Ally Financial Inc. (ALLY)
Ikhtisar · Rantai opsi · Volatilitas · Riwayat pergerakan yang diharapkan · Laba
Cboe delayed options data · per 15:33 UTC · Angka yang diturunkan dari rantai opsi penuh (390 kontrak, 11 kedaluwarsa) · Persentil riwayat IV sendiri muncul setelah 60 hari pencatatan (28 sejauh ini)
Pergerakan yang diharapkan · Nov 20, 2026 (32 hari)
Metodologi →Dibaca dari harga opsi: straddle at-the-money berharga sebesar ini, sehingga pasar memperkirakan pergerakan sekitar sebesar itu ke salah satu arah pada tanggal ini. Ini adalah estimasi besarnya pergerakan, bukan prediksi arahnya.
Opsi memperkirakan pergerakan sekitar ±8.1% (rentang 34.42–40.48) oleh Nov 20, 2026. ATM straddle: 3.02 @ strike 37 · ATM IV: 34.1%.
Distribusi probabilitas
Model & asumsi →Kurva ini menunjukkan kisaran hasil yang diperkirakan oleh model lognormal — yang menggunakan implied volatility saat ini — pada ekspirasi ini. Bagian yang diarsir: pita pergerakan yang diperkirakan.
| Level | vs harga | P(di atas)Model-estimated chance the stock finishes above a level at expiration, derived from current IV under a lognormal model with stated assumptions — an estimate, not a prediction. | P(di bawah) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33.71 | -10% | 83.9% | 16.1% |
| 35.58 | -5% | 67.6% | 32.4% |
| 37.45 | +0% | 48.0% | 52.0% |
| 39.32 | +5% | 29.7% | 70.3% |
| 41.20 | +10% | 16.0% | 84.0% |
Probabilitas yang diestimasi model untuk harga berakhir di atas/di bawah setiap level saat kedaluwarsa: estimasi berdasarkan asumsi tertentu, bukan prediksi.
Penjelajah probabilitas
Geser slider ke level mana pun dan lihat perkiraan peluang dari model bahwa saham akan berakhir di atas atau di bawah level tersebut pada expirasi yang dipilih.
Horizon: Nov 20, 2026 · Model lognormal dengan zero drift: estimasi, bukan prediksi. Asumsi
Expirasi
Buka rantai opsi →| Kedaluwarsa | DTEDays to expiration, in calendar days. | Implied move | ATM IV | Open int. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2026 | 32 | ±8.1% | 34.1% | 26.7K |
| Dec 18, 2026 | 60 | ±10.2% | 31.6% | 7,603 |
| Jan 15, 2027 | 88 | ±12.6% | 32.2% | 19.3K |
| Mar 19, 2027 | 151 | ±16.2% | 31.9% | 2,617 |
Open interest per strike · Nov 20
Tempat posisi opsi terkonsentrasi. Batang teal adalah call, batang merah adalah put; garis putus-putus adalah harga saat ini.
Konsentrasi open interest terbesar (semua kedaluwarsa ≤ 60 hari): 38 C · 9,57140 C · 6,98940 P · 4,37350 C · 1,29430 P · 1,110
Struktur tenor IV
Halaman volatilitas →Implied volatility at-the-money untuk setiap tanggal kedaluwarsa. Tonjolan di sekitar suatu tanggal sering menandai acara terjadwal yang sedang dihargai oleh pasar.
Kapan open interest kedaluwarsa?
Implied vs volatilitas terealisasi
HV dari penutupan harian tersimpan kami (disetahunkan); IV30 diinterpolasi dari rantai opsi. Metode
Harga, 60 sesi terakhir
Penutupan harian; Financial Modeling Prep.
Rekam jejak
Riwayat lengkap →Dari 15 perbandingan snapshot-versus-hasil yang direkam sejauh ini, penutupan berada di dalam kisaran yang diperkirakan 26.7% dari waktu ke waktu.
Reaksi pendapatan masa lalu
Rata-rata |reaksi| 5.9% · median 4.6% (20 laporan). Jendela waktu dua sesi penutupan ke penutupan; definisi
Tentang Ally Financial Inc.
Ally Financial Inc. operates as a digital-first financial services provider, offering a comprehensive suite of products and services to individual consumers, commercial enterprises, and corporate clients. Its primary operational footprint spans the United States and Canada. The company is structured into four main operating segments: 1. Automotive Finance Operations: This segment specializes in vehicle financing solutions. Offerings include retail installment sales contracts, loans, and operating leases for consumers, as well as term loans for dealerships. It also facilitates dealer floorplan financing, other lines of credit for dealers, warehouse lines for automotive retailers, and fleet financing. Furthermore, this division provides funding for companies and municipalities purchasing or leasing vehicles and offers vehicle remarketing services. 2. Insurance Operations: Through this segment, Ally provides consumer finance protection and various insurance products via the automotive dealer channel. It also extends commercial insurance products directly to dealerships. Key offerings include vehicle service and maintenance contracts, guaranteed asset protection (GAP) products, and und
Layanan Keuangan · Financial - Credit Services · NYSE · Profil: Financial Modeling Prep
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SOFI · IV 59.3%HOOD · IV 66.6%MARA · IV 92.5%BAC · IV 23.2%COIN · IV 68.9%RIOT · IV 95.6%