The Southern Company (SO)
Ikhtisar · Rantai opsi · Volatilitas · Riwayat pergerakan yang diharapkan · Laba
Cboe delayed options data · per 09:42 UTC · Angka yang diturunkan dari rantai opsi penuh (954 kontrak, 15 kedaluwarsa) · Persentil riwayat IV sendiri muncul setelah 60 hari pencatatan (28 sejauh ini)
Pergerakan yang diharapkan · Nov 20, 2026 (32 hari)
Metodologi →Dibaca dari harga opsi: straddle at-the-money berharga sebesar ini, sehingga pasar memperkirakan pergerakan sekitar sebesar itu ke salah satu arah pada tanggal ini. Ini adalah estimasi besarnya pergerakan, bukan prediksi arahnya.
Opsi memperkirakan pergerakan sekitar ±5.5% (rentang 86.20–96.16) oleh Nov 20, 2026. ATM straddle: 4.97 @ strike 90 · ATM IV: 20.8%.
Distribusi probabilitas
Model & asumsi →Kurva ini menunjukkan kisaran hasil yang diperkirakan oleh model lognormal — yang menggunakan implied volatility saat ini — pada ekspirasi ini. Bagian yang diarsir: pita pergerakan yang diperkirakan.
| Level | vs harga | P(di atas)Model-estimated chance the stock finishes above a level at expiration, derived from current IV under a lognormal model with stated assumptions — an estimate, not a prediction. | P(di bawah) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 82.06 | -10% | 95.3% | 4.7% |
| 86.62 | -5% | 78.8% | 21.2% |
| 91.18 | +0% | 48.8% | 51.2% |
| 95.74 | +5% | 20.6% | 79.4% |
| 100.30 | +10% | 5.8% | 94.2% |
Probabilitas yang diestimasi model untuk harga berakhir di atas/di bawah setiap level saat kedaluwarsa: estimasi berdasarkan asumsi tertentu, bukan prediksi.
Penjelajah probabilitas
Geser slider ke level mana pun dan lihat perkiraan peluang dari model bahwa saham akan berakhir di atas atau di bawah level tersebut pada expirasi yang dipilih.
Horizon: Nov 20, 2026 · Model lognormal dengan zero drift: estimasi, bukan prediksi. Asumsi
Expirasi
Buka rantai opsi →| Kedaluwarsa | DTEDays to expiration, in calendar days. | Implied move | ATM IV | Open int. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | 4 | ±2.1% | 19.0% | 8,095 |
| Oct 30, 2026 | 11 | ±2.9% | 18.6% | 7,137 |
| Nov 06, 2026 | 18 | ±4.3% | 22.2% | 1,356 |
| Nov 13, 2026 | 25 | ±5.2% | 23.4% | 397 |
| Nov 20, 2026 | 32 | ±5.5% | 20.8% | 21.3K |
| Nov 27, 2026 | 39 | ±6.2% | 22.3% | 135 |
| Dec 18, 2026 | 60 | ±6.7% | 19.9% | 13.8K |
| Jan 15, 2027 | 88 | ±7.6% | 18.9% | 24.1K |
| Feb 19, 2027 | 123 | ±9.2% | 19.3% | 2,114 |
| Mar 19, 2027 | 151 | ±10.0% | 19.4% | 12.7K |
Open interest per strike · Nov 20
Tempat posisi opsi terkonsentrasi. Batang teal adalah call, batang merah adalah put; garis putus-putus adalah harga saat ini.
Konsentrasi open interest terbesar (semua kedaluwarsa ≤ 60 hari): 90 C · 7,226100 C · 3,90788 C · 3,04992.5 C · 2,82885 P · 2,452
Struktur tenor IV
Halaman volatilitas →Implied volatility at-the-money untuk setiap tanggal kedaluwarsa. Tonjolan di sekitar suatu tanggal sering menandai acara terjadwal yang sedang dihargai oleh pasar.
Kapan open interest kedaluwarsa?
Implied vs volatilitas terealisasi
HV dari penutupan harian tersimpan kami (disetahunkan); IV30 diinterpolasi dari rantai opsi. Metode
Harga, 60 sesi terakhir
Penutupan harian; Financial Modeling Prep.
Rekam jejak
Riwayat lengkap →Dari 93 perbandingan snapshot-versus-hasil yang direkam sejauh ini, penutupan berada di dalam kisaran yang diperkirakan 51.6% dari waktu ke waktu.
Reaksi pendapatan masa lalu
Rata-rata |reaksi| 2.0% · median 1.6% (20 laporan). Jendela waktu dua sesi penutupan ke penutupan; definisi
Tentang The Southern Company
The Southern Company operates as an energy utility, primarily involved in the production, transmission, and distribution of electricity. Its operations are segmented into Gas Distribution Operations, Gas Pipeline Investments, Wholesale Gas Services, and Gas Marketing Services. The company also undertakes the development, construction, acquisition, ownership, and management of various power generation assets, including renewable energy ventures, and supplies electricity to the wholesale market. Complementing its power business, it distributes natural gas in Illinois, Georgia, Virginia, and Tennessee, while also offering gas marketing services, wholesale gas services, and managing gas pipeline investments. Its extensive portfolio of generating assets includes 30 hydroelectric, 24 fossil fuel, three nuclear, 13 combined cycle/cogeneration, 45 solar, 15 wind, one fuel cell, and four battery storage facilities. In terms of natural gas infrastructure, the company builds, operates, and maintains 76,289 miles of pipelines and 14 storage facilities with a total capacity of 157 billion cubic feet, delivering natural gas to residential, commercial, and industrial clients. The Southern Company
Utilitas · Regulated Electric · NYSE · Profil: Financial Modeling Prep
SO berita
Semua berita →China's economic growth picked up in the third quarter, recovering from a three-year low as booming exports mitigate a deepening economic slowdown at home
The growth of the Chinese economy picked up pace in the third quarter, although poor consumer confidence and property market woes continue…
WSJ · Oct 18, 22:30 UTC ↗Brace Yourself for the Priciest Holiday Travel Season in Years
Jet-fuel expenses have surged by tens of billions of dollars, but carriers say households are absorbing the increase in fares.
WSJ · Oct 18, 05:30 UTC ↗The AI Stock Market Wobble Is a Reminder: This Time Isn't Different
The artificial intelligence build-out hasn't shown it can avoid the problems of past massive capital projects, such as railways and the…
WSJ · Oct 18, 05:30 UTC ↗The Fed is between a rock and a hard place, Jason Katz says
UBS managing director Jason Katz and Empower chief investment strategist Marta Norton preview the Federal Reserve's reading of inflation on…
Fox Business · Oct 18, 00:00 UTC ↗The AI bubble is about to burst — and a big market correction is coming
On Jan. 1, 2000, the world got a reprieve from a much-hyped technological Armageddon when it turned out the Y2K crisis wasn't a crisis…
New York Post · Oct 17, 20:21 UTC ↗Efek terkait · Utilitas
OKLO · IV 81.3%VST · IV 53.0%NEE · IV 25.2%CEG · IV 48.4%DUK · IV 18.8%EXC · IV 19.3%