Truist Financial Corporation (TFC)
Overview · Option chain · Volatility · Expected-move history · Earnings
Cboe delayed options data · as of 00:38 UTC · Figures derived from the full chain (396 contracts, 10 expirations) · IV own-history percentile appears after 60 recorded days (4 so far)
Expected move — Sep 18, 2026 (15 days)
Methodology →Read from option prices: the at-the-money straddle costs this much, so the market is pricing a move of about that size in either direction by this date. It is an estimate of movement, not a prediction of direction.
Options are pricing a move of about ±3.6% (range 49.73–53.48) by Sep 18, 2026. ATM straddle: 1.88 @ strike 52.5 · ATM IV: 20.3%.
Probability distribution
Model & assumptions →The curve shows where a lognormal model, fed with current implied volatility, puts the range of outcomes at this expiration. Shaded: the expected-move band.
| Level | vs price | P(above)Model-estimated chance the stock finishes above a level at expiration, derived from current IV under a lognormal model with stated assumptions — an estimate, not a prediction. | P(below) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 46.45 | -10% | 99.5% | 0.5% |
| 49.03 | -5% | 89.0% | 11.0% |
| 51.61 | +0% | 49.2% | 50.8% |
| 54.19 | +5% | 11.4% | 88.6% |
| 56.77 | +10% | 1.0% | 99.0% |
Model-estimated probabilities of finishing above/below each level at expiration — estimates under stated assumptions, not predictions.
Probability explorer
Drag the slider to any level and see the model-estimated chance the stock finishes above or below it at the selected expiration.
Horizon: Sep 18, 2026 · lognormal model, zero drift — an estimate, not a prediction. Assumptions
Expirations
Open the chain →| Expires | DTEDays to expiration, in calendar days. | Implied move | ATM IV | Open int. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2026 | 15 | ±3.6% | 20.3% | 39.6K |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 43 | ±6.7% | 23.8% | 23.6K |
| Nov 20, 2026 | 78 | ±9.3% | 24.1% | 6,363 |
| Dec 18, 2026 | 106 | ±10.6% | 24.1% | 12.9K |
| Jan 15, 2027 | 134 | ±12.1% | 24.2% | 37.6K |
| Mar 19, 2027 | 197 | ±15.2% | 25.9% | 8,379 |
Open interest by strike — Sep 18
Where option positions are concentrated. Teal bars are calls, red bars are puts; the dashed line is the current price.
Largest open-interest concentrations (all expirations ≤ 60 days): 55 C · 16.7K50 P · 10.3K52.5 C · 6,17857.5 C · 5,57135 P · 4,464
IV term structure
Volatility page →At-the-money implied volatility for each expiration. A hump around a date often marks a scheduled event the market is pricing.
When does open interest expire?
Implied vs realized volatility
HV from our stored daily closes (annualized); IV30 interpolated from the chain. Method
Price, last 60 sessions
Track record
Full history →Every trading day we record what the options market is pricing for each expiration — before the outcome is known. Once expirations start resolving, this section compares expected versus actual, and the record is never rewritten. Recording since Aug 31, 2026.
Past earnings reactions
Avg |reaction| 4.0% · median 4.2% (20 reports) — two-session close-to-close window; definition
About Truist Financial Corporation
Truist Financial Corporation operates as a diversified financial holding company, providing an extensive array of banking and trust services throughout the Southeastern and Mid-Atlantic regions of the United States. Its business activities are structured across three main segments: Consumer Banking and Wealth, Corporate and Commercial Banking, and Insurance Holdings. The corporation offers a broad spectrum of deposit products, including both interest-bearing and noninterest-bearing checking accounts, savings accounts, money market deposit accounts, certificates of deposit (CDs), and individual retirement accounts (IRAs). Beyond deposit services, Truist delivers a comprehensive suite of financial solutions. These include various lending options such as automobile, bankcard, consumer, home equity, mortgage, small business, and student loans, alongside specialized commercial financing for areas like floor plan, real estate, and mortgage warehousing, as well as lease and supply chain financing. The company also provides extensive wealth management and investment services, encompassing asset management, investment brokerage, private banking, capital markets, institutional trust, and pri
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