The Kraft Heinz Company (KHC)
Ikhtisar · Rantai opsi · Volatilitas · Riwayat pergerakan yang diharapkan · Laba
Cboe delayed options data · per 12:37 UTC · Angka yang diturunkan dari rantai opsi penuh (564 kontrak, 14 kedaluwarsa) · Persentil riwayat IV sendiri muncul setelah 60 hari pencatatan (28 sejauh ini)
Pergerakan yang diharapkan · Oct 30, 2026 (11 hari)
Metodologi →Dibaca dari harga opsi: straddle at-the-money berharga sebesar ini, sehingga pasar memperkirakan pergerakan sekitar sebesar itu ke salah satu arah pada tanggal ini. Ini adalah estimasi besarnya pergerakan, bukan prediksi arahnya.
Opsi memperkirakan pergerakan sekitar ±4.3% (rentang 22.65–24.69) oleh Oct 30, 2026. ATM straddle: 1.02 @ strike 23.5 · ATM IV: 27.2%.
Distribusi probabilitas
Model & asumsi →Kurva ini menunjukkan kisaran hasil yang diperkirakan oleh model lognormal — yang menggunakan implied volatility saat ini — pada ekspirasi ini. Bagian yang diarsir: pita pergerakan yang diperkirakan.
| Level | vs harga | P(di atas)Model-estimated chance the stock finishes above a level at expiration, derived from current IV under a lognormal model with stated assumptions — an estimate, not a prediction. | P(di bawah) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21.30 | -10% | 98.7% | 1.3% |
| 22.49 | -5% | 85.6% | 14.4% |
| 23.67 | -0% | 49.1% | 50.9% |
| 24.86 | +5% | 14.4% | 85.6% |
| 26.04 | +10% | 2.0% | 98.0% |
Probabilitas yang diestimasi model untuk harga berakhir di atas/di bawah setiap level saat kedaluwarsa: estimasi berdasarkan asumsi tertentu, bukan prediksi.
Penjelajah probabilitas
Geser slider ke level mana pun dan lihat perkiraan peluang dari model bahwa saham akan berakhir di atas atau di bawah level tersebut pada expirasi yang dipilih.
Horizon: Oct 30, 2026 · Model lognormal dengan zero drift: estimasi, bukan prediksi. Asumsi
Expirasi
Buka rantai opsi →| Kedaluwarsa | DTEDays to expiration, in calendar days. | Implied move | ATM IV | Open int. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | 4 | ±3.3% | 28.9% | 48.1K |
| Oct 30, 2026 | 11 | ±4.3% | 27.2% | 22.8K |
| Nov 06, 2026 | 18 | ±6.4% | 32.8% | 3,310 |
| Nov 13, 2026 | 25 | ±7.0% | 31.2% | 2,672 |
| Nov 20, 2026 | 32 | ±8.9% | 31.2% | 12.5K |
| Nov 27, 2026 | 39 | ±9.0% | 30.5% | 551 |
| Dec 18, 2026 | 60 | ±11.0% | 30.5% | 66.1K |
| Jan 15, 2027 | 88 | ±11.9% | 29.1% | 92.7K |
| Mar 19, 2027 | 151 | ±15.5% | 29.2% | 20.1K |
| Apr 16, 2027 | 179 | ±16.0% | 28.1% | 2,726 |
Open interest per strike · Oct 30
Tempat posisi opsi terkonsentrasi. Batang teal adalah call, batang merah adalah put; garis putus-putus adalah harga saat ini.
Konsentrasi open interest terbesar (semua kedaluwarsa ≤ 60 hari): 24 C · 22.6K23.5 C · 21.6K23 C · 14.7K25 C · 14.4K22.5 P · 11.2K
Struktur tenor IV
Halaman volatilitas →Implied volatility at-the-money untuk setiap tanggal kedaluwarsa. Tonjolan di sekitar suatu tanggal sering menandai acara terjadwal yang sedang dihargai oleh pasar.
Kapan open interest kedaluwarsa?
Implied vs volatilitas terealisasi
HV dari penutupan harian tersimpan kami (disetahunkan); IV30 diinterpolasi dari rantai opsi. Metode
Harga, 60 sesi terakhir
Penutupan harian; Financial Modeling Prep.
Rekam jejak
Riwayat lengkap →Dari 93 perbandingan snapshot-versus-hasil yang direkam sejauh ini, penutupan berada di dalam kisaran yang diperkirakan 38.7% dari waktu ke waktu.
Reaksi pendapatan masa lalu
Rata-rata |reaksi| 3.5% · median 3.6% (20 laporan). Jendela waktu dua sesi penutupan ke penutupan; definisi
Tentang The Kraft Heinz Company
The Kraft Heinz Company, along with its subsidiaries, operates as a global entity focused on the manufacturing and marketing of a broad spectrum of food and beverage products. Its reach extends across key markets such as the United States, Canada, and the United Kingdom, as well as numerous other international territories. The company's diverse product offerings include popular condiments and sauces, a variety of cheese and dairy items, prepared meals, meat products, and refreshing beverages. Additionally, its portfolio features coffee, an assortment of healthy snacks, salad dressings, various spices and seasonings, and a range of other general grocery staples. Kraft Heinz employs a multi-faceted distribution strategy. It utilizes its internal sales organizations alongside independent brokers, agents, and third-party distributors to reach a wide array of customers. These include large grocery chains, wholesale providers, cooperative and independent grocers, convenience stores, pharmacies, value stores, bakeries, mass merchandisers, and club stores. Furthermore, the company supplies products to the foodservice sector and institutional clients, such as hotels, restaurants, hospitals,
Konsumer Defensif · Packaged Foods · NYSE · Profil: Financial Modeling Prep
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KO · IV 22.1%PEP · IV 21.3%MO · IV 26.9%PG · IV 21.5%WMT · IV 28.8%TGT · IV 37.9%