Block, Inc. (XYZ)
Overview · Option chain · Volatility · Expected-move history · Earnings
Cboe delayed options data · as of 18:46 UTC · Figures derived from the full chain (1,002 contracts, 15 expirations) · IV own-history percentile appears after 60 recorded days (28 so far)
Expected move · Nov 20, 2026 (32 days)
Methodology →Read from option prices: the at-the-money straddle costs this much, so the market is pricing a move of about that size in either direction by this date. It is an estimate of movement, not a prediction of direction.
Options are pricing a move of about ±13.1% (range 67.31–87.56) by Nov 20, 2026. ATM straddle: 10.12 @ strike 77.5 · ATM IV: 55.2%.
Probability distribution
Model & assumptions →The curve shows where a lognormal model, fed with current implied volatility, puts the range of outcomes at this expiration. Shaded: the expected-move band.
| Level | vs price | P(above)Model-estimated chance the stock finishes above a level at expiration, derived from current IV under a lognormal model with stated assumptions — an estimate, not a prediction. | P(below) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 69.69 | -10% | 71.3% | 28.7% |
| 73.56 | -5% | 59.2% | 40.8% |
| 77.43 | +0% | 46.7% | 53.3% |
| 81.30 | +5% | 35.2% | 64.8% |
| 85.17 | +10% | 25.3% | 74.7% |
Model-estimated probabilities of finishing above/below each level at expiration: estimates under stated assumptions, not predictions.
Probability explorer
Drag the slider to any level and see the model-estimated chance the stock finishes above or below it at the selected expiration.
Horizon: Nov 20, 2026 · lognormal model with zero drift: an estimate, not a prediction. Assumptions
Expirations
Open the chain →| Expires | DTEDays to expiration, in calendar days. | Implied move | ATM IV | Open int. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | 4 | ±4.1% | 48.3% | 18.2K |
| Oct 30, 2026 | 11 | ±6.4% | 45.8% | 6,414 |
| Nov 06, 2026 | 18 | ±12.1% | 67.8% | 7,416 |
| Nov 13, 2026 | 25 | ±12.9% | 61.8% | 1,316 |
| Nov 20, 2026 | 32 | ±13.1% | 55.2% | 90.3K |
| Nov 27, 2026 | 39 | ±13.7% | 52.3% | 197 |
| Dec 18, 2026 | 60 | ±15.6% | 48.2% | 102.8K |
| Jan 15, 2027 | 88 | ±17.7% | 45.1% | 119.0K |
| Mar 19, 2027 | 151 | ±23.5% | 45.8% | 29.2K |
Open interest by strike · Nov 20
Where option positions are concentrated. Teal bars are calls, red bars are puts; the dashed line is the current price.
Largest open-interest concentrations (all expirations ≤ 60 days): 95 C · 25.6K90 C · 24.2K70 C · 22.2K65 P · 19.2K72.5 P · 18.4K
IV term structure
Volatility page →At-the-money implied volatility for each expiration. A hump around a date often marks a scheduled event the market is pricing.
When does open interest expire?
Implied vs realized volatility
HV from our stored daily closes (annualized); IV30 interpolated from the chain. Method
Price, last 60 sessions
Daily closes; Financial Modeling Prep.
Track record
Full history →Of 93 recorded snapshot-versus-outcome comparisons so far, the close landed inside the expected range 80.6% of the time.
Past earnings reactions
Avg |reaction| 11.1% · median 8.3% (20 reports). Two-session close-to-close window; definition
About Block, Inc.
Block, Inc., operating through its subsidiaries, develops innovative tools that empower merchants to process card payments, gain insights from robust reporting and analytics, and benefit from expedited next-day fund settlement. The company offers a diverse range of hardware solutions, including the Magstripe reader for traditional swipe-based transactions, and the Contactless and chip reader, which accommodates Europay, MasterCard, and Visa (EMV) chip cards alongside Near Field Communication (NFC) payments. For comprehensive point-of-sale functionality, Block provides the Square Stand, enabling an iPad to serve as a complete payment terminal, and the Square Register, an integrated system combining proprietary hardware, software, and payment processing capabilities. Additionally, the Square Terminal offers a modern alternative to conventional keypad devices, functioning as both a payment processor and receipt printer, accepting tap, dip, and swipe payment methods. Beyond physical devices, Block supplies an extensive suite of software products. These encompass Square Point of Sale, Square Appointments, specialized applications for Retail and Restaurants, online commerce solutions lik
Technology · Software - Infrastructure · NYSE · Profile: Financial Modeling Prep
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