Colgate-Palmolive Company (CL)
Overview · Option chain · Volatility · Expected-move history · Earnings
Cboe delayed options data · as of 12:34 UTC · Figures derived from the full chain (904 contracts, 15 expirations) · IV own-history percentile appears after 60 recorded days (28 so far)
Expected move · Nov 20, 2026 (32 days)
Methodology →Read from option prices: the at-the-money straddle costs this much, so the market is pricing a move of about that size in either direction by this date. It is an estimate of movement, not a prediction of direction.
Options are pricing a move of about ±6.0% (range 88.48–99.73) by Nov 20, 2026. ATM straddle: 5.62 @ strike 95 · ATM IV: 23.7%.
Probability distribution
Model & assumptions →The curve shows where a lognormal model, fed with current implied volatility, puts the range of outcomes at this expiration. Shaded: the expected-move band.
| Level | vs price | P(above)Model-estimated chance the stock finishes above a level at expiration, derived from current IV under a lognormal model with stated assumptions — an estimate, not a prediction. | P(below) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 84.70 | -10% | 92.9% | 7.1% |
| 89.40 | -5% | 75.7% | 24.3% |
| 94.11 | +0% | 48.6% | 51.4% |
| 98.82 | +5% | 23.3% | 76.7% |
| 103.52 | +10% | 8.2% | 91.8% |
Model-estimated probabilities of finishing above/below each level at expiration: estimates under stated assumptions, not predictions.
Probability explorer
Drag the slider to any level and see the model-estimated chance the stock finishes above or below it at the selected expiration.
Horizon: Nov 20, 2026 · lognormal model with zero drift: an estimate, not a prediction. Assumptions
Expirations
Open the chain →| Expires | DTEDays to expiration, in calendar days. | Implied move | ATM IV | Open int. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | 4 | ±2.7% | 23.2% | 909 |
| Oct 30, 2026 | 11 | ±4.5% | 28.6% | 1,221 |
| Nov 06, 2026 | 18 | ±4.8% | 25.2% | 177 |
| Nov 13, 2026 | 25 | ±5.6% | 25.2% | 254 |
| Nov 20, 2026 | 32 | ±6.0% | 23.7% | 7,626 |
| Nov 27, 2026 | 39 | ±6.0% | 22.1% | 129 |
| Dec 18, 2026 | 60 | ±7.3% | 21.6% | 12.7K |
| Jan 15, 2027 | 88 | ±8.0% | 19.9% | 20.5K |
| Feb 19, 2027 | 123 | ±10.4% | 22.0% | 1,817 |
| Mar 19, 2027 | 151 | ±11.9% | 22.9% | 7,840 |
Open interest by strike · Nov 20
Where option positions are concentrated. Teal bars are calls, red bars are puts; the dashed line is the current price.
Largest open-interest concentrations (all expirations ≤ 60 days): 77.5 P · 2,87195 C · 2,44790 C · 2,086100 C · 1,57080 P · 1,439
IV term structure
Volatility page →At-the-money implied volatility for each expiration. A hump around a date often marks a scheduled event the market is pricing.
When does open interest expire?
Implied vs realized volatility
HV from our stored daily closes (annualized); IV30 interpolated from the chain. Method
Price, last 60 sessions
Daily closes; Financial Modeling Prep.
Track record
Full history →Of 93 recorded snapshot-versus-outcome comparisons so far, the close landed inside the expected range 68.8% of the time.
Past earnings reactions
Avg |reaction| 2.7% · median 1.9% (20 reports). Two-session close-to-close window; definition
About Colgate-Palmolive Company
Operating globally, Colgate-Palmolive Company and its affiliated entities are engaged in the production and distribution of a diverse range of consumer goods. Its operations are structured into two primary divisions: Oral, Personal and Home Care, and Pet Nutrition. The Oral, Personal and Home Care division encompasses a broad array of offerings, spanning oral hygiene (e.g., toothpastes, toothbrushes, mouthwashes), personal care (e.g., bar and liquid soaps, shower gels, shampoos, conditioners, deodorants, antiperspirants, skin health items), and home care solutions (e.g., dishwashing detergents, fabric conditioners, household cleaners). These products are distributed through various channels, including traditional and online retailers, wholesalers, and distributors, under well-known brand names such as Colgate, Darlie, elmex, hello, meridol, Sorriso, Tom's of Maine, Irish Spring, Palmolive, Protex, Sanex, Softsoap, Lady Speed Stick, Speed Stick, EltaMD, Filorga, PCA SKIN, Ajax, Axion, Fabuloso, Murphy, Suavitel, Soupline, and Cuddly. Furthermore, this segment supplies specialized pharmaceutical products to dentists and other professionals in oral healthcare. Conversely, the Pet Nutr
Consumer Defensive · Household & Personal Products · NYSE · Profile: Financial Modeling Prep
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