The Kraft Heinz Company (KHC)
Overview · Option chain · Volatility · Expected-move history · Earnings
Cboe delayed options data · as of 21:57 UTC · Figures derived from the full chain (564 contracts, 14 expirations) · IV own-history percentile appears after 60 recorded days (29 so far)
Expected move · Oct 30, 2026 (11 days)
Methodology →Read from option prices: the at-the-money straddle costs this much, so the market is pricing a move of about that size in either direction by this date. It is an estimate of movement, not a prediction of direction.
Options are pricing a move of about ±3.6% (range 22.39–24.09) by Oct 30, 2026. ATM straddle: 0.845 @ strike 23 · ATM IV: 25.5%.
Probability distribution
Model & assumptions →The curve shows where a lognormal model, fed with current implied volatility, puts the range of outcomes at this expiration. Shaded: the expected-move band.
| Level | vs price | P(above)Model-estimated chance the stock finishes above a level at expiration, derived from current IV under a lognormal model with stated assumptions — an estimate, not a prediction. | P(below) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20.92 | -10% | 99.1% | 0.9% |
| 22.08 | -5% | 87.2% | 12.8% |
| 23.24 | +0% | 49.1% | 50.9% |
| 24.40 | +5% | 13.1% | 86.9% |
| 25.56 | +10% | 1.5% | 98.5% |
Model-estimated probabilities of finishing above/below each level at expiration: estimates under stated assumptions, not predictions.
Probability explorer
Drag the slider to any level and see the model-estimated chance the stock finishes above or below it at the selected expiration.
Horizon: Oct 30, 2026 · lognormal model with zero drift: an estimate, not a prediction. Assumptions
Expirations
Open the chain →| Expires | DTEDays to expiration, in calendar days. | Implied move | ATM IV | Open int. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | 4 | ±2.7% | 30.9% | 50.6K |
| Oct 30, 2026 | 11 | ±3.6% | 25.5% | 23.2K |
| Nov 06, 2026 | 18 | ±5.0% | 27.5% | 4,597 |
| Nov 13, 2026 | 25 | ±7.2% | 34.3% | 3,022 |
| Nov 20, 2026 | 32 | ±7.3% | 30.5% | 14.1K |
| Nov 27, 2026 | 39 | ±12.3% | 45.1% | 817 |
| Dec 18, 2026 | 60 | ±9.9% | 29.5% | 66.4K |
| Jan 15, 2027 | 88 | ±10.9% | 27.5% | 92.7K |
| Mar 19, 2027 | 151 | ±15.2% | 29.1% | 23.5K |
| Apr 16, 2027 | 179 | ±16.1% | 28.8% | 2,756 |
Open interest by strike · Oct 30
Where option positions are concentrated. Teal bars are calls, red bars are puts; the dashed line is the current price.
Largest open-interest concentrations (all expirations ≤ 60 days): 24 C · 23.8K23.5 C · 23.0K25 C · 15.9K23 C · 14.8K22.5 P · 11.8K
IV term structure
Volatility page →At-the-money implied volatility for each expiration. A hump around a date often marks a scheduled event the market is pricing.
When does open interest expire?
Implied vs realized volatility
HV from our stored daily closes (annualized); IV30 interpolated from the chain. Method
Price, last 60 sessions
Daily closes; Financial Modeling Prep.
Track record
Full history →Of 121 recorded snapshot-versus-outcome comparisons so far, the close landed inside the expected range 43.8% of the time.
Past earnings reactions
Avg |reaction| 3.5% · median 3.6% (20 reports). Two-session close-to-close window; definition
About The Kraft Heinz Company
The Kraft Heinz Company, along with its subsidiaries, operates as a global entity focused on the manufacturing and marketing of a broad spectrum of food and beverage products. Its reach extends across key markets such as the United States, Canada, and the United Kingdom, as well as numerous other international territories. The company's diverse product offerings include popular condiments and sauces, a variety of cheese and dairy items, prepared meals, meat products, and refreshing beverages. Additionally, its portfolio features coffee, an assortment of healthy snacks, salad dressings, various spices and seasonings, and a range of other general grocery staples. Kraft Heinz employs a multi-faceted distribution strategy. It utilizes its internal sales organizations alongside independent brokers, agents, and third-party distributors to reach a wide array of customers. These include large grocery chains, wholesale providers, cooperative and independent grocers, convenience stores, pharmacies, value stores, bakeries, mass merchandisers, and club stores. Furthermore, the company supplies products to the foodservice sector and institutional clients, such as hotels, restaurants, hospitals,
Consumer Defensive · Packaged Foods · NYSE · Profile: Financial Modeling Prep
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