MetLife, Inc. (MET)
Overview · Option chain · Volatility · Expected-move history · Earnings
Cboe delayed options data · as of 00:36 UTC · Figures derived from the full chain (578 contracts, 10 expirations) · IV own-history percentile appears after 60 recorded days (4 so far)
Expected move — Sep 18, 2026 (15 days)
Methodology →Read from option prices: the at-the-money straddle costs this much, so the market is pricing a move of about that size in either direction by this date. It is an estimate of movement, not a prediction of direction.
Options are pricing a move of about ±3.1% (range 93.39–99.44) by Sep 18, 2026. ATM straddle: 3.02 @ strike 97.5 · ATM IV: 17.9%.
Probability distribution
Model & assumptions →The curve shows where a lognormal model, fed with current implied volatility, puts the range of outcomes at this expiration. Shaded: the expected-move band.
| Level | vs price | P(above)Model-estimated chance the stock finishes above a level at expiration, derived from current IV under a lognormal model with stated assumptions — an estimate, not a prediction. | P(below) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 86.78 | -10% | 99.8% | 0.2% |
| 91.60 | -5% | 91.8% | 8.2% |
| 96.42 | +0% | 49.3% | 50.7% |
| 101.24 | +5% | 8.7% | 91.3% |
| 106.06 | +10% | 0.4% | 99.6% |
Model-estimated probabilities of finishing above/below each level at expiration — estimates under stated assumptions, not predictions.
Probability explorer
Drag the slider to any level and see the model-estimated chance the stock finishes above or below it at the selected expiration.
Horizon: Sep 18, 2026 · lognormal model, zero drift — an estimate, not a prediction. Assumptions
Expirations
Open the chain →| Expires | DTEDays to expiration, in calendar days. | Implied move | ATM IV | Open int. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2026 | 15 | ±3.1% | 17.9% | 30.4K |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 43 | ±5.8% | 20.7% | 3,946 |
| Nov 20, 2026 | 78 | ±9.4% | 24.9% | 8,345 |
| Dec 18, 2026 | 106 | ±10.5% | 24.2% | 20.7K |
| Jan 15, 2027 | 134 | ±11.3% | 23.1% | 44.3K |
| Mar 19, 2027 | 197 | ±14.7% | 25.0% | 6,310 |
Open interest by strike — Sep 18
Where option positions are concentrated. Teal bars are calls, red bars are puts; the dashed line is the current price.
Largest open-interest concentrations (all expirations ≤ 60 days): 65 P · 3,10395 C · 2,62682.5 P · 2,595100 C · 2,46977.5 P · 2,227
IV term structure
Volatility page →At-the-money implied volatility for each expiration. A hump around a date often marks a scheduled event the market is pricing.
When does open interest expire?
Implied vs realized volatility
HV from our stored daily closes (annualized); IV30 interpolated from the chain. Method
Price, last 60 sessions
Track record
Full history →Every trading day we record what the options market is pricing for each expiration — before the outcome is known. Once expirations start resolving, this section compares expected versus actual, and the record is never rewritten. Recording since Aug 31, 2026.
Past earnings reactions
Avg |reaction| 2.6% · median 1.4% (20 reports) — two-session close-to-close window; definition
About MetLife, Inc.
MetLife, Inc. operates as a leading global financial services entity, delivering an extensive array of services encompassing insurance, annuities, employee benefits, and asset management. The company manages its operations through five primary divisions: the U.S., Asia, Latin America, Europe, the Middle East and Africa (EMEA), and MetLife Holdings. Its broad insurance offerings include life, dental, group short-term and long-term disability, individual disability, pet, accidental death and dismemberment, vision, and accident and health coverages, as well as prepaid legal plans. MetLife also supports employers with administrative services-only (ASO) arrangements. Furthermore, it provides sophisticated financial instruments such as general and separate account contracts, synthetic guaranteed interest contracts, and private floating rate funding agreements. The company facilitates pension risk transfers, offers institutional income annuities, structures settlements, and delivers capital markets investment products. Specialized life insurance products and funding agreements are also available for post-retirement benefits, alongside company, bank, or trust-owned life insurance used to f
Financial Services · Insurance - Life · NYSE · Profile: Financial Modeling Prep
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