards, education financing, and personal and small business loans and credit lines. Additionally, the segment provides brokerage, insurance, investment, and cash management services, all accessible via its branch network, ATMs, call centers, and digital banking channels. The Corporate & Institutional Banking segment caters to the needs of mid-sized and large corporations, government entities, and not-for-profit organizations. It offers secured and unsecured commercial loans, letters of credit, and equipment leases. Services extend to sophisticated cash and investment management,

Financial Services · Banks - Regional · NYSE · Profile: Financial Modeling Prep

PNC news

All news →

Credit stress is threatening to unwind the AI bull. All eyes are on Oracle to hold the line

Investors are pushing up the cost of insurance against an Oracle default.

CNBC · 15:04 UTC ↗

‘My husband suffered a massive stroke at 53’: I’m 64 and will rent for the rest of my life — but I’m still hopeful

“Ill-timed circumstances can change our financial future in unexpected ways.”

MarketWatch · 14:30 UTC ↗

NYSE becomes latest exchange to extend options hours as appetite for around-the-clock trading grows

The New York Stock Exchange becomes second major exchange to announce extended-hours options trading for heavily traded ETFs and single…

CNBC · 13:46 UTC ↗

Google says it can build data centers the right way. Some experts and residents are skeptical

Google says its Minnesota AI data center will add clean energy to the grid and protect ratepayers. Experts question whether grid upgrades…

CNBC · 13:36 UTC ↗

Meet the home buyers totally unfazed by 7% mortgage rates

Individual investors and second-home buyers accounted for 1 in 5 home purchases in September — the highest share in a little over a year.

MarketWatch · 13:33 UTC ↗

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Consumer Cyclical

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ETF

ARKK · ARK Innovation ETFBITO · ProShares Bitcoin ETFDIA · State Street SPDR Dow…EEM · iShares MSCI Emerging…EFA · iShares MSCI EAFE ETFEWZ · iShares MSCI Brazil ETFFXI · iShares China Large-Cap ETFGDX · VanEck Gold Miners ETF

Technology

AAPL · Apple Inc.ADBE · Adobe Inc.AI · C3.ai, Inc.AMAT · Applied Materials, Inc.AMD · Advanced Micro Device…APP · AppLovin CorporationARM · Arm Holdings plc Amer…ASML · ASML Holding N.V.

Financial Services

AFRM · Affirm Holdings, Inc.ALL · The Allstate CorporationALLY · Ally Financial Inc.AXP · American Express CompanyBAC · Bank of America CorporationBLK · BlackRock, Inc.BX · Blackstone Inc.C · Citigroup Inc.

Industrials

AAL · American Airlines Gro…BA · The Boeing CompanyCAT · Caterpillar Inc.CMI · Cummins Inc.DAL · Delta Air Lines, Inc.DE · Deere & CompanyEMR · Emerson Electric Co.ETN · Eaton Corporation plc

Consumer Defensive

CELH · Celsius Holdings, Inc.CL · Colgate-Palmolive CompanyCOST · Costco Wholesale Corp…DG · Dollar General CorporationDLTR · Dollar Tree, Inc.EL · The Estée Lauder Comp…GIS · General Mills, Inc.HSY · The Hershey Company