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Duke Energy Corporation (DUK)

概览 · 期权链 · 波动率 · 预期涨跌幅历史记录 · 财报

价格(延迟) 120.70 +1.20%
预期涨跌幅The size of the up-or-down move the options market is pricing for a stock by a given date, read from option prices (the at-the-money straddle). It is a market-implied estimate, not a forecast. · Nov 20 ±4.5%
预期区间 115.40–126.40
IV30Implied volatility interpolated to a constant 30-day horizon from the expirations around it, so different stocks and dates can be compared fairly.18.4%
IV百分位Where this IV30 ranks across all securities we cover today (a cross-sectional comparison, not the stock's own history). 4/标的范围
P/C 成交量Put volume (or open interest) divided by call volume (or open interest). A descriptive activity measure — it does not by itself say what traders expect.0.37
P/C 未平仓量0.70
下次财报 Nov 05

Cboe delayed options data · 截至 15:36 UTC · 基于完整期权链衍生的数据 (458 合约, 9 到期日) · IV自身历史百分位在记录满60天后显示 (29 迄今为止)

预期涨跌幅 · Nov 20, 2026 (31 天)

方法论 →

从期权价格中读取:平值跨式期权的成本即为市场在此日期前预计的双向波动幅度。这是对波动空间的估算,而非对方向的预测。

115.4126.4120.9 current

期权隐含波动幅度约为 ±4.5% (区间 115.40–126.40) 由 Nov 20, 2026. ATM 跨式组合: 5.50 @ 行权价 120 · ATM IV: 18.4%.

该曲线显示以当前隐含波动率为输入的对数正态模型对本到期日结果区间的估计,阴影部分为预期波动区间。

120.9115.4126.4
预期波动区间模型概率密度
级别vs 价格P(上涨)Model-estimated chance the stock finishes above a level at expiration, derived from current IV under a lognormal model with stated assumptions — an estimate, not a prediction.P(下跌)
108.81 -10% 97.4% 2.6%
114.86 -5% 82.3% 17.7%
120.90 +0% 48.9% 51.1%
126.95 +5% 17.4% 82.6%
132.99 +10% 3.6% 96.4%

基于模型估算的到期时收盘价高于/低于各价位的概率,这些是在特定假设下的估计值,并非预测结果。

概率探索工具

拖动滑块至任意价位,查看模型估算的股票在所选到期日收于该价位上方或下方的概率。

P(收于上方)—
P(收于下方)—
P(触及,近似值)—

期限: Nov 20, 2026 · 以零漂移对数正态模型计算的估计值,并非预测结果。 假设条件

到期时间DTEDays to expiration, in calendar days.隐含涨跌幅ATM IV未平仓量
Nov 20, 2026 31 ±4.5% 18.4% 8,293
Dec 18, 2026 59 ±6.0% 18.4% 14.9K
Jan 15, 2027 87 ±7.2% 18.2% 22.8K
Mar 19, 2027 150 ±9.2% 17.9% 5,474
Apr 16, 2027 178 ±10.1% 18.2% 3,078

各行权价未平仓量 · Nov 20

期权头寸集中分布的位置。青色柱为 call,红色柱为 put;虚线为当前价格。

95.00100.0105.0110.0115.0120.0125.0130.0135.0150.0120.9
看涨期权看跌期权

未平仓量最集中的头寸(所有到期日 ≤ 60天): 125 C · 4,592120 C · 4,120120 P · 2,577110 P · 2,526140 C · 2,404

IV期限结构

波动率页面 →

各到期日的平值隐含波动率。某日期附近出现隆起,通常意味着市场正在为该日期的已知事件定价。

17%18%19%20%178d31d

持仓量何时到期归零?

100%Later

隐含波动率与已实现波动率

8.5%12.7%16.8%20.9%Aug 31Oct 19
IV30HV20

历史波动率来自我们存储的每日收盘价(年化);IV30由期权链插值得出。 方法

价格,近60个交易日

111.9118.1124.3130.5Jul 27Oct 19

每日收盘数据;来源:Financial Modeling Prep

共 43 迄今已记录的快照与结果对比中,收盘价落在预期区间内的占 62.8% 的时间。

历次财报后的价格反应

Nov 24-0.4%Feb 25-4.1%May 25+1.5%Aug 25+0.8%Nov 25-0.1%Feb 26+2.9%May 26-1.5%Aug 26-0.8%
隐含(记录时)实际反应

平均|实际反应| 1.7% · 中位数 1.5% (20 财报). 两个交易日的收盘价至收盘价区间, 定义

关于 Duke Energy Corporation

Duke Energy Corporation, an energy provider operating across the United States with its various affiliates, structures its operations into three primary divisions: Electric Utilities and Infrastructure, Gas Utilities and Infrastructure, and Commercial Renewables. The Electric Utilities and Infrastructure division is responsible for generating, transmitting, distributing, and retailing electricity across the Carolinas, Florida, and the Midwestern states. Its power generation relies on a diverse portfolio of fuel sources, including coal, hydroelectric, natural gas, oil, renewable technologies, and nuclear energy. Beyond direct retail sales, it also provides electricity at wholesale rates to various entities such as municipalities, electric cooperative utilities, and other load-serving organizations. This segment caters to approximately 8.2 million customers spanning six states within the Southeastern and Midwestern U.S., encompassing a service area of about 91,000 square miles, and boasts an impressive generating capacity of approximately 50,259 megawatts. The Gas Utilities and Infrastructure segment focuses on the distribution of natural gas to a broad customer base, including resid

公用事业 · Regulated Electric · NYSE · 公司简介:Financial Modeling Prep

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