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CVS Health Corp. (CVS)

概览 · 期权链 · 波动率 · 预期涨跌幅历史记录 · 财报

价格(延迟) 97.17 -0.06%
预期涨跌幅The size of the up-or-down move the options market is pricing for a stock by a given date, read from option prices (the at-the-money straddle). It is a market-implied estimate, not a forecast. · Sep 18 ±4.9%
预期区间 91.15100.53
IV30Implied volatility interpolated to a constant 30-day horizon from the expirations around it, so different stocks and dates can be compared fairly.29.8%
IV百分位Where this IV30 ranks across all securities we cover today (a cross-sectional comparison, not the stock's own history). 41/标的范围
P/C 成交量Put volume (or open interest) divided by call volume (or open interest). A descriptive activity measure — it does not by itself say what traders expect.0.18
P/C 未平仓量0.96
下次财报 Nov 04

Cboe delayed options data · 截至 18:41 UTC · 基于完整期权链衍生的数据 (1,212 合约, 16 到期日) · IV自身历史百分位在记录满60天后显示 (3 迄今为止)

预期涨跌幅 — Sep 18, 2026 (15 天)

方法论 →

从期权价格中读取:平值跨式期权的成本即为市场在此日期前预计的双向波动幅度。这是对波动空间的估算,而非对方向的预测。

91.15100.595.84 current

期权隐含波动幅度约为 ±4.9% (区间 91.15–100.53) 由 Sep 18, 2026. ATM 跨式组合: 4.69 @ 行权价 96 · ATM IV: 29.8%.

该曲线显示以当前隐含波动率为输入的对数正态模型对本到期日结果区间的估计,阴影部分为预期波动区间。

95.8491.15100.5
预期波动区间模型概率密度
级别vs 价格P(上涨)Model-estimated chance the stock finishes above a level at expiration, derived from current IV under a lognormal model with stated assumptions — an estimate, not a prediction.P(下跌)
86.26 -10% 95.6% 4.4%
91.05 -5% 79.3% 20.7%
95.84 +0% 48.8% 51.2%
100.63 +5% 20.1% 79.9%
105.42 +10% 5.4% 94.6%

模型估算的标的在到期时收于各价位上方/下方的概率——基于既定假设的估算,非预测。

概率探索工具

拖动滑块至任意价位,查看模型估算的股票在所选到期日收于该价位上方或下方的概率。

P(收于上方)
P(收于下方)
P(触及,近似值)

期限: Sep 18, 2026 · 对数正态模型,零漂移——仅为估算,非预测。 假设条件

到期时间DTEDays to expiration, in calendar days.隐含涨跌幅ATM IV未平仓量
Sep 04, 2026 1 ±1.6% 33.6% 11.1K
Sep 11, 2026 8 ±3.8% 32.3% 3,514
Sep 18, 2026 15 ±4.9% 29.8% 51.4K
Sep 25, 2026 22 ±5.6% 28.5% 3,706
Oct 02, 2026 29 ±6.6% 29.1% 1,768
Oct 09, 2026 36 ±8.4% 33.2% 938
Oct 16, 2026 43 ±7.6% 27.5% 7,990
Oct 23, 2026 50 ±8.9% 29.3% 0
Nov 20, 2026 78 ±11.8% 31.9% 30.4K
Dec 18, 2026 106 ±12.9% 30.0% 45.7K
Jan 15, 2027 134 ±14.0% 28.9% 109.5K
Feb 19, 2027 169 ±17.2% 31.9% 2,222

各行权价未平仓量 — Sep 18

期权头寸集中分布的位置。青色柱为 call,红色柱为 put;虚线为当前价格。

72.5082.0085.0088.0092.0095.0098.00102.0107.095.84
看涨期权看跌期权

未平仓量最集中的头寸(所有到期日 ≤ 60天): 100 C · 6,903110 C · 5,07585 P · 4,786105 C · 4,61290 P · 3,306

IV期限结构

波动率页面 →

各到期日的平值隐含波动率。某日期附近出现隆起,通常意味着市场正在为该日期的已知事件定价。

26%29%32%36%1d29d197d

持仓量何时到期归零?

20%This month75%Later

隐含波动率与已实现波动率

27.4%29.5%31.6%33.7%Aug 31Sep 02
IV30HV20

历史波动率来自我们存储的每日收盘价(年化);IV30由期权链插值得出。 方法

价格,近60个交易日

每个交易日,我们在结果揭晓前记录期权市场对各到期日的定价。随着到期日陆续结算,本栏目将对预期与实际进行比对——记录一经生成,绝不改写。 记录起始日期:2026 年 8 月 31 日。

历次财报后的价格反应

Nov 24+3.1%Feb 25+20.7%May 25+1.1%Jul 25+0.3%Oct 25-6.7%Feb 26+1.6%May 26+8.3%Aug 26-7.9%
隐含(记录时)实际反应

平均|实际反应| 5.2% · 中位数 3.5% (20 财报) — 连续两个交易日收盘价窗口; 定义

关于 CVS Health Corp.

CVS Health Corp. is a health solutions company, which engages in the provision of healthcare services. It operates through the following segments: Health Care Benefits, Health Services, Pharmacy and Consumer Wellness, and Corporate and Other. The Health Care Benefits segment operates as a health care benefits provider. The Health Services segment offers a full range of PBM solutions, delivers health care services in its medical clinics, virtually, and in the home. The Pharmacy & Consumer Wellness segment dispenses prescriptions in its retail pharmacies and through its infusion operations. The Corporate and Other Segment is involved in management and administrative expenses. The company was founded by Stanley P. Goldstein and Ralph Hoagland in 1963 and is headquartered in Woonsocket, RI.

医疗保健 · Medical - Healthcare Plans · NYSE · 公司简介:Financial Modeling Prep

相关标的 — 医疗保健

MRNA · IV 73.1%HIMS · IV 67.2%PFE · IV 22.0%UNH · IV 26.9%MDT · IV 25.1%LLY · IV 31.9%

非必需消费品

ABNB · Airbnb, Inc.AMZN · Amazon.com, Inc.AZO · AutoZone, Inc.BABA · Alibaba Group Holding…BBY · Best Buy Co., Inc.BYD · Boyd Gaming CorporationCAVA · CAVA Group, Inc.CCL · Carnival Corporation & plc

ETF

ARKK · ARK Innovation ETFBITO · ProShares Bitcoin ETFDIA · State Street SPDR Dow…EEM · iShares MSCI Emerging…EFA · iShares MSCI EAFE ETFEWZ · iShares MSCI Brazil ETFFXI · iShares China Large-Cap ETFGDX · VanEck Gold Miners ETF

科技

AAPL · Apple Inc.ADBE · Adobe Inc.AI · C3.ai, Inc.AMAT · Applied Materials, Inc.AMD · Advanced Micro Device…APP · AppLovin CorporationARM · Arm Holdings plc Amer…ASML · ASML Holding N.V.

金融服务

AFRM · Affirm Holdings, Inc.ALL · The Allstate CorporationALLY · Ally Financial Inc.AXP · American Express CompanyBAC · Bank of America CorporationBLK · BlackRock, Inc.BX · Blackstone Inc.C · Citigroup Inc.

工业

AAL · American Airlines Gro…BA · The Boeing CompanyCAT · Caterpillar Inc.CMI · Cummins Inc.DAL · Delta Air Lines, Inc.DE · Deere & CompanyEMR · Emerson Electric Co.ETN · Eaton Corporation plc

能源

BKR · Baker Hughes CompanyCCJ · Cameco CorporationCOP · ConocoPhillipsCVX · Chevron CorporationDVN · Devon Energy CorporationENPH · Enphase Energy, Inc.EOG · EOG Resources, Inc.ET · Energy Transfer LP